Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane CenterHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


The Atlantic is mostly quiet
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 11 (Michael) , Major: 11 (Michael) Florida - Any: 11 (Michael) Major: 11 (Michael)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


Archives 2000s >> 2006 Storm Forum

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | >> (show all)
madmumbler
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 324
Loc: SWFL
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: NewWatcher]
      #66896 - Tue Jun 13 2006 08:57 PM

Quote:

I too have been watching this wave all week with HF and today, when most of Alberto was ashore, i looked at the IR and WOW. Also noticed the eastern atlantic wave and the one coming off africa right now. The TWO has given mention to the first two twice now i think. Question tho here is can anybody tell me what criteria the NRL site has for putting up an invest. I would just like to watch what these things do before the invest comes up and sometimes I miss the whole deal.




Okay, a few questions:

1) What's HF (links please)?
2) TWO?
3) NRL?

Every time someone posts a link that's new to me I've been bookmarking it AND sticking it in the links section on one of my sites. (So I can always get to it if I'm not on my computer!)

Thanks!

If you're not on your computer, how do you get to it???~danielw

Edited by danielw (Tue Jun 13 2006 10:58 PM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
fatcat475
Registered User


Reged: Tue
Posts: 1
Loc: mims fl
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: Jenny]
      #66897 - Tue Jun 13 2006 08:57 PM

i'm new to all of this i've always been a weather nut but never really had the time but now that i don't work as much
if the area of interest does form any ideas on where it mit go


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Storm Cooper
User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: madmumbler]
      #66898 - Tue Jun 13 2006 09:00 PM

Your # 1 question is priceless... I'll send you a PM to cover it all....

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
madmumbler
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 324
Loc: SWFL
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: Storm Cooper]
      #66899 - Tue Jun 13 2006 09:10 PM

Thanks!

I write embroidery and other tutorials for a living. Once I get a few other projects knocked out of the way I was thinking about putting together a "Hurricanes and Tropical Storms for Utter Morons" book. *LOL*

Seriously though, I homeschool my son (10) and we take it easy on him during the summer, but I figured this would be a great way now that he's really starting to read well on his own to keep him in school mode AND keep him from obsessing about storms. Any time he learns about something, it takes the fear out of it for him.

--------------------
Lesli in SWFL.
Friends help you move. Real friends help you move bodies.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
madmumbler
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 324
Loc: SWFL
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: Storm Cooper]
      #66900 - Tue Jun 13 2006 09:12 PM

Got it -- thank you!!!

--------------------
Lesli in SWFL.
Friends help you move. Real friends help you move bodies.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
GuppieGrouper
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: madmumbler]
      #66904 - Tue Jun 13 2006 10:28 PM

I remember Joe Bastardi talking about June 20th time frame producing a more dangerous system than he thought Alberto would ever be. We are still not talking major category storm either way, but I am noticing the Eastern Caribbean complex looks like it has definitely gotten into spinning. Upper levels only? Or has this made it to the surface already?

--------------------
God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 815
Loc: hollywood,florida
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: madmumbler]
      #66905 - Tue Jun 13 2006 10:28 PM

Clark and the other pros are great and we all can learn so much from them,But is it time to look outside of the "box"?All that has happened in the last 2 years and what seems to be happening this year so far is not like anything anyone has seen.Can the "books" work against you?Should they be thrown out?Are thinking that this should happen and that should happen may be wrong at this stage?Some of what was taught to the pros may not be true now.What has happened lately is new to everyone.Going into the greek alphabet,are you kidding me?Just a thought.

--------------------

Survived:
Gloria,Bob,Katrina,Wilma and a bunch of tropical storms.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
BullitNutz
Weather Watcher


Reged: Wed
Posts: 46
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: GuppieGrouper]
      #66906 - Tue Jun 13 2006 10:56 PM

Heh Guppie, I was about to mention the same thing about the "twist" it seems to have. As I was typing this, the weather segment came on from Bay News 9, the met was talking about this. His assessment: it looks disorganized, but since the waters there are quite warm, it bears notice.

Any mets here able to weigh in on the prospects of this?


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Stormwatchin' Dan
Weather Watcher


Reged: Fri
Posts: 34
Loc: Miami, FL
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: BullitNutz]
      #66907 - Tue Jun 13 2006 11:01 PM

Quote:

Any mets here able to weigh in on the prospects of this?




I'm not a met but it could be a mid level circulation.

