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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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wxman007
Meteorologist


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Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
Photos From the Visit.....
      #14404 - Wed May 19 2004 08:38 PM

Here is a link to some photos I took at the Hurricane Hunter Open House in Panama City today. Stacy (Da MAN) Stewart from NHC was there, and it was a pleasure to meet him and interview him for our noon news.

Jason's Webshots Page

Shoot out questions or comments if you have them....

--------------------
Jason Kelley


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James88
Weather Master


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Re: SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
      #14405 - Wed May 19 2004 08:42 PM




Votes accepted from (Thu Apr 25 2024 05:33 PM) to (No end specified)
View the results of this poll



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LI Phil
User


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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Photos From the Visit.....
      #14406 - Wed May 19 2004 08:58 PM

JK

De Plane...de plane. I do have a question. I'm not afraid to fly, but I freak at even the slightest turbulence, so there's no way in HeLl I'd go for a recon flight...but, I know many others on this board would (Frank P. comes to mind). Would you fly with the Hurricane Hunters if you could? BTW, since they were there, did the NHC or any Hunters explain what it would take for a 'civilian' to hop a flight? What about a met such as yourself? Cuz it sure would be neat if you or anyone else for that matter from this board was able to fly some recon and then give us all a firsthand account of it. Some cool photos from your page.

LI Phil

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

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wxman007
Meteorologist


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Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
Re: Photos From the Visit.....
      #14407 - Wed May 19 2004 09:06 PM

Not only would I but I have....Danny 97, in a WC-130 AFR Hunter. I am tenatively on the list to take a P-3 Ride this year as well...we'll see.

As far as civilians, you must be a member of the working press, or affiliated with NOAA, and sign your life away to get a ride. However, from the looks of the interior, you aren't missing much in creature comforts...lol

--------------------
Jason Kelley


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LI Phil
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Re: Photos From the Visit.....
      #14408 - Wed May 19 2004 09:10 PM

JK

Oh, man...I'll bet a lot of folks on this board would kill for the opportunity. I'll leave it to you if you want to describe the flight, but one last question: what storm did you fly into? Anything memorable or was it a fish-spinner, or just an average 'cane?

LI Phil

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

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bobbi
Unregistered




hurricane hunters
      #14409 - Wed May 19 2004 09:14 PM

id sign, id fly... id try

would love to fly inside a cane, see the planes ... id love it

i dont love flying but id take lots of chill pills if given the chance

you're lucky jason

bobbi (hi)


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LI Phil
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Re: hurricane hunters
      #14410 - Wed May 19 2004 09:24 PM

Bobbi,

Those "chill pills" just might end up in the "gag bag" in the outer bands. LOL

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

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wxman007
Meteorologist


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Re: Photos From the Visit.....
      #14411 - Wed May 19 2004 09:33 PM

Hurricane Danny, 1997....made landfall near Orange Beach, AL...Cat 1 at the time of my flight...flew several passes at about 10k ft. A little bumpy, but not as bad as I had envisioned. Danny wasn't the classically structured storm as far as interior configuration, but it was a fun ride nonetheless.

--------------------
Jason Kelley


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LI Phil
User


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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Danny 97
      #14412 - Wed May 19 2004 09:35 PM

JK, Nice. Bet you're glad you didn't fly into Hugo.

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

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wxman007
Meteorologist


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Re: Danny 97
      #14413 - Wed May 19 2004 09:44 PM

Actually, They tell me that the stronger hurricanes are smoother rides that the Cat 1and 2's. The flow around the stronger storms is more even and less turbulent, so it is actually a better ride (and more scenic too).

--------------------
Jason Kelley


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LONNY307
Unregistered




Re: Danny 97
      #14414 - Wed May 19 2004 09:51 PM

The discussion on the NHC site pretty much shunts the system east leaving me high and dry in Miami. They mention a dry ULL moving southeast in the Gulf that will push the moisture towards Puerto Rico/Cuba. We need some rain here I hope there not right.

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LI Phil
User


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Re: Danny 97
      #14415 - Wed May 19 2004 10:01 PM

Actually, JK, my comment was somewhat tongue in cheek, as the flight (s?) into Hugo have become the stuff of lore for the ferocity with which Hugo treated the plane and crew. For anyone who's interested in a first-hand account, here's a link. It's pretty long, but a nice read.

hunting hugo

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

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"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Rabbit
Weather Master


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Re: Danny 97
      #14416 - Wed May 19 2004 11:10 PM

how reliable are the GFDL forecasts?
http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2004051912-invest90l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation


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LI Phil
User


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GFDL Accuracy
      #14417 - Wed May 19 2004 11:38 PM

According to GFDL, they're pretty accurate

the horse's mouth

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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

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LI Phil
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Re: GFDL Accuracy
      #14418 - Wed May 19 2004 11:45 PM

Here's another unbiased(?) review (scroll down):

gfdl review

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker


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8:05pm EDT TWD
      #14419 - Thu May 20 2004 12:52 AM

No mention of any kind of development in the 8:05pm TWD. I figured they may mention something of it after looking at some of the models indicating possible development. Guess we will see.

--------------------
"Climate is what you expect, weather is what you get"
- Robert A. Heinlein


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LI Phil
User


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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: 8:05pm EDT TWD
      #14420 - Thu May 20 2004 12:57 AM

JamieWeather,

Welcome aboard. These boards are unusually active for this time of year, but, then again, if Steve is correct in his reading of the models, we may well have a TS on our hands by this weekend. At least it seems an invest will be in order by Friday. Go ahead and make some predictions (see the Storm Forum).

Peace,

LI Phil

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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hey phil
Unregistered




chillpills and outter bands
      #14421 - Thu May 20 2004 12:59 AM

they might end up in the gag bag but id be smiling either way

sure a lot of other people around here would love to go for a ride


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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
Computer Models
      #14422 - Thu May 20 2004 01:03 AM

Thanks for the welcome, i've actually been viewing and posting as an unregistered user since last year. LI Phil do you know a good website that has a listing of all the Tropical/Hurricane Models. Also Ed mentions the SHIPS model forecast bringing the disturbance to TS strength by Thursday. Where does he go to find that information? I need to learn all the neat sites that you guys use to aid you in making predictions.

--------------------
"Climate is what you expect, weather is what you get"
- Robert A. Heinlein


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LI Phil
User


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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Computer Models
      #14423 - Thu May 20 2004 01:16 AM

Well, that's just great. I just composed a 1,000 word essay on where you could go for some models. And then the computer "ate" my homework. Anyway, I had first suggested you start with this forum...the "Storm Links" page under "CONTENT" has probably most of the sites you are looking for. Failing that, I found a miraculous site a short while back, 600 hurricane links that will lead you to most of what you seek. Tomorrow, when I'm at (cough, cough) work, I'll post some more specific links, just don't have the access to them at home at the moment. Enjoy

LI Phil

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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