MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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11PM Update
No Hurricane tonight, but it has the potential during the early morning to strengthen. Hopefully it will get more disorganized and not make that.
Skeetobite's Maps: Hurricane Warning Area and Forecast Track:
 
Regardless, there is now a Hurricane Warning from Pascagoula, Mississippi east toward Destin. Expect Category 1 hurricane strength within 24 hours in that location..
Original Update
Tropical Storm is gaining some organization tonight. And likely may be named the first Hurricane of the 2005 season. The latest Aircraft Recon Report has the windspeed a bit up and may indicate it may reach hurricane strength later tonight.
We'll be watching it closely, of course, as Hurricane Watches and tropical storm warnings are up along the northern gulf coast, from Mississippi to the Florida Panhandle. Folks further east along the Florida coast will want to watch this one as well in case the center reforms closer to the western florida coastline. Still the latest track trends toward the Florida Panhandle, and is the most likely location.
More to come. See updates from Clark Evans and Jason Kelley below. I
Event Related Links
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar Loop
Key West long range radar loop
Tallahassee, FL long range radar loop
Tampa Long Range Radar loop
Color Sat of
Animated model plots for
Electronic Map Wall (PSU)
Caribbean Island Weather Reports
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WeatherNLU
Meteorologist
Reged: Sat
Posts: 212
Loc: New Orleans, LA
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Nealy half a degree west in the last three hours, that's the most definitive movement west since this thing began. Let's see if that becomes a trend.
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I survived Hurricane Katrina, but nothing I owned did!
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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looks like will be the first hurricane of the atlantic season
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mbfly
Weather Guru
Reged: Mon
Posts: 119
Loc: Mobile, Alabama
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Is there ANY chance still of going west of Mobile, or does it definitely look like a FL panhandle strike now 
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jth offline
Unregistered
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She appears to be moving NNW to NW on latest sat pics. I still believe she will land at the MS/AL border. Looking now for a moderate cat 1.
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kelcot
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 104
Loc: Canton, Ga
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That should make things very interesting for me here in PCB
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Kelly
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Storm Cooper
User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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mbfly.. I think the Mobile area may be back in the picture, just have to wait for the next adv. I also guess I possibly lost my bet that she would not make Cat I. Have a feeling she will at the next adv.
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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I concur
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HCW
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
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MS/AL line 80-85 looks like a good bet right now . Where shoud I set up ? Does anyone know where Jeff Gamons will be ?
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leetdan
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 136
Loc: Osceola County
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hay what's going on in this atlantic hurricane season?
Anyways we had some fairly stiff winds today (coastal Palm Beach County), and to be honest the steady southerly wind and rain reminded me a lot of passing to the west last year. Fortunately we missed the heavier bands that moved through Miami-Dade and Broward earlier today.
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[witty phrase here]
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Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Haven't been able to post much because my Mom, sister and two nieces are here. We haven't gotten much rain here in Lakeland. Should we be expecting some rain later on or are the rain bands too far off the coast? It doesn't seem like we're going to get much rain based on the radar loops...unless there's more to the south that are going to hit us later. Are we out of the woods with the rainfall?
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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jth home
Unregistered
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Is that an Eye feature starting to form?
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LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Quote:
I also guess I possibly lost my bet that she would not make Cat I.
who's yer bet with...it better not be jason cuz then he's hedgin' his bets...i bet him a buck it would become a cane... 
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Storm Cooper
User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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I guess I may have blown it. Now just tell me where she will go 
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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it will go right towards cantore...maybe you can make a little road trip to p-cola and get us some video...especially JC's hotel room...
stay safe coop...watch out for tornados...maybe you can hang at and see one live!
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Keith234
Storm Chaser
Reged: Thu
Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
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Since it's getting dark it's quite hard to see, but if you stare really closely yes some type of depression in the is starting to form ( http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUVS.JPG ). I digress. The storm is still very much un-organized, with still a dry slot pushing ne into the sw corner of the storm ( http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUWV.JPG ) .
But a large 500 mb ridge dominates the GOM providing quite good coniditions for the storm to develop. That spike of 30 + C waters leading to the mouth of the mississippi (probably due to eutrophication) might pull the storm to the west more then the models anticipate. Just a hypothesis.
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"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe
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bob67
Unregistered
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looks like this one will become a hurricane.... mod cat 1 to maybe even a cat 2? Anyone agree? [/list]
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Jeffmidtown
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 132
Loc: Atlanta, Ga
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Here in Atlanta, it looks like the mets are hedging their bets and downplaying this as a minor rain event here in Atlanta, But my gut feeling tells me that we may get some significant rain out of this somewhere between 3-6" before it's all said and done. We'll see how they play it when the 11pm comes out.....
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You know it's a bad day.....when you wake up and see Jim Cantore and Geraldo Rivera broadcasting from your backyard....literally!
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LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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>>> You know it's a bad day.....when you wake up and see Jim Cantore broadcasting from your backyard....literally!
especially if he's staying in your hotel
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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HCW
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
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Hurricane Warning will be issued at 10pm . Best guess would be Biloxi to Panama City .
that would be 10 PM CDT/11PM EDT
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Edited by LI Phil (Fri Jun 10 2005 09:30 PM)
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