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Archives 2000s >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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tikibar
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Sun
Posts: 13
Loc: 28.6N 81.37W
Re: From the endzone... [Re: LI Phil]
      #25976 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:22 PM

PIT 24
OAK 21


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HMY
Unregistered




Re: question from the peanut gallery [Re: clueless]
      #25977 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:23 PM

Same thing here is Sebring. Just not "normal". But over the past month's experiences, I can only attribute it to what's been happening. Hurricanes! I know very little about any of this (have learned tons from this site, though). Until Ivan is well north of me, then I'll be relieved.

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spook
Unregistered




Re: From the endzone... [Re: tikibar]
      #25978 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:24 PM

Ivan 2 NHC 0

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andy1tom
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
Re: From the endzone... [Re: LI Phil]
      #25979 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:25 PM

ok,
fsu lost, oak lost, tb lost... it comes in threes' aint no way Ivan is coming here..


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1421
Loc: Florida
Re: From the endzone... [Re: andy1tom]
      #25980 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:31 PM

WE NOW RETURN YOU TO YOUR REGULARLY SCHEDULED HURRICANE

Sorry, mods... ....I just know for me that a little humor goes a long way in situations like the one we're in now.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Cathy
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 16
Loc: Florida Native - Bartow (Polk ...
Re: Ivan Misses a Direct hit on the Caymans to the South [Re: Colleen A.]
      #25981 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:35 PM

TWC: Cedar Key and North Reddington Beach - am I missing something?

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Terry Johnson
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 11
Loc: Tarpon Springs, FL
Re: From the endzone... [Re: tikibar]
      #25982 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:35 PM

What???? No Browns score????

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andy1tom
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
Re: From the endzone... [Re: Colleen A.]
      #25983 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:36 PM

anyone have a scoop on the next advisory?? looking at the loops i would say its slowing but does that mean it going to make the turn to the north or going to do another jog west?

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SoonerShawn
Unregistered




Ivan [Re: andy1tom]
      #25984 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:42 PM

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-wv-loop.html

Look at this and see if you don't notice how the trof that was barreling down has really slowed like it ran into a wall or something. If you don't see it than I guess I'm wrong.

ShawnS


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wxman007
Meteorologist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
Re: From the endzone... [Re: andy1tom]
      #25985 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:44 PM

Slowing usually means a track shift, but we will have to wait and see...but I think I see hints of a north jog in the last few frames...

--------------------
Jason Kelley


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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
5pm Advisory scoop [Re: wxman007]
      #25986 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:45 PM

The 5 PM EDT position...19.3 N... 82.5 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 10 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...150 mph. Minimum central pressure... 916 mb.


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BillD
User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 396
Loc: Miami
Re: Ivan [Re: SoonerShawn]
      #25987 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:48 PM

I do see it. It looks to me like Ivan is pushing the dry air ahead of it into the trof at lower levels. However the trof convection isn't getting pushed, it almost looks like it is starting to interact directly with Ivan. I think this is when the turn will start.

Bill


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pcb
Unregistered




Re: Ivan [Re: BillD]
      #25988 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:50 PM

CHECK OUT WJHG.COM
PANAMA CITY, FL

RADAR ON RIGHT....VIPIR.. NEW?


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AdmittedHacker
Unregistered




Re: 5pm Advisory scoop [Re: Jamiewx]
      #25989 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:52 PM

New position out... headed almost due west. I know everyone keeps saying a turn "any hour now" but geez... Ivan isn't listening. Now advisories are going out for Mexico...

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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
Re: From the endzone... hey phil [Re: LI Phil]
      #25990 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:52 PM

this might be a hurricane related string afterall

lets think on this
miami did lousy (and we thought that was bad coaching)

new orleans lost...
tampa lost

maybe all those players have a lot on their minds
i mean if you had million dollar luxury homes with every latest convenience known to mankind in them and had to go out there and play knowing it might all be whoosh taken away

would your mind be on the game?
maybe..those players have been sitting up all night watching TWC

hmnnn

a lot of teams in the cone of uncertainty LOST

see my point???

--------------------
http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1421
Loc: Florida
Re: Ivan [Re: SoonerShawn]
      #25991 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:54 PM

Wow..that was a great loop to look at. Looks like the High by eastern Florida is starting to weaken, lifting more up to the north, and the trough is really coming in strong. From what I have seen with my un-college-educated eye is that maybe that western motion is slowing and the lifting of the high is going to allow Ivan to start moving more NW.
It also appears that Ivan is now too far west to allow for that trough to push him under Florida.
This is going to be interesting, huh?
Is that what your're seeing?
Note: maybe this is why the NHC has kept the forecast track a little further east of the model guidance for the last couple of advisories?

Edited by Colleen A. (Sun Sep 12 2004 04:56 PM)


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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
bill you just never give up do you? [Re: BillD]
      #25992 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:54 PM

They posted watches and/or warnings for the yucatan

tho they do insist it is going wnw...
would say really north of due west and they are hoping it will go wnw

--------------------
http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/


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SirCane
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 249
Loc: Pensacola, FL
Re: From the endzone... [Re: wxman007]
      #25993 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:55 PM

Folks here in Pensacola are boarding up like crazy. I haven't really done anything yet but may tomorrow.

Ivan is taking us for quite a ride!


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MrSpock
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 296
Re: Ivan [Re: SoonerShawn]
      #25994 - Sun Sep 12 2004 04:58 PM

it might have slowed, but the ridge is nosing quickly into North Dakota, and if anything, is locking that into place. I am seeing the who structure sharpen, as evidenced by the ULL over Memphis, and the backing of the flow in front of it. The trough looks to be entrenching itself, and the fact that Ivan has slowed, might mean it is starting to influence it. Big storms never make turns at high speed, so it may be closer to turning.

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Terra
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: From the endzone... [Re: SirCane]
      #25995 - Sun Sep 12 2004 05:01 PM

6 mb pressure drop.... Still moving to the WNW.... Ok Ivan, I'm getting tired of this game.... Show us your cards!

No surprise to me regarding the Saints score.... Any real Saints fan doesn't expect them to win!

--------------------
Terra Dassau Cahill


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