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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


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Loc: Tampa
Re: Invest 99L and Emily [Re: Steve H1]
      #42648 - Wed Jul 13 2005 02:44 AM

Right, I just watched in high speed and can not see how she is going to pull up at this point. I guess anything is possible though. Any guess how long she has 12-15 hours?

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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nl
Storm Tracker


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Re: Invest 99L and Emily [Re: firestar_1]
      #42649 - Wed Jul 13 2005 02:44 AM

what the heck is going on emily is gonna hit trinidad


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


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Re: Invest 99L and Emily [Re: Steve H1]
      #42650 - Wed Jul 13 2005 02:45 AM

I was thinking,well we should get a break before the meat of the season.Then I see whats rolling off the coast of Africa and that it is now mid July.My question is,What will happen in August and September,will this be a hurricane season that we have never seen before?If you think about it,it's kinda scary.Like some sci fi flick.Also what is amazing is these are Cape Verde storms this early.

--------------------

Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


Edited by ftlaudbob (Wed Jul 13 2005 02:49 AM)


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nl
Storm Tracker


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Re: Invest 99L and Emily [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #42651 - Wed Jul 13 2005 02:51 AM

am i seeing things or is that like 2 more after emily and one off the coast off africa it looks like for storms splitting

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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


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Re: Invest 99L and Emily [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #42652 - Wed Jul 13 2005 02:51 AM

Hard to tell, but it looks like Emily will either impact the South American coast or skirt it. I wouldn't be surprised to see the forecast track at 11 PM to be much more southerly.

--------------------
Michael

PWS


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rjp
Verified CFHC User


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Re: Invest 99L and Emily [Re: MichaelA]
      #42653 - Wed Jul 13 2005 02:53 AM

It looks like the the actual center is hard to pinpoint... so this "southwest" movement might not really be southwest? Guess we'll find out soon. lol

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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


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Re: Invest 99L and Emily [Re: nl]
      #42654 - Wed Jul 13 2005 02:53 AM

Yeah. It looks like the "train" is setting up early this year.

--------------------
Michael

PWS


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HanKFranK
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don't be so awestruck [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #42655 - Wed Jul 13 2005 02:54 AM

http://www.weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/index.html
click on the tabs for 1886, 1893, 1933, 1936...
keep in mind that these are old records and they probably missed some storms that we'd notice these days.
yes, this is a very active year. no, it isn't unprecedented.
HF 0353z13july
try 1887, 1916, 1926, 1932 also

Edited by HanKFranK (Wed Jul 13 2005 02:57 AM)


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MichaelA
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Re: Invest 99L and Emily [Re: rjp]
      #42656 - Wed Jul 13 2005 02:54 AM

I'm guessing 10.8 latitude at 11 PM.

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Michael

PWS


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VandyBrad
Weather Hobbyist


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Re: Invest 99L and Emily [Re: MichaelA]
      #42657 - Wed Jul 13 2005 02:57 AM

Quote:

I'm guessing 10.8 latitude at 11 PM.




Close... actually 10.7.

--------------------
Brad Shumbera


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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


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Re: Invest 99L and Emily [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #42658 - Wed Jul 13 2005 02:59 AM

It is incredible and nearly incomprehensible the season that we are currently encountering within our world, this planet. We quite possibly may be part of something that never before has happened. And this will have significant impact both socially, psychologically, and also from an infrastructure perspective. This season will initiate and drive more changes then we can imagine even at this moment. There will be technlogy realized, structures created. The will of mankind will be strengthened, the future of tomorrow's climate will be transformed. Just the initial thought and realization of this is cavernous.

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


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Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
Re: Invest 99L and Emily [Re: MichaelA]
      #42659 - Wed Jul 13 2005 02:59 AM

Just looked at the 11pm forcast map.It now looks like the town I lived in for 3 years could get hit.Playa Del Carmen,Mexico.It is about an hour south of Cancun.That would be a shame,it's one of the coolest places on earth.

--------------------

Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


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Re: Invest 99L and Emily [Re: VandyBrad]
      #42660 - Wed Jul 13 2005 02:59 AM

Quote:

Quote:

I'm guessing 10.8 latitude at 11 PM.




Close... actually 10.7.


Just saw that.

--------------------
Michael

PWS


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lunkerhunter
Storm Tracker


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Re: don't be so awestruck [Re: HanKFranK]
      #42661 - Wed Jul 13 2005 03:00 AM

the 11 PM AST position...10.7 N... 54.7 W. Movement
toward...west near 20 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 60 mph. Minimum central pressure...997 mb.


