cieldumort
(Moderator)
Thu Oct 28 2010 12:32 PM
Re: Perky Late Season Atlantic: 90L, 91L, 92L

I agree - think 91L bears a great deal of watching, as not only is it an exceptionally vigorous tropical wave for the time of year, but also that conditions upstream, once it is "land-locked," look supportive of more development, and I could see tropical cyclogenisis occurring with this one potentially even before it crosses the Windwards, provided it stays over water.

Recon now tentatively scheduled to check out both 91L & 92L

1030 AM EDT THU 28 OCTOBER 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z OCTOBER 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-149

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (NEAR BERMUDA)
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 29/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01JJA INVEST
C. 29/1400Z
D. 29.0N 65.5W
E. 29/1730Z TO 29/2100Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. SUSPECT AREA (APPROACHING WINDWARD ISLANDS)
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
A. 29/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01KKA INVEST
C. 29/1530Z
D. 09.5N 57.0W
E. 29/1730Z TO 29/2200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES ON SYSTEM
NEAR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AT 30/1200Z NEAR 11N 62W.