cieldumort
(Moderator)
Tue Oct 24 2017 05:17 PM
Philippe Lounge




A tropical wave merger with a developing area of low pressure very near and over central America has been tagged as a new Invest, 93L.

This feature has NHC designated development odds of 50% over the course of the next 5 days, and movement is expected to place Cuba, the Bahamas and possibly Florida in its sights, whatever comes of it, later in the period.


cieldumort
(Moderator)
Sat Oct 28 2017 03:13 AM
Re: 93L Lounge

93L has been designated PTC EIGHTEEN today by NHC, with now 80% development odds (into a tropical or subtropical cyclone). It is very nearly there tonight, although might not have a well-enough defined center just yet.

Regardless of classification, EIGHTEEN is likely to bring tropical storm conditions to portions of Cuba, the Bahamas and perhaps south Florida.

Quote:

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0300Z 18.2N 84.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 28/1200Z 20.1N 83.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 29/0000Z 22.9N 81.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
36H 29/1200Z 26.2N 77.4W 45 KT 50 MPH...OVER WATER
48H 30/0000Z 30.8N 73.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 31/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW




MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Sat Oct 28 2017 05:47 PM
Re: 93L Lounge

12 GFS has this landfalling in Southeast Florida, then another landfall near New Jersey/New England Monday morning and all the way into Quebec.


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