berrywr
(Weather Analyst)
Fri Aug 20 2010 04:46 AM
Possible Tropical Activity near FL next Monday, Aug 23.

Over the past few runs all global models are developing a tropical low near the coast of North Florida and moving it southwestward into the NE Gulf of Mexico beginning day 4; this upcoming Monday. The NAM has two lows; the other in the SE Gulf of Mexico. All agencies are coordinating their discussions with NHC in regards to the activity and the models are in consensus. If this system verifies as projected this will make the third system to hug the Northern GOM.

Robert
(Weather Analyst)
Fri Aug 20 2010 05:28 AM
Re: Possible Tropical Activity near FL next Monday, Aug 23.

im gonna go out on a limb and say it looks to me to be ex td 5 coming around again

berrywr
(Weather Analyst)
Fri Aug 20 2010 05:50 AM
Re: Possible Tropical Activity near FL next Monday, Aug 23.

This is not Ex-TD5. This low has not even developed as of this typing and is expected to be attached to a stationary front before the real fun begins.

Robert
(Weather Analyst)
Fri Aug 20 2010 01:00 PM
Re: Possible Tropical Activity near FL next Monday, Aug 23.

i think it is if you look off southcarolina its ex td5 and its blowing up now

danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Fri Aug 20 2010 02:43 PM
Re: Possible Tropical Activity near FL next Monday, Aug 23.

Some of the remnants of TD 5 appeared over Western Alabama early this morning in satellite views.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
420 AM CDT FRI AUG 20 2010

.SHORT TERM...REMNANT TROPICAL LOW THAT HAS CAUSED HEAVY RAIN ISSUES
ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS THE PAST FEW MORNINGS IS NOW FIRMLY EAST INTO
CENTRAL ALABAMA. HOWEVER...CONVECTION ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE
CIRCULATION IS UNCOMFORTABLY CLOSE TO THE MS/AL BORDER RIGHT NOW AND
IT IS NOT IMPOSSIBLE SOME LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY SNEAK TOWARD
HIGHWAY 45 THIS MORNING. THIS IS CONSIDERED A LOW PROBABILITY RIGHT
NOW...BUT WE WILL BE KEEPING AN EYE ON THE SITUATION.


MichaelA
(Weather Analyst)
Sat Aug 21 2010 01:14 AM
Re: Possible Tropical Activity near FL next Monday, Aug 23.

Agreed. The remains of TD5 are over north-central GA this evening and a newer system is offshore associated with the frontal trough.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/loop-vis.html


WeatherNut
(Weather Master)
Sat Aug 21 2010 07:29 PM
Re: Possible Tropical Activity near FL next Monday, Aug 23.

Yes, and the 3inches of rain we got last night in parts of Atlanta attest to that. You could still see the rotation on local radar late last night


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