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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
Dennis [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #38051 - Tue Jul 05 2005 11:24 AM

What impact will Cindy have on Dennis?Could Cindy push Dennis more to the east?All the conditions are there for a major hurricane.I would say everyone from the east coast of FL. to NO. should watch this very closely.No shear,very warm water.

--------------------

Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


Edited by ftlaudbob (Tue Jul 05 2005 11:25 AM)


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Liz
Weather Watcher


Reged: Mon
Posts: 31
Loc: Daytona Beach, Florida
Re: sats [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #38052 - Tue Jul 05 2005 11:28 AM

Question, if the high that is over and east of Florida moves east, will that have an impact on Dennis' movement? Will it move it further east?

Liz


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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master


Reged: Tue
Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
Re: Dennis [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #38053 - Tue Jul 05 2005 11:31 AM

If the 'High' moves eastward (away from Florida) then the dreaded cone will surely move eastward ensuring that East Florida will be in a higher risk area.

--------------------
________2023 Forecast: 20/10/5________

There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard


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mikeG
Unregistered




Re: Dennis [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #38054 - Tue Jul 05 2005 11:47 AM

you can't count east coast fla out, but its looking less likely. most models are in "general agreement" to about 5days. entering south GOM
which way


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Hurricane Guy
Unregistered




Re: Dennis [Re: mikeG]
      #38055 - Tue Jul 05 2005 11:59 AM

Looks like the center is more to the north of the forescated track right now...
Check the Trop Fcst pts box on top right
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-vis-loop.html


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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master


Reged: Tue
Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
Re: Dennis [Re: mikeG]
      #38056 - Tue Jul 05 2005 11:59 AM

That is true but all Florida residents must keep their guard up on this.

--------------------
________2023 Forecast: 20/10/5________

There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
Re: Dennis [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #38057 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:12 PM

Hurricane Guy,I saw that myself.We all know how tracks can change very quickly.There are a couple of things that could happen that would bring it to the tip of south FL.And put the east coast of Fl. on the "bad"side of the storm.We just have to keep watching it,and see what happens.

--------------------

Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: Dennis [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #38058 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:13 PM

Maybe I got this wrong when watching the local newscast last night, but I thought that it was said that the High was moving east, which was allowing Cindy to move further north and east of the original forecast track. If that is correct, than will the high keep moving east or is there any evidence out there that it will build back in later in the week allowing Dennis to be pushed further west?
Of course, this entire post is all contingent on whether I understood what was said correctly.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
Re: Dennis [Re: Colleen A.]
      #38059 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:16 PM

im sorry if this is a little off topic but i was wondering what are the wind strengths to categorize it has hurricane status....thanks

--------------------
"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"


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Lysis
User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
Re: Dennis [Re: FlaMommy]
      #38060 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:18 PM

74 mph is a minimal hurricane. This site has a wealth of information and provides links to various sites that can answer alot of the questions you must have. You should check them out:

Here is the general info provided at this site:

http://flhurricane.com/general.php

Here is an excellent faq at the NHC and a prepardness guide:

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/intro.shtml
Also, if you have a question you can pm me.


--------------------
cheers

Edited by Lysis (Tue Jul 05 2005 12:22 PM)


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Terra
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: Dennis [Re: FlaMommy]
      #38061 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:18 PM

Here is a really good site for hurricane basics and understanding misconceptions...

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html

(My post was before Lysis' links appeared.... laugh... so, don't think I'm being overly redundant!)

--------------------
Terra Dassau Cahill

Edited by Terra (Tue Jul 05 2005 12:22 PM)


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RedRam99V8
Unregistered




Re: Tropical Storm Dennis Forms in Caribbean, Cindy in Gulf [Re: MikeC]
      #38062 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:20 PM

Well even if it were to come right up the state of FL seeing it still has hispanolia and cuba to go thru the chances of it being anything more then a CAT 1 is slim wouldn't you think?

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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: Dennis,Hurricane?? [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #38063 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:22 PM

At this point you are right about it being to far ahead if you keep in mind the 1-2-3 rule

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: sats [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #38064 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:25 PM

Boy she really wants to close that west side off and wrap around.

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: Dennis [Re: mikeG]
      #38065 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:28 PM

An elementary link, but should help some folks figure out what drives direction http://meted.ucar.edu/hurrican/movncane/movncane.htm Just follow the instructions

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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twizted sizter
Unregistered




Re: Dennis [Re: Colleen A.]
      #38066 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:28 PM

The latest discussion did call for the high to move further east away from Fl by the end of the week...would pull Dennis closer correct?

All a matter of timing I guess...position of the high & where he is at that time.

Can't help but think of Jeanne...reading this board till power went out & the talking heads were still insisting on that right hand turn as I'm getting pounded & feeling my foundation vibrate.

Bears watching to say the least.


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HCW
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
Re: Dennis [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #38067 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:30 PM

TPC track takes Cindy east of N.O Would that give it the time to make it to a 75 -80 mph cane ?

--------------------
Over 4,000 members and now on a new server

http://www.hardcoreweather.com


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Dennis's Location? [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #38068 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:31 PM

I just looked at the visible loops on the storm floater for Dennis...maybe someone can answer this question: is the LLC further north of the first TS symbol or is it right where it's supposed to be? It looks to me as though it's further north than where it's supposed to be.
Thanks!

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Orlando, FL
Unregistered




Re: Dennis [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #38069 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:31 PM

I got a bad feeling about this Dennis character.. I think he's going to move east, just by a gut feeling.

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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
Re: Tropical Storm Dennis Forms in Caribbean, Cindy in Gulf [Re: RedRam99V8]
      #38070 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:32 PM

Redram,That really is not true,Andrew is just one of many that hit an Island,and then get very strong very quickly.It may weaken a little but the Islands are just not big enough to have a huge impact.And the water is so warm between the Islands and U.S. mainland that it has time to get much stronger before it gets here.

--------------------

Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


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