Ed Dunham
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| (Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)) |
| Fri Nov 12 2010 11:41 PM |
The Basin is Quiet
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Update - Sunday November 14, 2010 9:30PM EST
With dry air entrainment from the northwest, conditions no longer favor development of 94L in the Caribbean Sea and the Atlantic basin is quiet.
ED
Update - Saturday November 13, 2010 9PM EST
At 14/00Z, Invest 94L was stationary at 11N 77W and looking very anemic. System looking very disorganized with convection scattered and decreasing.
ED
Update - Saturday November 13, 2010 10AM EST
Invest 94L continues to show signs of better organization as the system drifts westward at 3 knots. At 13/15Z the system was located near 11N 77W and a slow west to west northwest motion is still anticipated over the next few days.
ED
Original Post - Friday November 12, 2010 7PM EST
Active but disorganized tropical wave (Invest 94L) located halfway between Jamaica and Panama near 11N 76W at 12/23Z moving slowly west at 4 knots. A narrow band of light windshear exists over and to the west of the system and there is a chance for additional organization and development over the next few days if the system continues to drift westward. Stronger shear exists to the immediate north, but some of the models slowly develop this system that exited northwestern Columbia.
Elsewhere the basin seems to have settled in for its long winter rest.
ED
{{StormLinks|94L|94|22|2010|1|Invest 94L}}
| MichaelA |
| (Weather Analyst) |
| Fri Nov 12 2010 11:49 PM |
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Re: Except for Invest 94L the Basin is Quiet
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It seems that this season is not willing to die just yet. Sea surface temps in the Caribbean are still quite warm and it does look like the NHC thinks this system could develop further. Something to keep an eye on, at least. I'm here until the "bitter" end of the season and usually continue to check-in from time to time during the "off" season.
| MichaelA |
| (Weather Analyst) |
| Mon Nov 15 2010 08:29 PM |
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Re: Except for Invest 94L the Basin is Quiet
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A little interesting today, looking at the Floater loops. There seems to be a broad low level spin and a tighter mid-level spin centered near 12.5N; 76.5W. Convection is removed from the "center" though.
| berrywr |
| (Weather Analyst) |
| Wed Nov 17 2010 12:51 AM |
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Re: The Basin is Quiet
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Yep...the season is nearing an end and with the exception of two areas; one is the SW Caribbean where little remains of a disturbance and the other is a dynamic (extra-tropical) low and corresponding frontal boundaries centered near 38N 48W; otherwise shear aloft is too strong and westerlies generally near 16N with an upper high center near Jamaica and Haiti.
| MichaelA |
| (Weather Analyst) |
| Thu Nov 18 2010 02:04 AM |
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Re: The Basin is Quiet
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It sure would be nice to have that moisture in the NW Caribbean move up over Florida though. Sure could use some rain around here.