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


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Re: don't be so awestruck [Re: HanKFranK]
      #42662 - Wed Jul 13 2005 03:05 AM

Quote:

http://www.weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/index.html
click on the tabs for 1886, 1893, 1933, 1936...
keep in mind that these are old records and they probably missed some storms that we'd notice these days.
yes, this is a very active year. no, it isn't unprecedented.
HF 0353z13july
try 1887, 1916, 1926, 1932 also


Not unprecedented???Sorry Hank but I don't understand your comment.More named storms than EVER before this early,The strongest storm in July EVER.And more coming,and it is only July 12th.

--------------------

Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


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drcrazibob
Weather Watcher


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Posts: 30
Loc: Daytona Beach, Fl
Re: don't be so awestruck [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #42663 - Wed Jul 13 2005 03:12 AM

Quote:

Quote:

http://www.weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/index.html
click on the tabs for 1886, 1893, 1933, 1936...
keep in mind that these are old records and they probably missed some storms that we'd notice these days.
yes, this is a very active year. no, it isn't unprecedented.
HF 0353z13july
try 1887, 1916, 1926, 1932 also


Not unprecedented???Sorry Hank but I don't understand your comment.More named storms than EVER before this early,The strongest storm in July EVER.And more coming,and it is only July 12th.




I think it is what it is. I'm sure this type of rare activity happened 100s of years ago, and 100s and 1000s of years before that. I just go with it.


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SirCane
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Posts: 249
Loc: Pensacola, FL
Re: don't be so awestruck [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #42664 - Wed Jul 13 2005 03:14 AM

Well, I just got power back today from Hurricane Dennis here in Pensacola. Of coarse, I live on a main road with a lot of stores on it so I expected it. Still a lot of people without power. We were VERY lucky that Dennis moved so fast. It didn't give him much of a chance to pound us for too long. I have a bad feeling it could happen again here with the way this Hurricane season is looking.

--------------------
Direct Hits:
Hurricane Erin (1995) 100 mph
Hurricane Opal (1995) 115 mph
Hurricane Ivan (2004) 130 mph
Hurricane Dennis (2005) 120 mph
http://www.hardcoreweather.com


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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker


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Re: Invest 99L and Emily [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #42665 - Wed Jul 13 2005 03:16 AM

Quote:

It is incredible and nearly incomprehensible the season that we are currently encountering within our world, this planet. We quite possibly may be part of something that never before has happened. And this will have significant impact both socially, psychologically, and also from an infrastructure perspective. This season will initiate and drive more changes then we can imagine even at this moment. There will be technlogy realized, structures created. The will of mankind will be strengthened, the future of tomorrow's climate will be transformed. Just the initial thought and realization of this is cavernous.




You talking about stronger building codes and things like that? If so, great I suppose it might happen. But we'll never tame the storms. Let's not go too crazy calling this an unprecidented season. A lot of early activity yes, but I've seen many hurricane seasons that were very active. Welcome to the tropics.

I just don't see mankind curing all our planets ills because of one fairly active storm season.


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 944
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Invest 99L and Emily [Re: Wxwatcher2]
      #42666 - Wed Jul 13 2005 03:19 AM

Quote:

A lot of early activity yes, but I've seen many hurricane seasons that were very active.



And this season could go "dead" next week. Who knows?

--------------------
Michael

PWS


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
Re: Invest 99L and Emily [Re: Wxwatcher2]
      #42667 - Wed Jul 13 2005 03:21 AM

Quote:

Quote:

It is incredible and nearly incomprehensible the season that we are currently encountering within our world, this planet. We quite possibly may be part of something that never before has happened. And this will have significant impact both socially, psychologically, and also from an infrastructure perspective. This season will initiate and drive more changes then we can imagine even at this moment. There will be technlogy realized, structures created. The will of mankind will be strengthened, the future of tomorrow's climate will be transformed. Just the initial thought and realization of this is cavernous.


J
You talking about stronger building codes and things like that? If so, great I suppose it might happen. But we'll never tame the storms. Let's not go too crazy calling this an unprecidented season. A lot of early activity yes, but I've seen many hurricane seasons that were very active. Welcome to the tropics.

I just don't see mankind curing all our planets ills because of one fairly active storm season.


Just look at the records that have already fallen.The numbers don't lie.Including the date.

--------------------

Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


Edited by ftlaudbob (Wed Jul 13 2005 03:23 AM)


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