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Watching 98L in the Gulf as Cristobal continues out to sea.
Number of days since last Hurricane Landfall in US: 55 (Arthur) , in Florida: 3230 (8 y 10 m) (Wilma)
36.3N 67.0W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 985mb
Moving:
Ne at 26 mph
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General Discussion >> Other Storm Basins

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Lysis
User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) [Re: hurricane_run]
      #35601 - Tue May 17 2005 08:33 PM

Didn't know that. Good idea to put them with on the map page. Goes in hand with the drive to detract from the centerfold line /

--------------------
cheers


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Keith234
Storm Chaser


Reged: Thu
Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) [Re: Lysis]
      #35605 - Tue May 17 2005 08:48 PM

I must say this is undergoing some serious cyclongenesis, bands are coming together quite quickly, and a CDO is forming. Also, it has a great outflow boundary, meaning this storm is pretty deep-which makes snese b/c there's very little shear. Anywho, I would be taping the windows as we speak if I was in the path of TS Adrian.

--------------------
"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe


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Lysis
User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) [Re: Keith234]
      #35609 - Tue May 17 2005 08:58 PM

Keith… don't encourage the taping of windows on this site. It doesn’t help!

--------------------
cheers


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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) [Re: Lysis]
      #35611 - Tue May 17 2005 09:05 PM

Quote:

Keith… don't encourage the taping of windows on this site. It doesn’t help!




besides, the mud huts don't have windows...

but it would help keeping down flying glass and in the event that plywood or shutters were not an option, it's better than NOTHING. i don't think keith is encouraging it...merely offering up the suggestion that those in the path of adrian-to-be take whatever precautions they can...

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Lysis
User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) [Re: LI Phil]
      #35617 - Tue May 17 2005 09:17 PM

I was only joking with him. However I think that in our excitement that we all need to remember that this has the potential to kill allot of people. It torments me that I will be sitting in a theater having the best time of my life opening day for ROTS, where just across the gulf people may be dying in the midst of a landmark tropical cyclone.

EDIT: Just looked at the latest sat images. Keith is right about the CDO. In the words of Luke Skywalker... "I have a bad feeling about this".

Edited by Lysis (Tue May 17 2005 09:29 PM)


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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 280
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida 28.12N 80.58W
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) [Re: Lysis]
      #35662 - Wed May 18 2005 09:27 AM

Lysis, we should send you down there to do some filming. Do you speak Spanish ? and did you get your H.D. camera yet ?........Weatherchef

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Lysis
User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) [Re: B.C.Francis]
      #35719 - Wed May 18 2005 05:24 PM

No I have not found the money to buy my camera yet. Hopefully before august roles around I will have the finances. As for my speaking Spanish, remember I used to live in Miami! But let’s stay on topic…

GDFL now has it tracking past eastern Cuba.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.c...;hour=Animation

--------------------
cheers


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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) [Re: Lysis]
      #35723 - Wed May 18 2005 05:58 PM

the only spanish jeffie knows is:

"consiga lejos de mí mestizo"

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Cycloneye11
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Mon
Posts: 70
Loc: San Juan,Puerto Rico
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) [Re: Lysis]
      #35736 - Wed May 18 2005 06:53 PM

Oigan que ustedes quieren saber en espanol? I can translate anything that you may want to know in spanish.

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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) [Re: Cycloneye11]
      #35757 - Wed May 18 2005 10:49 PM

i guess you are saying my espanol is really poor (which it is) what was it you thought i was trying to say?

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 280
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida 28.12N 80.58W
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac) [Re: Cycloneye11]
      #35767 - Thu May 19 2005 12:35 PM

Cycloneye11, what happened to your island yesterday or the day before? I was watching TWC and I thought I heard them say that there was a deluge of some sorts and some big time flooding or was I just dreaming? If this is so , what caused the havoc?........I hope all is well down there for our CFHC forward observer amigo.......Weatherchef

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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3460
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Adrian Update June 1. 2005 [Re: B.C.Francis]
      #36029 - Wed Jun 01 2005 10:07 PM

...A POST-STORM ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT ADRIAN DID NOT MAKE LANDFALL AS A HURRICANE IN EL SALVADOR EARLY ON THE 20TH... AS ASSESSED OPERATIONALLY. BASED ON EXAMINATION OF SATELLITE DATA AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS... INCLUDING SHIP DATA OBTAINED AFTER THE EVENT... IT HAS BEEN DETERMINED THAT ADRIAN WEAKENED OFFSHORE... WITH THE
CENTER MOVING EASTWARD EARLY ON THE 20TH AND ENTERING THE GULFO DE FONSECA... JUST EAST OF EL SALVADOR... AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
THE DEPRESSION THEN MADE LANDFALL ON THE PACIFIC COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE EVENING OF THE 20TH...
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2005/tws/MIATWSEP_may.shtml?


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LadyStorm
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 138
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
Re: Adrian Update June 1. 2005 [Re: danielw]
      #36039 - Thu Jun 02 2005 06:18 AM

Quote:

...A POST-STORM ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT ADRIAN DID NOT MAKE LANDFALL AS A HURRICANE IN EL SALVADOR EARLY ON THE 20TH... AS ASSESSED OPERATIONALLY. BASED ON EXAMINATION OF SATELLITE DATA AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS... INCLUDING SHIP DATA OBTAINED AFTER THE EVENT... IT HAS BEEN DETERMINED THAT ADRIAN WEAKENED OFFSHORE... WITH THE
CENTER MOVING EASTWARD EARLY ON THE 20TH AND ENTERING THE GULFO DE FONSECA... JUST EAST OF EL SALVADOR... AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
THE DEPRESSION THEN MADE LANDFALL ON THE PACIFIC COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE EVENING OF THE 20TH...
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2005/tws/MIATWSEP_may.shtml?





That certainly answers alot of questions as to why the storm appeared to have weaked so fast.

MaryAnn

--------------------
"The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of
thinking we were at when we created them"

..........Albert Einstein


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