| cebas |
| (Registered User) |
| Tue Dec 08 2009 01:40 PM |
2010 Forecast
|
Tomorrow, Colorado State University will make its first 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predictions.
My predictions are...
12 Named Storms
5 Hurricane
3 Major Hurricanes
The reason why so low because there is a possibility that very weak El Nino conditions may linger over the summer(Jun.July/Aug), but weaken to neutral conditions by fall(Sept/Oct/Nov)
(Post moved to the correct Forum.)
Ed Dunham
|
| (Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)) |
| Wed Dec 09 2009 02:32 AM |
Re: 2010 Forecast
|
TSR has issued its initial outlook for the 2010 season - the numbers are 14/7/3.
CSU has issued its initial outlook for the 2010 season - the average numbers are 14/7/4.
If El Nino subsides, my initial thoughts would suggest 12/6/3. In the past, after a strong El Nino, the range has been from 11/4/2 (1974) to 14/10/3 (1998). Initial analog years (in order of significance) are 1978, 1988, 1966 and 1998.
ED
| MichaelA |
| (Weather Analyst) |
| Thu Dec 10 2009 06:08 PM |
|
|
Re: 2010 Forecast
|
Dr. Gray's early prediction is now available. He and his colleagues are expecting a much busier season than 2009. The PDF is here .