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NOAA article explaining this system and why we're now Greek in 2020 With Alpha, 2020 Atlantic tropical storm names go Greek |
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18z October 11th GFS: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2020101118/gfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_58.png Last several runs have stayed with the theme of a strong system (Epsilon?) ejecting NNE from the Caribbean to just off Florida's east coast. |
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12z GFS: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2020101312/gfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_64.png Stronger (930 mb south of Cuba), slower and more west (Florida Straits or even SE BOMEX) |
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Its pointless to pinpoint this far out, but given the GFS consistency in calling for a significant hurricane eventually tracking north out of the Caribbean Sea in our general direction during the last week of October, I will be vigilantly monitoring each model run in the coming days. |
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06z GFS: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2020101406/gfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_44.png still passing Fla east coast offshore (though closer and sooner than previous run). Wx channel and several of the local TV mets starting to cautiously mention now. |