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#96L odds now down to just 10% per NHC, as upper-level winds and interaction with the Greater Antilles has been too much to handle
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 35 (Michael) , Major: 35 (Michael) Florida - Any: 35 (Michael) Major: 35 (Michael)
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News Talkback >> 2018 News Talkbacks

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MikeCAdministrator
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 4110
Loc: Orlando, FL
The Atlantic after Michael
      #99829 - Sun Oct 14 2018 04:49 PM

12PM EDT Update 24 October 2018
We are keeping an eye on a broad area of low pressure located 900+ miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. The feature, tagged 95L, is expected by NHC to develop, but is not expected to threaten land.

Elsewhere, Super Typhoon Yutu with winds of at least 180 MPH is making landfall near Guam:
Quote:

43 minutes ago
...EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON YUTU OVER TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

.NEW INFORMATION...

THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON YUTU NOW OVER TINIAN AND SOUTHERN SAIPAN.THE CURRENT POSITION OF YUTU HAS THE EYE OVER TINIAN AND SOUTHERN SAIPAN WITH MAX WINDS IN THE EYE WALL 180 MPH OR STRONGER...A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 SUPER TYPHOON. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT TINIAN AND SAIPAN FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS AND ADVISORIES FOR ANY CHANGES THAT MIGHT IMPACT YOUR ISLAND. EITHER LOCAL MEDIA OR THE NWS GUAM WEBSITE AT www.WEATHER.GOV/GUM/ ARE GOOD CHOICES.



Last, moisture from former Cat 5 EPAC Willa is streaming into the southern Gulf states. A remnant of Willa may help form a coastal Low over the coming days and run up the south to southeast to eastern seaboard.
- Ciel

Original Entry
Hurricane Michael will be one remembered for years to come for this decade for Florida. Although Irma, Matthew and Hermine (The other 3 hurricanes, and only ones from the decade) will be remembered, the raw violent nature of Michael will put that at the top, along with its impacts well inland. Post analysis may bring it up to Category 5 after all is said and done. Callaway, Tyndall, Mexico Beach, Cape San Blas and Panama City within Gulf and Bay counties are forever changed, as many areas around ti were also.

Our twitter feed is full of examples and response to it.

Beyond that Leslie made landfall in Portugal and brought damage to there, very unexpectedly.


Two low-chance areas are being watched, a 20% area in the West Caribbean (94L) and another area in the Central Atlantic with 10%. Neither have much model support, but there is a possibility for one or two more systems this season before all is said and done.

Links for 95L may need to update - use with caution
Oscar Event Related Links

Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of of Oscar - New for 2018


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Oscar


stormplotthumb_16.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


float16latest.gif
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Oscar (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Oscar (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Oscar

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Oscar
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Oscar -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)



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