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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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Keith234
Storm Chaser


Reged: Thu
Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
Re: Ivan and Texas [Re: 52255225]
      #25875 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:37 PM

You like the shark, I got to make up my mind LOL. Sorry guys don't want to change the topic.

--------------------
"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe


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mikeG
Unregistered




Re: Ivan and Texas [Re: Keith234]
      #25876 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:40 PM

URNT12 KNHC 121602
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 12/15:05:00Z
B. 18 deg 56 min N
081 deg 39 min W
C. 700 mb 2429 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 059 deg 130 kt
G. 329 deg 028 nm
H. 922 mb
I. 6 C/ 3356 m
J. 17 C/ 3346 m
K. 13 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. CO15-40
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF304 WXWXA 040912IVAN OB 04
MAX FL WIND 130 KT NW QUAD 14:55:10 Z
INNER EYE RAGGED


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kelcot
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 104
Loc: Canton, Ga
Re: Ivan and Texas [Re: mikeG]
      #25878 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:43 PM

is Ivan starting to fall apart?

--------------------
Kelly


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Sadie
Weather Watcher


Reged: Fri
Posts: 44
Loc: Arcadia, FL
Re: ivan heading for the yucatan? [Re: mikeG]
      #25879 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:44 PM

That link is INCREDIBLE. Let's my poor undereducated mind see and understand all the ridges and trofs you pro's have been talking about. It takes a while to load if you have dial up but well worth the wait. Many thanks.

--------------------
"...Grandmother the Earth. That power is here all the time. It is continuous, and nobody controls it." Wallace Black Elk, Lakota


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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Ivan and Texas [Re: kelcot]
      #25880 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:45 PM

Unfortunately not. He's going through another ERC ATTM and when's he's completed that, watch the pressure drop again. I think he's gonna take a run at<900mb before all is said and done...

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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waatcher
Unregistered




URL for models [Re: kelcot]
      #25881 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:46 PM

sorry for being lame
but what is the URL that shows the models in motion?
I know there is something on an FSU site but I cant remember it


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Turningforever
Unregistered




UpDownLeftRight [Re: kelcot]
      #25882 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:47 PM

Maybe, maybe not, either way, it has alot of water and time to get's it act together to hit anything from Texas to Key West.

After the last two, I still can't believe people are still acting like "Should I stay or should I go?" GO for god sake, this thing isn't HUMAN.


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52255225
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 166
Loc: Parrish Fl
Re: Ivan and Texas [Re: LI Phil]
      #25883 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:49 PM

I wonder if scottsvb1 will pan out this time? I must say hes been pretty accurate previously with them. Only time will tell..

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MrSpock
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 296
Re: URL for models [Re: waatcher]
      #25884 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:49 PM

Here's the one I use, and it is timely:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/


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kelcot
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 104
Loc: Canton, Ga
Re: Ivan and Texas [Re: LI Phil]
      #25885 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:51 PM

thanks a lot, pal. That's not what I wanted to hear.
The inlaws are headed to PCB to board up their house and remove their most important things. My husband and brother in law might leave tonight to help them. (The have about a zillion windows on their house)
Bettye......LOL

--------------------
Kelly


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mikeG
Unregistered




Re: Ivan and Texas [Re: mikeG]
      #25886 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:52 PM

don't look like it.....two things could be fixing to happen. one...the current eyewall replacement is going on and inner eyewall is about to collaspe and could bring back a bigger still storm this aftternoon...one wall is at 15m wide....while other is a 30m....the stronger one....so cat 5 again and higher winds...and very low pressure...maybe around 900mb....is possible now....... and # two...he's about to start a more north movement...
speaking of recon.....new one

URNT12 KNHC 121620
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 12/1620Z
B. 19 DEG 01 MIN N
81 DEG 50 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2408 M
D. 080 KT
E. 217 DEG 012 NM
F. 132 DEG 122 KT
G. 045 DEG 027 NM
H. 922 MB
I. 9 C/ 3056 M
J. 16 C/ 3048 M
K. 16 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C15-30
N. 12345/7
O. 0.1/ 2 NM
P. AF866 2409A Ivan OB 13
MAX FL WIND 131 KT NW QUAD 1428Z.


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Elaine H
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 21
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South [Re: MikeC]
      #25887 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:54 PM

Where is CB?

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Elaine H
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 21
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South [Re: MikeC]
      #25888 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:55 PM

sorry...PCB

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kelcot
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 104
Loc: Canton, Ga
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South [Re: Elaine H]
      #25889 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:56 PM

Panama City Beach

--------------------
Kelly


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mikeG
Unregistered




Re: Ivan and Texas [Re: mikeG]
      #25890 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:56 PM

note**

betwn vortex.....second eyewall went from 40 to 30 in a 1hr and 20min?
hmm....am i reading this right....


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kelcot
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 104
Loc: Canton, Ga
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South [Re: kelcot]
      #25891 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:57 PM

and speaking of PCB, is anyone on now there? If so, have they started cleaning up the strip from all of the construction, yet?

--------------------
Kelly


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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South [Re: kelcot]
      #25892 - Sun Sep 12 2004 12:59 PM

JK, Coop & Andy1Tom all seem to be offline now. Don't know if any other board members are from PCB...shout out if you are

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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kelcot
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 104
Loc: Canton, Ga
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South [Re: LI Phil]
      #25893 - Sun Sep 12 2004 01:00 PM

I'm sure the three of them are just a tad busy right now.

--------------------
Kelly


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Storm Cooper
User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South [Re: kelcot]
      #25894 - Sun Sep 12 2004 01:01 PM

All that is still going on as far as I know. I plan to ride out there later on. A few places in Panama City have begun to board up.

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


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kelcot
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 104
Loc: Canton, Ga
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South [Re: kelcot]
      #25895 - Sun Sep 12 2004 01:02 PM

Oh, MikeC, I just sent you some cash via paypal.

--------------------
Kelly


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