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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

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charlottefl
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Mon
Posts: 94
Re: [Re: damejune2]
      #82049 - Mon Aug 18 2008 09:31 AM

I believe Fay was very near or just at hurricane strength when she crossed Cuba. Currently she has a fairly decent satellite appearence and I do not think it will take as long for her to being intensifying. Now don't get me wrong I'm not forecasting a monster. But a 90-100 mph hurricane is not out of the question. Shear immediately to the west of Fay has dropped to 5kts. As she moves north it will begin to increase some, so I expect modest strengthening.


Hurricane Charley (Port Charlotte -NE Eyewall)


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JustMe
Weather Guru


Reged: Mon
Posts: 128
Loc: Orlando, Florida
Re: [Re: charlottefl]
      #82050 - Mon Aug 18 2008 09:55 AM

Our t.v. stations are suggesting that the path is more east than what the NHC is showing. Can anyone else see a more north-easterly turn

--------------------

I have survived Betsy Miss, Camille Miss., Andrew Fl, Charley Fl, Frances FL, Jeanne FL,


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Geoff
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 50
Loc: Tampa, FL
Re: [Re: JustMe]
      #82051 - Mon Aug 18 2008 10:19 AM

Quote:

Our t.v. stations are suggesting that the path is more east than what the NHC is showing. Can anyone else see a more north-easterly turn




It appears to me that the eye is currently right in the middle of the NHC forecast cone. The KW Storm Relative Velocity Radar Loop shows the center pretty clearly, as does the Reflectivity loop.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?product=N0S&rid=BYX&loop=yes

Whether it continues in that direction is anyone's guess.


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willw
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 32
Re: [Re: Geoff]
      #82052 - Mon Aug 18 2008 10:29 AM

I think a west central coastal and 40 miles inland florida affect is dropping greatly. This looks like a naples event.

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WeatherNut
Weather Master


Reged: Wed
Posts: 412
Loc: Atlanta, GA
Re: Fay crossing [Re: CaneTrackerInSoFl]
      #82053 - Mon Aug 18 2008 10:29 AM

"I used the term "relocate" because if a position at 2 a.m. is at 81.1 and then at 5 a.m. is 80.9, it cannot be "moving" north-northwestward as the second one is farther east than the first. It was not meant to be sarcastic, but to state the truth as per the positions given. Either the storm had to be relocated, or it is moving east of north but not moving north-northwest with the relocation. "

I am using the above quote from another site since it sums up completely that a relocation happened. Just because the NHC doesn't say 'relocate' or 'jump' does not mean it didn't happen. I will agree to disagree on the details. Its been a very healthy discussion (and I will soon be paying the price for being up till 3am waiting for the advisory...cant say we are not dedicated)

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Born into Cleo (64)...been stuck on em ever since


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craigm
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 327
Loc: Palm City, Florida
Re: Fay crossing [Re: WeatherNut]
      #82055 - Mon Aug 18 2008 11:05 AM

06Z run of UKMET has shifted up the east coast through dade,broward and palm beach county

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Why I'm here:
Weather hobbyist


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