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# of days since last Hurricane Landfall - US: Any 288 (Matthew) , Major: 4290 (11 y 8 m) (Wilma) Florida - Any: 325 (Hermine) Major: 4290 (11 y 8 m) (Wilma)
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Hurricane Matthew - Getting Too Close For Comfort
      #97316 - Wed Oct 05 2016 01:42 PM

The latest model runs move Matthew west again to about 30 miles east of east central Florida - the GFS model even has the hurricane moving right up the coastline from Jupiter to Daytona Beach. Matthew is reforming rapidly after crossing far eastern Cuba last night and the hurricane is now moving northwest at 12MPH with winds gusting up to 140mph. Matthew should pass about 30 miles east of Melbourne at 8AM Friday morning with central winds at that time of 120mph gusting to 145mph. Peak winds on the Barrier Islands will be out of the north at 65mph with gusts as high as 90mph. Peak winds on the mainland in the vicinity of I-95 will be out of the north at 60mph gusting to 75mph. Outer rainbands will move into east central Florida by Thursday afternoon. Finish all hurricane preparations by Thursday morning. If you are in an evacuation area please follow Emergency Management instruction and evacuate as directed and have a plan on where you intend to seek safety. Just a minor westward shift of the track could bring at least Category II hurricane conditions to the east central Florida coastline. Prepare now, have a plan and stay safe. This change in the track revises some of my earlier thinking - if you are in an evacuation zone or a mobile or manufactured home you should evacuate no later than early Thursday morning.
ED


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