MikeC
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| (Admin) |
| Sun Jul 22 2012 11:32 AM |
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Area off of Southeast Florida has Low Development Chances
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7:30 AM EDT 23 July 2012
The disturbance mentioned yesterday has drifted northwest over the peninsula, and most of the rain associated with it is along the east coast of Florida this morning, and because of the northwesterly motion development chances have fallen off a cliff and likely will never develop. The dry air to the north has made sure of that.
Original Update
After Debbie, the Atlantic has remained mostly quiet, but this morning there is an area off Southeast Florida that currently has a 10% chance for development.
Likely it will just enhance rainfall over the southeast, parts of Central Florida, and the Bahamas.
If the disturbance makes it across the state and into the Gulf, it could gradually gain strength there, and is worth watching through this week.
It is not an official invest, so no direct model runs have been made on it, though it may get tagged later today.
Regardless, this system has a chance to bring gusty winds and rainfall to the northwestern Bahamas, central and south Florida over the next few days.
{{EastFloridaRadar}}
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| LoisCane |
| (Veteran Storm Chaser) |
| Sun Jul 22 2012 02:18 PM |
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Re: Area off of Southeast Florida has Low Development Chances
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Wind reports are coming in on the strong side.
Could pressures drop or will this just rain itself out?
Had this wave not been carrying dust on it's back the whole trip from Africa... it most likely would have been one tough named storm.
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Ed Dunham
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| (Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator) |
| Sun Jul 22 2012 08:10 PM |
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Re: Area off of Southeast Florida has Low Development Chances
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Pressures remain quite high - which is good. But another vorticity max currently over the northernmost Bahamas is heading toward east-central Florida. If it holds together, probably another round of showers and gusty winds late Sunday night into early Monday morning.
ED