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Storm #Arlene still firing convection near the center today while spinning fish
# of days since last Hurricane Landfall - US: Any 228 (Matthew) , Major: 4230 (11 y 7 m) (Wilma) Florida - Any: 264 (Hermine) Major: 4230 (11 y 7 m) (Wilma)
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 3553
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
2013 Season Projections are Out
      #94268 - Wed Apr 10 2013 06:19 PM

The April season predictions are out,

Colorado State University with Bill Gray and Philip J. Klotzbach have released their 2013 April predictions that has totals of 18/9/4.

Which means 18 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes, which is a highly active season. This year there is less to dispute that number than in the past 3 years or so and with over 7 years since a hurricane landfall in Florida, odds are higher than usual for something to occur. Still this is just the odds, and we may miss yet another year here in Florida.

The Weather Channel also issued its forecast for the season today : 16/9/5.

We at flhurricane agree that there is nothing concrete to dispute the numbers mentioned.

Analog years from Ed are 1996, 2001, 1981, 1984 and 1949. Colorado state suggested 1915, 1952, 1966, 1996, and most infamously (for Florida) 2004.

View Colorado State's full report at

The Atlantic Hurricane Season begins June 1st and lasts through November 30th. The Peak is Mid August through the end of October.

Edited by Ed Dunham (Wed Apr 10 2013 09:10 PM)

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator

Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Administrative Note [Re: MikeC]
      #94294 - Wed May 22 2013 02:18 PM


Subject: Product Outage/Anomaly: GOES-13 (GOES-East) Data Outage:

*Update#6:* GOES-13 has been placed into storage mode while the anomaly is investigated. There is no new information at this time.

GOES-14 imaging should be available starting at about 0600Z tomorrow, May 23rd. The imager will start up in a recovery mode, which has reduced sectors so that additional star calibrations can be taken. Until this is complete, the imagery should not be considered within normal tolerance.

Transition to the normal schedule should take place about 1400Z tomorrow, May 23rd. ****

Note that GOES-15 has been placed in full-image mode.

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator

Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Administrative Note - Update [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #94295 - Sat May 25 2013 12:28 PM

"GOES-14 is providing GOES-East coverage. GOES-14 is stationary at 105 degrees West with no current plans to drift east. GOES-13 will remain in storage mode while the anomaly is being investigated."


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