gsgs
(Registered User)
Tue Sep 09 2008 09:03 AM
Re: damage predictions

yes, looks similar to what I want.
What's TWC ?

They still need the windspeed-analysis, but only as a tool to predict damage.


BTW. why limit to 5 categories representing the windspeeds ?
Just give the speed. Or if folks can't remember their relations and significance,
extent it to fractions like Cat2.7 , see earthquakes.


I'd like several forecasters giving subjective expected damage predictions,
(expectation value,deviation) and an analysis who gives best predictions
as with the "competition" here with the several forecasters, forecasting-models.

And prediction-markets trading damage-contracts, with the opportunity to
"insure" by shorting damage-contracts. Well, there are catastrophe-bonds,
but only for big institutions

hmm... maybe I should start a different thread



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center