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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 45 (Nate) , Major: 63 (Maria) Florida - Any: 73 (Irma) Major: 73 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2009 Forecast Lounge

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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 811
Loc: Rhode Island 26.19N 80.10W
Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? [Re: MikeC]
      #86843 - Thu Sep 03 2009 01:56 PM

Take a look at this! The 12Z gfl has Erica a cat 5 off off the carolinas.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cg...;hour=Animation

--------------------

Survived:
Gloria,Bob,Katrina,Wilma and a bunch of tropical storms.


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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 348
Loc: Plant City, Florida 28.01N 82.12W
Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #86848 - Thu Sep 03 2009 03:54 PM

What is up with the latest forcast cone from NHC? It seems to show Erika moving NORTHEAST over the next 12 hours, then doing a hard left to go back to a northwest heading!! That is one of the strangest things I have seen them put out in a while. Is anyone there LOOKING at what their computers are putting out?

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If you don't like the weather, wait 5 minutes...
2017 Season Prediction: 16/7/3


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hogrunr
Weather Guru


Reged: Sun
Posts: 153
Loc: Spring, TX 30.07N 95.51W
Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? [Re: Lamar-Plant City]
      #86850 - Thu Sep 03 2009 03:58 PM

Quote:

What is up with the latest forcast cone from NHC? It seems to show Erika moving NORTHEAST over the next 12 hours, then doing a hard left to go back to a northwest heading!! That is one of the strangest things I have seen them put out in a while. Is anyone there LOOKING at what their computers are putting out?




Haha...I know, I found that quite entertaining. I don't know what is going on with that. I suppose that may be the NHC's way of showing that they believe a new LLC will form behind the one that is running away.

Edited by hogrunr (Thu Sep 03 2009 04:03 PM)


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 855
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Re: Erika Lounge. Where do you think it Will go? [Re: hogrunr]
      #86857 - Thu Sep 03 2009 05:07 PM

The models are still split on this system. A couple seem to degenerate it into an open wave and then spin it up again just East of Florida in a few days. The ones that have consistently developed it have been proven wrong at this point.

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Michael
2017: 15/9/4
2017 Actual: 17/10/6


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