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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
Dennis Aftermath
      #41788 - Sun Jul 10 2005 05:08 PM

Dennis has made landfall as a minimal Category 3 storm, between Navarre Beach and Pensacola Beach, it is moving inland now and weakening rapidly. Strong gusty winds, some to hurricane strength may still be felt miles inland.

The landfall time was at 2:25PM CDT. There was a gust to 121 miles an hour recorded at a monitoring tower at Navarre Beach. Damage reports are sparse now, but we may get some before the night falls. The worst was to the east of the landfall point.

The National Hurricane Center predicted landfall position almost dead on, intensity wasn't too far off. Luckily the storm was in the middle of an eyewall replacement when it made landfall, which kept it from going back into strong 3 status. Similar to Ivan, but slightly stronger than Ivan, the core was smaller than Ivan however. Intensity was off, and in Florida's favor.

Aparantly and thankfully dry air managed to sap the system and distrupt Dennis during the eyewall replacement cycle. This weakened Dennis almost as rapidly as it strengthened yesterday.

The possibility was mentioned, but not entirely expected.

The wave in the Central Atlantic may become TD#5 in the next few days, potentially as early as late tonight.

Thanks everyone who donated in the last few days, the server move will be expensive but will give the hardware the bandwidth it will need to run a lot smoother, and more interesting features will be coming soon as well. Bandwidth will cost but what was brought about will help. If you donated and wish to highlight that in your board name, or would like a custom title pm me. Otherwise mentions will only be on the donations and thanks page. The amount donated will help cover a small portion of it and more help is always welcome.

Site Note News talkbacks are now reopen for all.

Event Related Links

Emergency Management
Gulf Coast Storm Alert Network
FloridaDisaster.org - Florida Emergency Management
Monroe County/Florida Keys,
Panhandle Coastal Counties West to East
Escambia County, FL, Santa Rosa, County, Okaloosa County, FL,
Walton County, FL,
Bay County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Franklin County, FL
Mississippi Emergency Management Agency (MEMA)
http://www.msema.org/index.htm

Florida Keys Long Range Radar Loop
Tampa Bay, FL Long Range Radar
Miami, FL Long Range Radar
Melbourne, FL Long Range Radar
Tallahassee, FL Long Range Radar
Mobile, AL Long Range Radar

Eglin AFB Radar

Dennis
MODIS Ultra High Resolution Dennis Satellite Images
Google Map Plot of Dennis along with Ivan
High Speed Storm Relative Floater - RAMSDIS ONLINE
Animated Model Plot of Dennis
Model Plot Graphic from the South Florida Water Management District of Dennis
Dennis Spaghetti Model from boatus
Weather Underground Model Plots for Dennis
Quikskat Image of Dennis

Color Sat of Dennis
Floater Satellite (Visible) of Dennis with Storm Track Overlays
(Animated)
RAMSDIS high speed visible Floater of Dennis

98L/Area in Central Atlantic
Animated Model Plot of 98L

Webcams, Video, Audio
Mark Sudduth's at coastal Alabama again ready to move east or west, he has a mobile observation tower he'll be leaving along the coast when Dennis arrives - Hurricane Trak/Mark Suddth Car & Tower Cam - Live Video Stream from Mark's HIRT Tahoe HIRT Tower On the coast in Perdido Key: Conditions and Webcam

Hurricane Now - Video reports from former CNN hurrican reporter Jeff Flock - Jeff Flock Live Stream!
Hurricane City and Jim Williams do audio shows nightly around 8PM
Weathervine.com Storm Chasing
Joseph Johnston's Mobile Bay Webcam - Mobile Bay webcam recording will being the AM of the 10th here
WKRG 5 in Mobile/Pensacola i streaming live coverage
WPMI Channel 15 from Mobile Alabama - Streaming Video 10PM
Pensacola Beach Cam 2
Panama City/Destin webcams

WJHG 7 the NBC Affiliate in Panama City Beach, FL .

