Joe
Storm Tracker
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Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
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The largest evac in pinellas county history. They will begin evac people from A,B,C levels thats 350,000 thousand people.
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
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Loc: USA
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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Let's hope that it doesn't slow down . Looks like he could be a cat 2 before he enters the gulf 
http://www.hardcoreweather.com
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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They started evacuating or are going to? (in pinellas county)
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rickonboat
Weather Hobbyist
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Anyone have any info on Joe Bastardi's take on . Now that we have a killer on the loose, I will dispense with jokes.
One thing I might add, however, is this.
No one knows what mechanisms change a cat 3 to a 4 or 5. That being said...with this, we all know anything is still possible as far as strength. Those in the path need to be aware that a 3 is very scary and dangerous...I went through a direct hit with a strong 3 in 1979 (Frederic)...
anything above that would be very life threatening..especially in substandard homes...
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joepub1
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
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I'm using the GhccSat program that was posted yesterday. Maybe Mike or LI Phil can put the link up again. My last pic was the 1532, where the eye is clearing up nicely. The program itself is the bomb, as it scans for updates on it's own once you set it up. I'm jogging between both storms because N FL is about to get the effects of Bonnie.
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Joe
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 216
Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
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They are expected to start evacuating at 6pm.
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-vis-loop.html
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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GaryC
Weather Guru
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Posts: 109
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Anyone know when the watches will go up for the ne of florida? I would think we will get some cause of the effects we will get.
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PFSThunder
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 38
Loc: Charleston, SC
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A radar link showing Bonnie making landfall.
http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USLocal...mp;prodnav=none
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Go Boilermakers
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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Just want to correc the above post.
They are starting evacuations NOW. The shelters open at 6:00 p.m. but they are urging people to go to a place of safety other than a shelter....a friend or relative that's not in the evacuation zones. Public shelters should be used as a last resort.
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LI Phil
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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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>>> Anyone have any info on Joe Bastardi's take on
Yeah, and it's not good. He's concerned with slowing, and is in agreement with TPC's projections. CAT III or higher is possible, once clears Cooba.
A small but telling snippet:
"The problem now becomes, where, when and how strong, and it looks like first the keys tomorrow morning and ten the Florida coast. The spray still has some runs with Tampa being saved as the system only comes as close as Elena did in 1985, which was nasty, but did not do what a cat 3 hitting where TPC has it would do ( even a cat 2). In the mix though is the idea that it can hit further south and not only would this be the strongest storm to hit from the gulf between Tampa and Naples since Donna in 1960, amazingly one of the analog years in our hurricane forecast, but it also ups the ante for the possible hugging of the south atlantic coast from North Florida to a second landfall near Charleston."
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Lake Toho - Kissimmee
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 317
Loc: Kissimmee, Florida on Lake Toh...
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Amazing that Bastardi agrees with the and TPC, when Accuweather has the hurricane missing Tampa and hitting big bend area.. Even one Orlando Television station is showing this.. Talk about confusing the confused. Makes people delay getting their supplies.
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Dream like you will live forever.. Live like there is no tommorow.. Darwin Rules !!
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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Joe,
You are right they are doing a Madatory Level "C" Evac
Starting at 6pm. (Level C is barrier islands and low lying area's?)
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
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Hey Rick, you want Bastardi?
>>With such things in mind, anyone not heeding TPC advice on getting out of the way, is playing with their life. Its as simple as that.
Enjoy.
Steve
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MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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bobbi
Unregistered
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great posts btw just wanted to say that.. waiting to see where he crosses cuba and when
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
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>>Hello.... I am from Nova Scotia (Canada)......
I think it's going to ride up farther west than you guys. It's liable to be somewhere between Hudson Bay and the Great Lakes (Eastern Ontario maybe?). But it's not going to be anything like Juan. That was a different situation.
Hoser Steve
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MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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joepub1
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
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On a zoomed 1600 utc visable of , you now get a funnel effect looking down into the eye. He's a Cat 2 on Cuba more than likely, maybe a high 2.
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Steve hirschb.
Unregistered
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Charley's eye is out and he's moving more towards the NNW and developing a nice eyewall; this has major written all over it. The Stacey Stewart comment bothers me......"there is a distinct possibility that he could be major at landfall if he goes in east south of Tampa". 
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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lets hope not
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