Storm Cooper
User
Reged:
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
|
|
--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
|
Bloodstar
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 462
Loc: Tucson, AZ
|
|
Quote:
FNMOC now list this as '01L.One' - first depression of the season. expect advisories at 2100z.
Even though I think it's a depression, I'm a little suprised that they're going to go ahead and upgrade it. But... there might be something more that they know that we don't.
any thoughts on why they'd upgrade now?
-Mark
--------------------
M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
Brookhaven National Laboratory
U. Arizona PhD Student
|
rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
|
|
Even in its infancy- it's swirling nicely in the western Caribbean heading due east until it decides to turn northward and then the screaming begins.
--------------------
________2023 Forecast: 20/10/5________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
|
Droop31
Weather Watcher
Reged:
Posts: 32
Loc: Pensacola
|
|
Hey guys, Droop here. I was here most of last season until I got shut down by . Im finally back and looks like Im just in time.  Happy tracking.
|
mikeG
Unregistered
|
|
RECON OBS 08
PRESSURE 1005
FL WINDS 35MPH?
I THINK FL WINDS HAVE PICKED UP FROM 30 TO 35, ON THE FIRST PASS....POSSIBLE VORTEX SOON
|
Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
|
|
TWC just gave a time when they thought the RECON plane would arrive - 4:00pm. They have a neat little graphic now that shows where the plane is and it's approximate arrival. I would guess that if they find anything out there it will be *official* at 5pm.
I see the swirl and it is looking quite nice; however, I don't see it moving toward the east at all. I see it moving more N or NE -- if it's even moving at all.
Not that it isn't moving east - just these eyes don't see it. These eyes aren't always right, either. Just my observation. I have a hard time seeing through the beginnings of storms. 
Which is why I'm sitting here at home watching CourtTv instead of working at the . 
--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
|
Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 1299
|
|
From the GOES vis sat loops the best I can determine the poorly defined center is near 17.3 and 83.7 with a slow north or nnw motion... perhaps just west of due north
|
Storm Cooper
User
Reged:
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
|
|
For anyone interested the software I am using for the models it is StormTrakker 2005. The person who wrote the program, Mike Bryson has allowed me to use my copy to put up here until Mike C. & Skeet get the other maps up and running. Below are the links to Mike B's website and Hurricane Alley where you can obtain ST 2005... it is worth it
http://nexrad3.dynip.com/
http://www.hurricanealley.net/sftwr.htm
Mike B. has other weather software at his site also...all great stuff.
--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
|
mikeG
Unregistered
|
|
DISREGARD THE FL WINDS.....DECODED WRONG SECTION, WINDS WERE LESS THAN 10
|
Jamiewx
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
|
|
[RECCO | INVEST (90L) OB #9] Time: 2007Z; Lat: 17°N; Long: 84°W; Turbulence: None; Flt Condition: Clear; Flt Level: 951ft; Flt Winds: VRB @ 6 mph; Temp: 73°F; Dewpoint: 73°F; Weather: Broken Skies; SFC Winds: VRB @ 6 mph; Remarks: Sea level pressure: 1004mb
|
Droop31
Weather Watcher
Reged:
Posts: 32
Loc: Pensacola
|
|
Lowest pressure as of right now seems to be 1004mb. I for some reason dont believe this is a depression just yet. Vrb winds at 6 mph? I think the wants more concrete evidence before they go upgrading to a depression. I could be wrong though. Looking better on sat. loops then it was yesterday though. We'll see.
|
Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
|
|
Hey Droop---good to see ya back! I'm never surprised at something the does/does not do. I learned a great lesson last year - they're usually right on. As much as WE like to be right, they usually make the right calls.
So we'll see what happens either at 5, 8 or 11. Or tomorrow. 
--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
|
Clark
Meteorologist
Reged:
Posts: 1710
Loc:
|
|
They might've jumped the gun, in my opinion. There hasn't been an conference call for anything at 5pm, which they would have if it were to be upgraded. It might come late (though not this late), but nothing as of yet. Makes sense, with no vortex message yet. It'll happen, maybe not yet though.
--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
|
Jamiewx
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
|
|
[RECCO | INVEST (90L) OB #10] Time: 2021Z; Lat: 16.5°N; Long: 83.5°W; Turbulence: None; Flt Condition: Clear; Flt Level: 951ft; Flt Winds: W (250°) @ 16 mph; Temp: 75°F; Dewpoint: 75°F; Weather: Scattered Skies; SFC Winds: W (250°) @ 12 mph; Remarks: Sea level pressure: 1004mb
Winds up , Wind from the West
Update: Main page show 01 Noname
Ob 11
[RECCO | INVEST (90L) OB #11] Time: 2039Z; Lat: 17.5°N; Long: 83.5°W; Turbulence: None; Flt Condition: Clear; Flt Level: 951ft; Flt Winds: E (110°) @ 21 mph; Temp: 73°F; Dewpoint: 73°F; Weather: Broken Skies; SFC Winds: E (110°) @ 12 mph; Remarks: Sea level pressure: 1004mb
Edited by Jamiewx (Wed Jun 08 2005 08:49 PM)
|
hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
|
|
the has is up as 01L.NONAME now. First FNMOC now but no conf call. I guess we will se in a few minutes
|
Rabbit
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 511
Loc: Central Florida
|
|
just mentioned on officially as TD1
|
hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
|
|
they did and the calls it TD1
|
Jamiewx
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
|
|
TD ONE at http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropical/
Max sustained winds 30mph
Movement N at 6
Pressure 1004mb
NHC now mailing out the advisory package, just got the forecast/advisory in the email
Edited by Jamiewx (Wed Jun 08 2005 08:58 PM)
|
Rabbit
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 511
Loc: Central Florida
|
|
forecast to TS before the end of tomorrow
|
Rick on boat in Mobile
Weather Drama Guru
Reged:
Posts: 161
|
|
does this look like a bigger year than last one?.....there goes the insurance premiums....through the roof again....my boat insurance went up 30%...
|
Previous
Index
Next
Threaded
Edit
Reply
Quote