--------------------
My Hurricane Season 2006 Prediction: 15/8/5


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
West FL Jess
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Fri
Posts: 50
Loc: Tampa Bay
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: Jenny]
      #66909 - Tue Jun 13 2006 11:51 PM

WOW

--------------------
~jess~



Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Stormwatchin' Dan
Weather Watcher


Reged: Fri
Posts: 34
Loc: Miami, FL
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: West FL Jess]
      #66910 - Tue Jun 13 2006 11:53 PM

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


000
ABNT20 KNHC 140306
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT TUE JUN 13 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE National Hurricane Center IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ALBERTO... LOCATED INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA ABOUT
55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF STATESBORO.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED
SHOWERS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... MUCH OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES... AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS. ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY THAT COULD BRING BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... PUERTO RICO... AND
HISPANIOLA AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH.

ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN
WINDWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS SYSTEM
REMAINS BROAD AND DISORGANIZED... AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

--------------------
My Hurricane Season 2006 Prediction: 15/8/5


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3518
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: Stormwatchin' Dan]
      #66911 - Tue Jun 13 2006 11:58 PM

Latest IR Imagery-0315Z. Is showing something that resembles a mid-level circulation. Located near 15.0N/ 65.0W at 0315Z.
Strongest convection is NW of this location by at least 60 miles.

Another circulation is seen near 10.0N/ 40.0W. Little to no convective activity at this time.

Strongest area of convective activity is located near 5.0N/ 20-30W. This could possibly be two separate systems.

Another weak area is located on the NE tip of the Yucatan Peninsula. Little, to no convective activity is observable at this time. This area is the 'tail' of the convection attached to the remnants of Tropical Sotrm Alberto.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Nateball
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 40
Loc: Tarpon Springs FL
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: Stormwatchin' Dan]
      #66912 - Tue Jun 13 2006 11:58 PM

My guess is nothing much will come from either of the waves but it still seems pretty active for mid june.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Stormwatchin' Dan
Weather Watcher


Reged: Fri
Posts: 34
Loc: Miami, FL
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: Nateball]
      #66913 - Wed Jun 14 2006 12:01 AM

I think either from this wave or the one in that mess in the atlantic, there will be atleast a depression some time in june.

--------------------
My Hurricane Season 2006 Prediction: 15/8/5


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Clark
Meteorologist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc:
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #66914 - Wed Jun 14 2006 12:31 AM

Nah, our theory actually covers the actions quite well -- why these storms form and last in the conditions that they do. It's just not the classical tropical-type of development everyone is used to, that's all. Where the debate begins is the effect of man on all of this (the global warming debate), but that's a debate best left for another time and another board.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Stormwatchin' Dan
Weather Watcher


Reged: Fri
Posts: 34
Loc: Miami, FL
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: Clark]
      #66915 - Wed Jun 14 2006 12:46 AM

The meterologist from Local 10 news here said that the NHC isnt impressed with this wave or the one in atlantic and that this one should move under(past) florida later on. So maybe it'll just be calm here for a little bit but i give a 90% chance that a TD atleast will form out there.

--------------------
My Hurricane Season 2006 Prediction: 15/8/5


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
BullitNutz
Weather Watcher


Reged: Wed
Posts: 46
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: Stormwatchin' Dan]
      #66917 - Wed Jun 14 2006 01:43 AM

Quote:

The meterologist from Local 10 news here said that the NHC isnt impressed with this wave or the one in atlantic and that this one should move under(past) florida later on. So maybe it'll just be calm here for a little bit but i give a 90% chance that a TD atleast will form out there.




That's good to hear, we could use a bit of time to dry out and uh... rake the leaves out of our yards.... maybe put our trash cans upright... here in Port Richey. For all the hootin' and hollerin' they did here in Pasco, there sure wasn't much to be afraid of.

However, I'm more than glad they reacted the way they did. Hedged their bets, took everything at face value, prepared for the worst and hoped for the best. It was an overreaction on the part of the EOC, but "underreaction" can (and often does) kill people when it comes to these things.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
madmumbler
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 324
Loc: SWFL
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: BullitNutz]
      #66920 - Wed Jun 14 2006 07:09 AM

Is it me or does it look like that one closest to us is starting to fall apart?

--------------------
Lesli in SWFL.
Friends help you move. Real friends help you move bodies.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
HURRICANELONNY
Weather Guru


Reged: Sat
Posts: 100
Loc: HOLLYWOOD,FL.
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: madmumbler]
      #66925 - Wed Jun 14 2006 08:20 AM

Yep. I think the TUTT is getting the best of it. It's early in the season. The amazing thing is the size of the waves coming off Africa so early. Hope it's not a sign of things to come. Hoping for at least a weak El Nino so some of these waves will be crushed. I might get my wish later in the season:http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/enso.shtml

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
newbie
Unregistered




Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea [Re: HURRICANELONNY]
      #66926 - Wed Jun 14 2006 10:32 AM

I've noticed an area around 25N55W on the 1315Z Atl Vis loop. It looks like it pulled in a tail of moisture from the area around Puerto Rico. Any possibility of development?

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | >> (show all)



Extra information
0 registered and 4 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: **
Topic views: 24969

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center