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Cycloneye
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(Storm Tracker)
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Thu Oct 02 2003 02:55 PM
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Dr Gray's october update has an average finish to season
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http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/2003/oct2003/
3-2-0 are his numbers to end the season but Larry formed last night when this report was already made so really 2 more named systems and 2 hurricanes is what he sees.Opinions are welcomed but mines is that I think he is right about not seeing more than 2 developments in these 2 final months of the season.
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Re: Dr Gray's october update has an average finish to season
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kate is technically a september storm, but is approaching cat 3 status today and that will be over gray's season number for majors. larry may or may not get any stronger, looking like a mexican threat. basin shear is up.. maybe its nearing the end, maybe things will get hectic again. SOI keeps pulsing up and down in 1-2 week intervals and should keep the regime of pattern-triggered development active until at least the middle of the month. i'm thinking it will pulse strongly enough to give us something else in november.. can't independently verify this, though.
HF 1707z03october
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Rainband
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(Registered User)
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Wed Oct 08 2003 03:33 PM
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Re: Dr Gray's october update has an average finish to season
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Seems like anything that forms ..if anything does...will not hit the US in the current pattern. Even the GOM is quiet. Maybe 2003 will be over sooner than later??
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