pcola
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
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Anything 100 or so miles west of Pensacola will be devastating. Today little Cindy with 60KT winds caused overwash and road damage on the barrier islands. They just opened that road Friday. That storm was in LA. Some say a CAT 4 will change the barrier islands here forever.
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Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!
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nl
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
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wasnt it really hot before charlie last year? does that have anything too do with it?
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Steve hirschb.
Unregistered
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Those earlier winds were estimated. Now they are getting real data that is of value. Don't fret, he's getting stronger not weaker.
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Rick on boat in Mobile
Weather Drama Guru
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Posts: 161
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If I were in New Orleans...I'd be puckerin up....
it took 6-8 hours to get my boat ready last year for ....and was bee-lining to Mobile till the last 6 hours...then jogged right....and we got 60 mph winds...tops...
these things are totally unpredictable....
cat 3-4-5...no one knows...
what are the SST's?
oh, and don't forget Camille....she didn't weaken when she hit Biloxi...an August storm...around the 17th I think...
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Rasvar
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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If I recall correctly, it was climatologically normal temperature wise the week prior to . Precip was below normal, though.
No real science. It is just annecdotal from observations over twenty years in Florida. Has always seems that most of these brutal heat runs were doused by an approaching system from the east over the years. Do not recall very many systems that came in from the west after abnormal near 100 degree temps.
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D3m3NT3DVoRT3X
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 48
Loc: The Burg < FL
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Just saw the ir on the wave off africa .. man ... looks fierce .. anywho ... im glad there is a place where everyone can put thier 2 cents in .. i find this all fascinating ! Keep up the good work weather watchers 
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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As I understand it, the reason it is so hot is because the high pressure over the state of Florida (which pushed Cindy west) and she took our moisture with it. We are supposed to get rain in the next day or so.
Wow...they just said that the GOM temp in Tampa is 89 degrees. More fuel to add to ' fire.
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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WeatherNut
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 412
Loc: Atlanta, GA
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here is the latest decoded recon report:
http://flhurricane.com/recondecoder.php
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Jeffmidtown
Weather Guru
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Posts: 132
Loc: Atlanta, Ga
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Right now in the Atlanta/Columbus area, all heck is breaking loose as there are numerous Tornado Warnings up right now and the storms are moving N-NE up I-85 right towards Hartsfield-Jackson Airport. This situation really brings home the fact that the worst weather is in the right front quadrant of a tropical system. Time to batten down the hatches
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You know it's a bad day.....when you wake up and see Jim Cantore and Geraldo Rivera broadcasting from your backyard....literally!
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WeatherNut
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 412
Loc: Atlanta, GA
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yes, I just took a look at the dopler here in ATL...I started on my ark already. Here is a picture of the latest model runs
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Born into Cleo (64)...been stuck on em ever since
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Stay safe, Jeff...Mom got into Atlanta about 2:15pm from NJ...glad she missed the big storms!
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Forecasters mentioned in the discussion that they have adjusted the track a little bit to the left; no major shift because it wouldn't be prudent. They are waiting (as are we) to see what happens with the next couple of model runs. This must drive them insane! 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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WeatherNut
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 412
Loc: Atlanta, GA
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they definitly must be type "B" personalities
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Born into Cleo (64)...been stuck on em ever since
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Rasvar
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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Quote:
Forecasters mentioned in the discussion that they have adjusted the track a little bit to the left; no major shift because it wouldn't be prudent. They are waiting (as are we) to see what happens with the next couple of model runs. This must drive them insane!
When did GHW Bush start working at the ? 
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Jim
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Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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TWC just announced that we now have HURRICANE . Recon found flight winds at 79knts; and I think surface winds at 69knts.
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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LOL...I was thinking the same thing. Must be a fan of his (the forecaster!) 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Rich B
British Meteorologist
Reged:
Posts: 498
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
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this is indeed supported! have an update stating is a Hurricane - with a special advisory out at 6pm EDT
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Rich B
SkyWarn UK
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Rabbit
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 511
Loc: Central Florida
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71kts, still equates to about 80 mph either way though
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ronnie_b
Unregistered
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Anyone check out the latest superensemble (MM5) run (12 Z) - its running now and has a plotted position through 96 hours - at 96 hrs it has the center of about 100 m west of Clearwater - it's windfield graphic shows 48-64 knot winds pretty much along the west coast of Florida from Naples to St Marks.
You can find the link at:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/mm5/
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nl
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
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so that means that central fl will get the east quadrant?
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