ohioaninmiss
Weather Watcher
Reged: Thu
Posts: 32
Loc: Columbus, OH
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Clark -
Your knowledge and the clarity of your explanations constantly amazes me! I add my thanks for all that you do. You have made us all more intelligent!!
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Marie
Back in Ohio from a crazy summer in Mississippi!
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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher
Reged: Sat
Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr...
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I just read about a tracking system consisting of two box models ( I forget what the name of the system was) that says if a hurricane or tropical storm passes over the two regions where the boxes are located, the hurricane has a great possibility to hit South Florida. The two box places are over the Leeward Islands and in the Caribbean Sea between Cuba and Honduras right to the WSW of Jamaica. Now, I know that the path of TD # 5 will obviously fluccuate for a while but right now, the forecast paths take TD # 5 to both of these places.
I just wanted to know if any of youse have ever heard of this tracking system and if it has predicted well in previous years.
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Tropics Guy
Storm Tracker
Reged: Thu
Posts: 252
Loc: Miami, Florida
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Looking at the new model plots for TD #5, and taking a concensus average, looks like it will be coming into the Carib at a higher latitude than where the developing was at the time. This may pose a greater threat to the D.R or even P.R, but way to early yet. the 11pm discussion should be interesting.
TG
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Tazmanian93
Weather Master
Reged: Sun
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
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Just want to tell anyone and everyone that was impacted, hope all is well. Also, want to thank everyone, particularly the pros on this site, for all their knowledge and guidance !!!!!
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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.
Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!
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Ed
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Doombot!
Weather Guru
Reged: Sat
Posts: 160
Loc: Lakeland, Fl.
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Is it just me or is 5 just looking like a blob. Everything else looked alot more like a TD when it was numbered.
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h2ocean
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Fri
Posts: 91
Loc: South Merritt Island, FL
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Oh no...check out the latest run on soon to be TD5...
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.c...;hour=Animation
The Global models suggest it may be "interesting" for the SE next week.
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Merritt Island, FL Home Weather Station
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Tazmanian93
Weather Master
Reged: Sun
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
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This could end up being that short-cut storm JB from Accuweather had been talking abut
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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.
Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!
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Ed
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h2ocean
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Fri
Posts: 91
Loc: South Merritt Island, FL
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Quote:
Is it just me or is 5 just looking like a blob. Everything else looked alot more like a TD when it was numbered.
The last visible loop from today showed a well defined circulation.
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Merritt Island, FL Home Weather Station
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MikeG
Unregistered
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http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_hom...es&DISPLAY=
05L.NONAME
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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
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Herberts Box information can be found here
I think passed through one of them last year.
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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher
Reged: Sat
Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr...
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Jamiewx,
yes, thank you. that's what I was talking about. Just couldnt remember the name. Do you or does anyone else know if Herbert's Box is a somewhat reliable source to go by?
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Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 223
Loc: Polk City, FL
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 FtLaudbob's got a storm to actually be worried about!! 
just kidding bob...
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Jwtexas
Unregistered
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Does anyone have a link to the extent of damage in the grayton beach seaside area. thanks
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Doombot!
Weather Guru
Reged: Sat
Posts: 160
Loc: Lakeland, Fl.
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Quote:
FtLaudbob's got a storm to actually be worried about!!
just kidding bob...
This one has a chance, it might even go up his street.
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ShanaTX
Storm Tracker
Reged: Mon
Posts: 226
Loc: Texas
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If you go to the supplied link and check it out, sounds like it's not a good indicator.
'shana
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h2ocean
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Fri
Posts: 91
Loc: South Merritt Island, FL
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It is official....TD#5
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200505_5day.html
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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
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not sure how good of an indicator it is if a TD or TS passes through one, the article mentions specifically Major Hurricanes.
TD Five Track Forecast -
Edited by Jamiewx (Sun Jul 10 2005 10:41 PM)
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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher
Reged: Sat
Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr...
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true. I guess I didn't read it carefully. I didn't realize that they meant that almost every hurricane that passed through those boxes hit S. Fla. BEFORE 1950. Since 1950, only a couple that went through the boxes hit S. Fla.
So yeh, I didnt read it carefully 
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SeeSaw99
Registered User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 9
Loc: Tempe, AZ
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3- and 5-day cones out...forecast as yet another hurricane
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h2ocean
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Fri
Posts: 91
Loc: South Merritt Island, FL
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New Topic is out....
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Merritt Island, FL Home Weather Station
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