Police Scanner Streams
Mobile Police - Mobile, AL


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Nate
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 40
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: MikeC]
      #41792 - Sun Jul 10 2005 05:13 PM

Anyone have a nice radar link for the central and easter atlantic, and the africa coast?

Thanks


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stormchazer
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 315
Loc: Central Florida
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: Nate]
      #41795 - Sun Jul 10 2005 05:18 PM

This is a cool site Nate.

University of Wisconsin

Satellite though!

--------------------
Jara

*************************************************************


Edited by stormchazer (Sun Jul 10 2005 05:18 PM)


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Nate
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 40
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: stormchazer]
      #41796 - Sun Jul 10 2005 05:19 PM

Thanks looks great.

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Kal
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 50
Loc: Space Coast
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: MikeC]
      #41802 - Sun Jul 10 2005 05:30 PM

Initial reports...keep in mind that these aren't first-hand...are that the Fort Walton Beach/Mary Esther area fared somewhat better than they did during Ivan. However, I think that to some degree this may be misleading. After all, Ivan basically stripped the older trees and structures just ten months ago, so I think that it's fair to say that potential projectiles were much fewer (relatively speaking) this time around. Had Ivan missed this area last year, the effects of Dennis would probably have been much worse. No word on storm surge in the area.

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Nate
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 40
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: Kal]
      #41805 - Sun Jul 10 2005 05:35 PM

Ill say this again.. HURRICANECITY Just mentioned it.. When this thing hit, it was not a CAT 3 OR 4.

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Lysis
User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: Kal]
      #41806 - Sun Jul 10 2005 05:36 PM

Had Ivan missed this area last year, the effects of Dennis would probably have been much worse.

Exactly... for example, if a storm of the same exact intensity as Charley were to hit here, I think the damage would be far less. For one, everything weak or unable to withstand extreme winds is already leveled. Secondly, what was repaired was done so to more rigorous code, and lastly, people are going to prepare for the storm much more effectively.

Ill say this again.. HURRICANECITY Just mentioned it.. When this thing hit, it was not a CAT 3 OR 4.

What do you mean?

EDIT: heh... exactly, Keith.

--------------------
cheers

Edited by Lysis (Sun Jul 10 2005 05:45 PM)


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Keith234
Storm Chaser


Reged: Thu
Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: Lysis]
      #41808 - Sun Jul 10 2005 05:39 PM

An example of natural selection only with buildings and hurricanes!

--------------------
"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe


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erauwx
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 15
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: Lysis]
      #41809 - Sun Jul 10 2005 05:39 PM

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


000
ABNT20 KNHC 102106
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE National Hurricane Center IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
DENNIS...LOCATED INLAND ABOUT 20 MILES NORTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA
OR NEAR MOLINO FLORIDA.

A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE ...ACCOMPANIED BY A WELL-DEFINED LOW
PRESSURE AREA...IS LOCATED ABOUT 1180 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN
LESSER ANTILLES. THIS SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED...AND CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO
15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

$$

- here we go .....


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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: Nate]
      #41810 - Sun Jul 10 2005 05:43 PM

I am hoping that this is good news and indicative that no one died from tornados.

--------------------
God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: Nate]
      #41812 - Sun Jul 10 2005 05:44 PM

Quote:

Ill say this again.. HURRICANECITY Just mentioned it.. When this thing hit, it was not a CAT 3 OR 4.




We will have to wait on an official determination by NHC.

HURRICANE Dennis ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005

...DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA AS A CATEGORY THREE
HURRICANE...

Edited by danielw (Sun Jul 10 2005 05:48 PM)


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Dougyd
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 17
Loc: Sanibel
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: Nate]
      #41814 - Sun Jul 10 2005 05:51 PM

Hurricane City seems to be mostly advertisements. Am I missing something?
Doug


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Nate
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 40
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: Dougyd]
      #41816 - Sun Jul 10 2005 06:04 PM

They switch around alot from Coverage to Coverage..

