leetdan
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 136
Loc: Osceola County
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They might be better off making their way to a hospital now. I'm not sure whether it's the pressure drop or some other factor, but it seems instinct kicks in when these storms come (the papers reported a HUGE influx in births immediately prior to and during ).
Best of luck to them either way.
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[witty phrase here]
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MO Stormspotter
Unregistered
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Why does it seem that the eye is still moving nnw? Are they still predicting a turn to the north before landfall?
I just want to thank y'all for a very educating week. Should a hurricane ever come up the Mississippi for a rumble with the show me state, I'll be ready 
Seriuosly I will be praying for you folks down south tonight. God Bless
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andy1tom
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
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i think i heard jason on the news one nite say it was oct. might be wrong but then again we are close to oct. he will be around later i am sure.
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Indeed Skeeter...great graphic BTW...
LR Radar
>>>EYE becoming visible...the fit is hitting the shan now
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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tpratch
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 339
Loc: Maryland
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Quote:
Indeed Skeeter...great graphic BTW...
LR Radar
>>>EYE becoming visible...the fit is hitting the shan now
Ouch - looking at the radar loop, it seems to be a hell of lot closer to a path leading straight for NO...
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1299
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Ken, I can handle 70 K winds OK, but looks like things will go bad in a hurry... I just don't want any 135-140 winds.... still monitoring everything, Steve let me know if you think this thing will go past 88.5, that my critical line.... going take perhaps my last hot shower for probably somtime...
the the last VIPER profile looks more encouraging for me... I just got to have the winds out of the north...
Its a lot easier tracking a hurricane as opposed to waiting for one... I have never wishcast as hard as I am doing right now for this to go east of me...
thanks
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clyde w.
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 211
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Oh Frank, Javelin (et al in the path)--now is the time to track the wobbles via radar if you can get the loops. The movements there will be more readily apparent than by satellite. Sometimes these wobbles aren't what they appear on satellite--esp. infrared.
I've just pulled up the Mobile long range, and the entire eye is now visible--which should really help you guys with where you end up in the eyewall. Unfortunately, I've just realized that despite my passion for US geography (anyone ever notice that people intersted in weather or always also interested in geography???), I don't exactly know where Biloxi is in relation to the Miss. coastline.
Anyway, extrapolating out the current motion looks to put the eye ashore on the Ala/Miss boarder.
http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.kmob.shtml
I'm sorry to say, I think is going to be very very bad for Mobile....
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BabyCatAtWork
Unregistered
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Dauphin Island Ala. getting some serious waves...
Didn't someone mention yesterday that might clip to the left to seek out water; ie, Lake Ponchatrain (sp)?
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lois
Unregistered
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and all the sats and models in the world dont seem to deter him from going where he wants..which seems to be louisianna
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javlin
Weather Master
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Posts: 410
Loc: Biloxi,MS
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Frank think Steve might be on to something still looks 350 have to see how long this keeps up.I"ll keep in touch.
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Lisa NC
Weather Guru
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Posts: 102
Loc: North Carolina
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try the NO radar. You can see the whole eye. And it seems to be constricting some. Very impressive storm
http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.klix.shtml
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<img src="/hahn/images/graemlins/wink.gif" alt="" />
Edited by Lisa NC (Wed Sep 15 2004 05:29 PM)
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FlaRebel
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 59
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
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Check out the buoy to the east of . Business is picking up.
And the one dead ahead.
http://www.hurricanetrack.com/Java2/westatl.html
Edited by FlaRebel (Wed Sep 15 2004 05:29 PM)
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Using 's map (either go to www.skeetobite.com) or check the front page of this thread, you can see where Biloxi, NO, Mobile, et. al. are located
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 1299
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Clyde/Jav, watching the loop, does hint of about 350.... not what I want to see but could be bobbling back and forth... will continue to watch... probably have another 2-3 hours before point of no return....
recon will have the best fix on the eye as long range radar does not hit the center, not sure if the mid levels could be leaning to one side or the other....
not looking good right now for MS/AL/NW Fl to say the least...
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leetdan
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 136
Loc: Osceola County
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Thanks FlaRebel, great site.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42040
The plot of wind vs. pressure is dramatic, and the wave data at the bottom (30+ swell, 19' wind waves) is downright scary.
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[witty phrase here]
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lois
Unregistered
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not that its 340 or 350 its that it consistently punches west for just enough to skew off the normal nnw movement progs.
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Frank, I don't want to alarm you but check out this radar from Intellicast...
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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FlaRebel
Weather Hobbyist
Reged:
Posts: 59
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
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You're Welcome! Looks like we are getting 40-70 MPH here in Tallahassee from . I expect alot of trees down.
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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
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I had the same situation during . I just cracked open the front door to look out at the storm and the wind came in and rushed up the staircase and blew the attic ceiling door right off. This was only during a Cat. 2 storm. If it had been a Cat. 4 it may have caused the roof to lift. So, the bottom line is even if you are so eager to see out of a shutterred up house, don't open the door during the height of the storm. I only opened it a crack and this happened. Don' t let any air in.
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Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.
Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4
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St. David
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 74
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27.8N 88.2W
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