mbfly
Weather Guru
Reged: Mon
Posts: 119
Loc: Mobile, Alabama
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Looks like a rainband coming through in the south part of Mobile county where they are. Here's a neat radar site if you want to keep an eye on them.
http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USLocal...mp;prodnav=none
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Storm Cooper
User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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Test
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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Southern4sure
Weather Guru
Reged: Sun
Posts: 121
Loc: Land O Lakes, FL
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Thanks....thats pretty neat.
Teresa
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Rabbit
Weather Master
Reged: Sat
Posts: 511
Loc: Central Florida
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i noticed the pressure has been dropping a bit over the last few hours
we also have a ragged but definate eye on radar
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HCW
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
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Hurricanecity is streaming a live video show right now and have live video from Mark Suddeth in Gulf Shores AL
http://www.hurricanecity.com/live.ram
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HanKFranK
User
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
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eye or not, had it's worst quadrant intruded upon by subsidence wrapped in from the south... where all the bad weather is supposed to be the convection is capped, and all the energy is being expended on the western, weak side. the pressure is still at 991, but with the structure all screwed up and recon only finding mid-gale strength winds at flight level, i'd safely assume that isn't going to give the alabama or panhandle beaches any 70mph winds. last night before the convection became intermittent and less defined, recon was finding conditions normally associated with a minimal hurricane... was hesitant to kick it up i guess (maybe they thought all the mandatory evacuations that would kick in would not be worth the risk)... but i've got a mind that season post-analysis will tag as a minimal hurricane on the afternoon of june 10th, like claudette of 2003 was reanalyzed to have briefly been in the NW caribbean. effective landfall intensity going into the historic database will probably be 50-60mph, even with the low pressure hanging near 990... unless we get a last minute rally and a half. with the right quadrant smacked down like it's been, though... shouldn't be a very memorable storm at the coast. after this afternoon it's a rain event/tornado threat only.
HF 1813z11june
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HanKFranK
User
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
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one of the threads above is summarily executing replies. try replying to this one i just set to see if they'll stick. otherwise we'll need to add a new thread, or just start over and post a new topic.
HF 1821z11june
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MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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test
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MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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test 1234567
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MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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test
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MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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wasn't organized enough last night to get to Hurricane Strength, but it remains a strong Stropical Storm this morning. It's appearance on satellite still has most of the energy to the north and east, but the ragged eye has been visible on radar.
It has jjogged a little westward this morning making Alabama the most likely point of landfall, giving points east the worst iof it. It has one more chance to burst and make it to hurricane strength, but it isn't likely. And I hope it does not.
This possibility is why the Hurricane Warnings remain up. After landfall it will move inland quickly up through Alabama aroundand turn right around Kentucky, making a rain event for those areas with some rain. Since it's a fast mover the flooding chance is reduced, but it is still there because of possible downpours.
See jason Kelley's Lastest Blog for more discussion.
Outside of there is another area in the Northeastern Caribbean, but I don't expect much out of it currently. It is still June, after all. However, as it drifts westward it might reach an area where conditionks could be favorable for it. So it's something to watch.
Event Related Links
Key west long range radar loop
Tampa Long Range Radar loop
Color Sat of
Animated model plots for - Static model plot
Electronic Map Wall (PSU)
Caribbean Island Weather Reports
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MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Last story got corrupted, sorry this is a repost. Responses should work now.
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Rabbit
Weather Master
Reged: Sat
Posts: 511
Loc: Central Florida
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Arlene has weakened to 60 mph--i think as a result of the slow movement upwelling water as well as pulling in more dry air from land
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Storm Cooper
User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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Thanks Mike! HF & I were trying to figure it out.
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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test 16
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