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90 L- Development Possible
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Invest 90L is up and according to the latest TWO, it looks likely to become a TD in the next day or two.
Sat View
Models
This storm looks to at least threaten the islands, and then either threaten the SE or even Caribbean (once again).
Not to be overly dramatic, but with the once in a lifetime level of destruction possible from Katrina, it is doubtful that many of us here will be closely following 90L over the next 3-5 days. However, it may become a player (it would be Lee), so folks in the islands and Florida may want to keep the possibility of development in the back of their minds.
We've come a long way from our early August lull...
11:30 TWO: A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANIED BY A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CENTERED ABOUT 1450 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOWS SIGNS OF GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
10 TO 15 MPH.
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ftlaudbob
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(Storm Chaser)
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Sat Aug 27 2005 05:50 PM
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Re: 90 L- Development Possible
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Thanks Big Red,Please keep us informed on this one.Do they think this one will go out to sea?I can't find any models.
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Re: 90 L- Development Possible
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Bob, fortunately most of the very early models take this out to sea.
Here is the 12z GFS: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/fp1_180.shtml
Other Models: http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_90.gif
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Re: 90 L- Development Possible
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Thanks for the infro Big Red. I`ve been watching that system for the last day or two and was wondering what was going to happen with it. Seems to be getting a little better organized as the day goes by. I know we have major hurricane Katrina about to make its turn towards the southern gulf coast ( while I have the chance, I hope all our members that live in its path are prepared and ready. Good luck to you) but we that live on the East Coast have to watch what is coming in Katrinas wake and this storm looks like it may have potencial to come our way. I don`t know. Maybe Clark can shed some insight into this invest if he has time , god knows he`s a busy man today............Weatherchef............. web page
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Clark
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(Meteorologist)
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Sat Aug 27 2005 06:53 PM
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Re: 90 L- Development Possible
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It is looking better today on satellite, but is still a couple of days away from getting going, I believe. It's far enough south that it should miss most of the unfavorable conditions, but only time will tell as to where it goes and how strong it is when (if) it gets going. It may be a reminder of what 97L could have done were it to have come off further south instead of further north in a more hostile environment, though truth be told 97L may have served to moisten the environment ever-so-slightly to help set the stage for future waves to get going.
I'm not going to be looking hard at it until after Katrina makes landfall, however. That storm has made me -- and many others -- quite sick with how the track forecast continues to change. It just goes to show how little we know about these storms. I have some friends spread about the southern Louisiana area and have been trying to help them prepare and stay up to date, on top of following the storm, so needless to say -- my hands are full with Katrina, particularly given what might unfold tonight.
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NONAME
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(Weather Guru)
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Sat Aug 27 2005 10:56 PM
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Re: 90 L- Development Possible
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Now NHC says it could devlop tonight or tommorow into a depression and the 123 rule has it as possible devlopment in the next 36 hours.
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nl
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(Storm Tracker)
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Sat Aug 27 2005 11:05 PM
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Re: 90 L- Development Possible
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which one is 90l?
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MichaelA
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(Weather Analyst)
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Sat Aug 27 2005 11:42 PM
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Re: 90 L- Development Possible
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90L is the one about mid-way between Africa and the Caribbean. It's always good to keep an eye on the happenings upstream as well as things more close to home.
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west_pasco
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(Registered User)
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Sat Aug 27 2005 11:44 PM
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Re: 90 L- Development Possible
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Quote:
which one is 90l?
Invest 90L
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Re: 90 L- Development Possible
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And now, its Tropical Depression 13 per the Navy Cane site.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_hom...es&DISPLAY=
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Re: 90 L- Development Possible
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Curious about current developments - where is the best place to observe? Traveling to Tampa on 9/6 for a week - wondering about potential developments. I appreciate this site for updates but would be thankful on other tips. Just glad I'm not in/around LA or MS right now.
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Unregistered User
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(Unregistered)
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Mon Aug 29 2005 12:44 AM
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How closely is Katrina following the path of 1969's Camille? That even affected Virginia .
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Camille in 1969 came in at Biloxi, Missippi, I believe, and I think it caused deaths as far away as Virginia. Is Katrina on about the same path? Looks to me like that trough is going to edge it east-northeast maybe, plus the front to its west.
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