They had a local Forecaster on from Panama City and he and Jim Williams both stated that when a Cane enters the northern Gulf it seems to lose alot of strength.

He also stated that it will be interesting to see what THE NHC says about this, he went on to add that even tho early reports were CAT 3, That the top wind speeds were minimal. The top speeds were 131 mile gusts that were taken on a tower 10 M above ground. That would mean top speeds were 90-100 Miles per hour at Navvare Beach.

He just went to MSNBC cause he said that his live show isnt going to good. There isnt much going on with this storm.

Seems like a few of you were kind of upset that this thing wasnt destructive. It will be interesting the next few days to see what all is said and goes on. But I must say THANK GOD this thing wasnt as bad as thought of.

Mike Sidel just reported highest Gust in Mobile were 74 MPH.

Confirmed Torando Touchdown in Florida in an open field off of Route 132 across from the Baptist Church.

Edited by Nate (Sun Jul 10 2005 06:10 PM)


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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: Nate]
      #41820 - Sun Jul 10 2005 06:20 PM

Have a report that the bridge between Ocaloosa and Destin is out. highway 98 and significant surge around FWB, anyone else confirm?


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lunkerhunter
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 248
Loc: Saint Augustine, FL
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: Nate]
      #41822 - Sun Jul 10 2005 06:26 PM

Quote:

He also stated that it will be interesting to see what THE NHC says about this, he went on to add that even tho early reports were CAT 3, That the top wind speeds were minimal. The top speeds were 131 mile gusts that were taken on a tower 10 M above ground. That would mean top speeds were 90-100 Miles per hour at Navvare Beach.




the tower is 10M high but that wind speed was measured at 5M (16ft).

http://grove.ufl.edu/~fcmp/Dennis/T0/NOAA-Dennis-T0-2005-07-10-19-09-00.txt


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Category 3 [Re: lunkerhunter]
      #41823 - Sun Jul 10 2005 06:30 PM

Until NHC issues a report saying Dennis was something other than a Category 3.
Dennis made landfall as a Category Three.

HURRICANE Dennis DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005

DENNIS MADE LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA AT 1925Z THIS AFTERNOON. THE
LANDFALL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED TO BE 100 TO 105 KT...BASED ON
FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF 117 KT AT 1928Z...TWO STEPPED-FREQUENCY
MICROWAVE RADIOMETER OBSERVATIONS OF 100 KT JUST NORTH OF THE
CENTER JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL. DROPSONDE OBSERVATIONS AT LANDFALL
ALSO SUPPORT THIS VALUE.


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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr...
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: Nate]
      #41824 - Sun Jul 10 2005 06:32 PM

There you are Nate.

Tropical Wave


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Nate
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 40
Re: Category 3 [Re: danielw]
      #41825 - Sun Jul 10 2005 06:34 PM

Daniel, I think you should know Im not agruibng on what the NHC says. But no where in that area was CAT 3 winds recorded. GUSTS were 131

Also, saying Tropical Depression Emily may be named tonight.

Nate, there is a LOT of data that has not been compiled yet as this thing just made landfall a few hours ago. Let's let this rest a while.

Edited by Storm Cooper (Sun Jul 10 2005 06:39 PM)


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Nate
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 40
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: EaglezFan42]
      #41826 - Sun Jul 10 2005 06:36 PM

Quote:

There you are Nate.

Tropical Wave




Thanks


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craigm
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 327
Loc: Palm City, Florida
Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: Lysis]
      #41827 - Sun Jul 10 2005 06:38 PM

Lysis, you bring up a great point.Here in Martin County we went through the eyewall of Frances and Jeanne and the power went out at about 45 mph during Frances but stayed on until around 70mph during Jeanne we think to the same things you are referring to, Frances pruning everything and then FPL upgrading all the damaged areas.

--------------------
Why I'm here:
Weather hobbyist


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