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Archives 2000s >> 2003 News Talkback

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mp3reed
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 16
Loc: Abilene, Texas USA
Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida
      #9061 - Wed Aug 13 2003 06:40 PM

We've had 0.0" rain here in 45 days. Send some of that our way.

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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
Tropical System Approaches South Florida
      #9062 - Wed Aug 13 2003 06:40 PM

First rain bands starting to come ashore here in Palm Beach County. Winds all along the Gold Coast are sustained 20-23 mph with gusts to near 30 mph. Lowest pressure is at Miami Beach at 29.96". Over in the Bahamas, winds are gusting to 32 mph at Freeport and lowest pressure is at Nassau at 29.94". Steve- I knew I would get you going , but the Saints can't compare to Florida football (Dolphins, Bucs, Canes, Noles, Gators and sometimes Jags). Rich B.- What's with the heat over in England?

--------------------
Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.

Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4


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Rich B
British Meteorologist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 498
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida
      #9063 - Wed Aug 13 2003 06:56 PM

Hey WXMAN...

it has been way too hot over here in England... on Sunday we broke the UK record high temp... with a peak of 38.1'C / 100.6'F. It is cooling down now... but we had 7 consecutive days with temperatures in excess of 32'C / 90'F. Not as bad here as in mainland Europe though

As for the disturbance in the Bahamas... i wouldnt be surprised to see it classified following this Recon flight. Satellite imagery shows it remains quite well organised, with a core of deep convection near Great Abaco Island.

--------------------
Rich B

SkyWarn UK


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BillD
User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 396
Loc: Miami
Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida
      #9064 - Wed Aug 13 2003 07:02 PM

I use PSU also, been missing it, hope they get back online soon.

Based on 22:31Z visual sat image and radar out of Miami, I'm putting the center at around 26.5N 77.8W heading about due West. On radar it looks almost like WSW, on the sat loop it looks more WNW.

I think they will classify this at 11:00PM if not before, might even be a TS before landfall.

Bill


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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
Tropical System Approaches South Florida
      #9065 - Wed Aug 13 2003 07:12 PM

Hey Bill,

If you are correct and it heads due west, it will go right over my house. I am at exactly 26.5N.

--------------------
Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.

Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4


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BillD
User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 396
Loc: Miami
Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida
      #9066 - Wed Aug 13 2003 07:24 PM

I'm jealous (I would not say this if this was anything above a TS, I've had my share of hurricanes).

You can see the circulation on the radar: Miami Long Range Base Reflectivity

Also I think I was off a little, might be a little further South. It will become more clear where it is as it gets closer, and the radar is picking up reflections closer to the surface. Does anyone have a reference to distance vs. height with radar? How high up is that circulation? For sure its not at the surface.

Bill

Edited by BillD (Wed Aug 13 2003 07:29 PM)


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ShawnS
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
Recon??
      #9067 - Wed Aug 13 2003 07:34 PM

Anyone know when the evening recon will be out in the system?

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TROPIC KING
Unregistered




Re: Recon??
      #9068 - Wed Aug 13 2003 07:36 PM

RECON IS NEAR FT MYERS RIGHT NOW

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Storm Cooper
User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida
      #9069 - Wed Aug 13 2003 07:36 PM

I think... again I think... if you can see the circulation ( I have not looked at it yet ) on the 88D or any Wx radar for that matter.. then you are pretty well down there. I have to put on my Kevlar now

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


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javlin24
Unregistered




Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida
      #9070 - Wed Aug 13 2003 07:37 PM

Hey Steve and Coop look at the BOC again on VIS man it looks like something is trying to happen.Our could it be my imagination.I amnot to good at finding bouy data yet.

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Storm Cooper
User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida
      #9071 - Wed Aug 13 2003 07:59 PM

Something looks interesting. The loop I was checking at work ended I believe at 20:15 ( NASA ). I looked to me then this was at least mid level. I see the overall spin I believe you are speaking of. I will look more at some things. I think you can get bouy data by link on the CFHC main page, if not I'll post it

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


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TROPIC KING
Unregistered




Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida
      #9072 - Wed Aug 13 2003 08:06 PM

Satellite pictures and observations show a definit spin and if this system is not a TD soon I will be very surprised. Thunderstorms are developing right over the what I feel is the new center and over the last 4 hours this area of thunderstorms have expanded greatly. This is the strongest wave I've seen without it being upgraded. I will be very surprised if we don't get new information by 9pm.

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Rad
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 173
Loc: St. Pete Fl. {27.8N 82.7W}
Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida
      #9073 - Wed Aug 13 2003 08:07 PM

Hey Javlin , Check this link out ... http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/Maps/Florida.shtml

--------------------
RIDE 2 LIVE 2 RIDE


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javlin24
Unregistered




Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida
      #9074 - Wed Aug 13 2003 08:14 PM

Whatever it is shall be short lived WV loops man this BOC is about to get slam dunked by two huge ULL's.Looks are decieving but the ULL S of 91L looks to be moving 1)slightly N of W maybe and 2)slightly faster than 91L.Any opinions appreciated.The 91L system I believe is guided by the ULL.

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TROPIC KING
Unregistered




Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida
      #9075 - Wed Aug 13 2003 08:15 PM

RECON NOW AT 26.4N 78.5 WEST WINDS 060 AT 20MPH. THE OUTTER EDGE OF THE SYSTEM

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CocoaBeach
Unregistered




What's your guess
      #9076 - Wed Aug 13 2003 08:31 PM

Just off the hip, where do you think the meat of this disturbance will come a shore?

My guess is just North of Ft. Lauderdale.
Anyone Anyone....


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TROPIC KING
Unregistered




Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida
      #9077 - Wed Aug 13 2003 08:32 PM

RECON AT 26.1N 77.0 WEST WINDS 140 AT 30 MPH

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HanKFranK
User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
bigger picture
      #9078 - Wed Aug 13 2003 08:47 PM

okay okay, the fury of 91L bears down on south florida. utterly terrifying. true it might close off something NHC can name it by before it crosses the state in the morning hours, and true it will may pose a significant threat to the western gulf over the weekend. but, thats been talked up and spun to death, let's look elsewhere.
bay of campeche: somebody already observed this, but it's got convergence and some wave-triggered convective activity going at the moment. not much room to work with, would be much more interesting if it weren't so close to land.
25/45: another piece of energy broke away and tailed back as that central atlantic trough receded, tailing back like the piece that has given us 91L. it's drifting wsw, swirling some, generating an odd puff of convection. worth watching since it's of the same ilk as our current source of interest.
new wave still over africa: if anybody read my follow up to ed's forum piece last night, i was yakkin' about how much convection is over saharan africa right now. the monsoon down there is really going, and it's pattern-related to the intense heat in europe. a wave/low is going to come off tomorrow around 15N, and it looks quite impressive over land (token value noted). since MJO is probably becoming friendly and we're in the active part of the season it may well provide us something new to watch in the days ahead.
well, hope that was a nice change of pace from the hoopla over the imminent destruction of south florida by a tropical wave.
a'ite, better shut up or advisories will have been out for fifteen minutes by the time i post this..
out.
HF 0050z14august


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HanKFranK
User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida
      #9079 - Wed Aug 13 2003 08:49 PM

140? uh, that's southeast? no cookie.

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Storm Cooper
User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
Re: What's your guess
      #9080 - Wed Aug 13 2003 08:59 PM

If the center is called where I feel it will be (and if called?).... Deerfield Beach, 20 NM either side.

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


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