ShawnS
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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Hey man, that's o.k. You make some good posts on here; I'm just glad I wasn't out on my own with it.
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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shawn you were right sat night we made you go to bed great job i am going to bed see ya monday
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Robert
Weather Analyst
Reged: Sat
Posts: 364
Loc: Southeast, FL
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A small burst of convection is there we will just have to wiat and see if it gets bigger. Im with ed in that ir will be pretty much useless tonight unless it really means buissnes but i still think that climatology will hold true and it will really start cooking when it gets up towards the nw carribean
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AnonymousW
Unregistered
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Where is the allegedly new center of the TD? I really appreciate the information.
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Jeanine
Weather Watcher
Reged: Mon
Posts: 36
Loc: Hollywood, FL
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Gary Grays' discussion tonight is good, he feels that there is also still a closed circulation. 
www.millenniumweather.com/tropical/discuss.html
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HanKFranK
User
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
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burst of convection going off near 14/70.. roughly where the center would be.. if the extrapolated motion is holding. see if that holds up.. if it does t.d. ten is back in business.
HF 0128z16september
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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Can anyone recommend atracking software for a palm pilot ?
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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looks good now moving fast were is it going now that we no were it is
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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well I still dont have a perdiction on this system. I held off last 2 days cause I couldnt find reliability in the models on wanting to develop this thing as much as they did. Now they hardly want to develop this at all, maybe a weak TS again in the gulf by Thurs or Friday. Again I still dont know and wont know until I can get now 2 consistant model runs in from AVN. I discount the . 1 run it wants a cat 3 then the next a weak TS. Anyways there is a open wave with a slight midlevel circulation people see. If this storm will develop then it will over the next day or 2. It should slow and turn NW. How strong I wont know till Monday afternoon. Right now not only is there no west wind, there is no north wind at all. This is such a open wave that the convection north of Hispianola looks better. Even though there is a Conv burst in the central carribean, there is not a close chance for a circulation in the next 6-12 hours. Now a ship reporting SE winds near 18K near 13 N and 74W and there should be a NNE to NNW wind. The system is open. Again I will post more later on Monday.
scottsvb HURRICANEUPDATECENTER
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Jeanine
Weather Watcher
Reged: Mon
Posts: 36
Loc: Hollywood, FL
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As of 0115Z the most current pic on the page, now has it at 14.3N-70.0W, 30kts, 1008mb. Good call Robert and Shawn
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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just saw channel 13 tampa weather, and he says he just saw information that depression is forming again and will be cyclone during the day monday. its not dead...........
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Robert
Weather Analyst
Reged: Sat
Posts: 364
Loc: Southeast, FL
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I dont no i gave up with tracking software a long time ago all they give you is update and who wants just the , now if there were a tracking software that had joes update,nhc update all the models updated gary's discussion and mikes and several others then that would be hell of a software, but only in a perfect world.
Try doing an internet search.
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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as i said there will be a isadore soon, and i think will eventually become a major hurricane.
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Eduardo
Unregistered
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I am a student at Harvard University who is really interested in learning about hurricanes. How could one ascertain that the center was relocated? And could anyone direct me to a source that explains the metereology behind the recolocation of the center of tropical systems. THANKS!!!!
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Marktropic
Unregistered
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Its true there is no low level circulation yet but midlevel is visible on IR. We will have to wait until mourning to see visible satellite and if thunderstorms continue to build over night. Nothing we can do now but wait. My honest feeling is we will have regeneration tommorow north of 15 north and west of 71 west moving nw not wnw. As for after that I think its best until we wait until mourning to see what it actually will be doing. Jamicia should be watching this closely over night and early tommorow and thats as far as I will go tonight. 
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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VERY GOOD FORCAST MARK. I agree with you. scottsvb
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Alex k
Unregistered
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Looks like it has a good chance of reforming tommorrow. If it does it could mean real problems for the Cuba and the Gulf of Mexico-like we didn't know that. I'd give it a 70-80%chance of reforming.
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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look at 1030 tropical weather outlook there will be a low level center soon, if not already and they said cyclone not depression.
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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and your name is? scottsvb
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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sorry its mark, isnt it amazing that these african waves are hard to kill remember Andrew was said to be dead at one time too. looks like a big burst at 70 west.
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