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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 43 (Nate) , Major: 61 (Maria) Florida - Any: 71 (Irma) Major: 71 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2005 Storm Forum

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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
98L.Invest
      #40752 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:51 PM

already has a nice swirl

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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: hurricane_run]
      #40829 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:47 PM

NHC Discussion segment on 98L

"CENTRAL ATLC TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 36W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT WITH A 1013 MB LOW ON THE WAVE NEAR 10.5N. THIS LOW HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER-ORGANIZED THAN YESTERDAY WITH BANDING FEATURES COMING ON THE N SIDE AND QUIKSCAT INDICATING A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER CONVECTION REMAINS MEAGER AS THE SYSTEM IS
ENTANGLED WITH A LOT OF MID/UPPER DRY AIR. "


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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 3888
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: Jamiewx]
      #40831 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:48 PM

http://flhurricane.com/modelanimator.php?storm=5&Year=2005

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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: MikeC]
      #40845 - Sat Jul 09 2005 03:10 PM

thanks

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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: hurricane_run]
      #40846 - Sat Jul 09 2005 03:11 PM

NOT ALREADY!!!!!!

--------------------
"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"


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Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 223
Loc: Polk City, FL
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: FlaMommy]
      #40895 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:17 PM

Yikes! Can't Mother Nature at least wait until Dennis has made landfall? Reminds me of last year a bit. I lived in Orlando then, we would just get our power back and schools would resume from one hurricane, when the next one was on its way.

Is it a possibility that the remnants of Dennis could help push this area away from the continental US?

Thanks for the map also. I know the forecast will greatly change over the next week, as when the first models on Dennis came out, it appeared he was on a much different path than he actually took.

I guess we have to brace ourselves. It's a long season. No sense in getting worked up about a storm until we have to. I really enjoy tracking the storms... I just wish I could track them from Iowa or Kansas, our somewhere where my own home wasn't in danger.


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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: Big Red Machine]
      #40954 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:22 PM

not nuch convection with it but has a well defined axis. long as it keeps this for now watch out. lack of convection maybe due to the SAL (saharan air layer) here some images of the SAL

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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: hurricane_run]
      #40955 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:23 PM

sorry the site is down i'll try to get somewhere else

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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: hurricane_run]
      #40983 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:56 PM

there is some convection firing now. and look at the wave currently comming off the coast of africa in this shot

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Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 223
Loc: Polk City, FL
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: hurricane_run]
      #41001 - Sat Jul 09 2005 06:09 PM

What's a good site to get the latest updates on waves, such as 98L?

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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: Big Red Machine]
      #41092 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:20 PM

Here are some links for invest info

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
If the above does not work this is an alternative
http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi
PCBeach Weather-Tropics
CIMSS Tropical Cyclones


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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: Jamiewx]
      #41112 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:39 PM

those are the site i would have suggested oh well lol

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Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 223
Loc: Polk City, FL
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: Jamiewx]
      #41175 - Sat Jul 09 2005 09:24 PM

Wow, thanks! Much appreciated.

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Girlnascar
Weather Watcher


Reged: Tue
Posts: 25
Loc: Orlando Florida USA 28.47N 81.27W
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: Big Red Machine]
      #41288 - Sat Jul 09 2005 11:01 PM

Did anyone just hear Fox weather local Orlando affiliate just now talk about the 2 waves coming off Africa. They said that no need to worry about those that the water is too cool right now to develop? When I heard Dr Lyons earlier mention them both and seemed to infer something there to be watching?

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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: Girlnascar]
      #41291 - Sat Jul 09 2005 11:04 PM

May have to wait until the waves get to about 45 to 50 West before anything significant occurs with them.

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Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 223
Loc: Polk City, FL
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: Jamiewx]
      #41301 - Sat Jul 09 2005 11:19 PM

At least with these two, it appears (now) that the Gulf of Mexico will be spared.

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BillD
User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 396
Loc: Miami 25.70N 80.29W
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: Girlnascar]
      #41311 - Sat Jul 09 2005 11:29 PM

If you look at the models, the high backs off way to the east and it is likely the first one will be a fish spinner. Not sure about the second one, but it is so close behind the first that it, too, will likely be a fish spinner.

Bill


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Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 223
Loc: Polk City, FL
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: BillD]
      #41320 - Sat Jul 09 2005 11:49 PM

Quote:

If you look at the models, the high backs off way to the east and it is likely the first one will be a fish spinner. Not sure about the second one, but it is so close behind the first that it, too, will likely be a fish spinner.

Bill




As close as they are, they also may interfere with each other's development.


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yecatsjg
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sun
Posts: 26
Loc: Bradenton, FL
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: Big Red Machine]
      #41656 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:36 PM

I have wondered about that -- being that close together what effect do they have on each other?

Stacey


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Clark
Meteorologist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc: 45.95N 84.55W
Re: 98L.Invest [Re: yecatsjg]
      #41663 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:47 PM

One would usually take hold over the other and cause it to weaken, whether through shear (from outflow) or assimilation of the weaker system. However, these two "systems" are 20 degrees longitude apart from each other at this time, making any impacts on each somewhat unlikely at this time. The biggest impact down the line could come if the first wave develops into a significant entity and churns up the waters behind it for the other system -- really, if we get two systems out there now, I don't think the waters would be able to support much more for awhile, but then again...this is the 2005 hurricane season.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


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