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JoshuaK
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(Weather Guru)
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Tue Aug 05 2008 05:06 PM
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9N36W
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Area of strong convection associated with a tropical wave south of 20W. The 18:15 UTC of the EastAtlantic Floater shows a nice round appearance to the convection, with hints of a rotation within these thunderstorms. I think this area bears watching for the next few days, at least. It certainly appears to be the most organized system out in the Atlantic atm.
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Ed Dunham
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(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
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Tue Aug 05 2008 05:36 PM
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Re: 9N36W
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Well its certainly an active looking wave. It will be moving under easterly shear for a couple of days, but SSTs are about 28C. The wave is embedded in the ITCZ with dry air to its north and south, but on a west northwest heading it should remain in a moist environment. Certainly something to keep an eye on.
ED
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Re: 9N36W
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I noticed this earlier today too. At least it is something to watch.
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craigm
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(Storm Tracker)
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Tue Aug 05 2008 09:33 PM
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Re: 9N36W
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SAL is dominant around this wave also.
http://www.weathercarib.com/080805-m8split.jpg
If it stays tucked underneath it we could be watching 92L forming.
I'm keeping an eye on the next MJO pulse which could be moving through this hemisphere in 3 to 4 weeks. Now that were entering the active part of the season it will be interesting to watch mainly because most every thing so far, this season, that has had potential to spin up has done so.
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metwannabe
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(Weather Hobbyist)
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Tue Aug 05 2008 10:24 PM
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Re: 9N36W
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Buoy 41026 at 12n 38w has a NE wind and buoy 13009 at 8n 38w has a SSW wind. Could this be a sign of some rotation with the large cluster of storms in that area? Certainly looks impressive on IR Sat loops.
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weathernet
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(Storm Tracker)
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Tue Aug 05 2008 11:57 PM
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Re: 9N36W
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This ITZ disturbance really does look nice for the moment. Assuming that the convection does not wane, than would guess that it would start to gain a little latitude tomm. If this were to occur, and convection maintained, than would suspect to be tagged as an invest by mid day. Course, if it gains much latitude, than may have to contend with some increased upper level shear too.
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JoshuaK
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(Weather Guru)
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Wed Aug 06 2008 11:39 AM
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Re: 9N36W
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Convection has died down a lot, but with a few scattered storms still present. I'll still be keeping an eye on this area to see if the convection tries to build back up again this evening.
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