7PM ED 11 September 2014 Update
The area of low pressure, around 100 miles east of Stuart, FL is bringing rain toward parts of South Florida, and the northern side is being "squeezed" out. So what's left is a weak, relatively small, low system with some rain moving into Florida tomorrow. The small size will keep most of the rain to the south, with only short lived bands moving into parts of Central Florida. Beyond Florida, into the gulf, the system will continue to fight strong shearing conditions which should keep it weak while in the Gulf as well.
Notice anything interesting with weather conditions related to this system in your area, let us know In the conditions post.
11AM Update
Tropical Depression 6 formed from what was being tracked as 91L. This system is forecast to stay well out to sea, but may become a hurricane next week.
Original Update
Today is the typical peak of the Hurricane Season, but this year there are no named systems to track. There are two areas still being watched, an area in the east Atlantic being tracked as 91L, which is likely to remain offshore, but has a 70% chance to develop over the next 5 days.
Another area near the Bahamas has a low chance for development over the next few days as it heads toward south Florida. It has a chance to become a weak tropical storm or depression, but shear conditions around it would likely keep it from doing much more. The northeasterly flow should be the main cause of the shear. But it will likely bring some rainfall for a few areas in Central or South Florida. It's a fairly small system, so the area of rainfall may be localized to right where the system is.
Although it is not expected to become strong or even develop, it's important to watch small systems like these as they can spin up and down very quickly.
For more discussion on this system see the forecast lounge for the system.
Recon is scheduled to investigate tomorrow if the system persists.
Full Florida Radar Recording for 92L Approach
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