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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge

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doug
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Ernesto Over Cuba
      #71902 - Mon Aug 28 2006 05:11 PM

All evidence now supports the view that a reorganization is occi=urring jus off the north coast of cuba...looks like a much larger storm will emerge here

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doug


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nc_tropical_wx79
Weather Guru


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Posts: 123
Re: Ernesto Over Cuba [Re: doug]
      #71905 - Mon Aug 28 2006 05:14 PM

One says barely a storm and the other says it's reforming and will be a larger storm can I ask what evidence you have? just trying to learn and see how you came to that conclusion not saying it's wrong or right.

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W.D. Duncan


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pcola
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
Re: Ernesto Over Cuba [Re: nc_tropical_wx79]
      #71907 - Mon Aug 28 2006 05:25 PM

Barely a storm is in reference to the last wind report of 40 mph. Remember, at 38 mph it is downgraded to a tropical depression, no longer a storm. It is a "storm" in that it is a tropical cyclone, and it is a pain because with all the changes, it could do anything...miss the entire peninsula and head north, fall apart, head west and toward the gulf.....in the last 48 hours, US landfall has shifted from TX to Miami....and we still have plenty of ground/water to cover...its wait and see time..the good thing is everyone in the gulf and peninsula got their hurricane kit ready!

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Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!


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inHISgrip
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 25
Loc: Venice, FL.
Re: Ernesto Over Cuba [Re: pcola]
      #71908 - Mon Aug 28 2006 05:38 PM

Gitmo Radar

Here is a link to the Gitmo Radar.
It take forever to load.

Edited by inHISgrip (Mon Aug 28 2006 05:42 PM)


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force2005
Verified CFHC User
BANNED


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Posts: 10
Re: Ernesto Over Cuba *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* [Re: pcola]
      #71911 - Mon Aug 28 2006 05:53 PM

This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard

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nc_tropical_wx79
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 123
Re: Ernesto Over Cuba [Re: force2005]
      #71913 - Mon Aug 28 2006 05:58 PM

what is a back door rex situation? What does it mean and can you please describe what makes it happen and how does it happen?

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W.D. Duncan


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pcola
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
Re: Ernesto Over Cuba [Re: nc_tropical_wx79]
      #71919 - Mon Aug 28 2006 06:07 PM

The 18 z models runs are shifting back to the west, with the GFDL and the UKMET (12z) taking the storm into the Gulf and heading up the west coast....it is safe to say that the models are having a tough time getting a grip on Ernesto..with the pressure up to over 1000 mb, and a weakening storm over Cuba...anything goes....until we get a new discussion from the NHC, everything is guesswork..it does look like the high is holding and will force Ernesto wnw..the question is how much of Ernesto survives, and how long to redevelope....if at all

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Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!

Edited by pcola (Mon Aug 28 2006 06:08 PM)


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addicted2caine
Unregistered




Re: Ernesto Over Cuba [Re: pcola]
      #71979 - Mon Aug 28 2006 08:18 PM

Isn't there a link to the spag models on this site? Where is it?

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Storm Cooper
User


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Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
Re: Ernesto Over Cuba [Re: addicted2caine]
      #71982 - Mon Aug 28 2006 08:22 PM

Look on the Main Page.

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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


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