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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 337
Loc:
Re: 11 a.m. Discussion [Re: pcola]
      #44684 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:09 PM

Of course we're staying awake. Especially after reading the 11 am discussion.

Still think Franklin will move North and East of Florida but not very rapidly so it of course bears watching.


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Clark
Meteorologist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc:
Re: 11 a.m. Discussion [Re: wiley]
      #44685 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:10 PM

wiley -- they vary from year to year. Stick to the official NHC path projected there; truth be told, most of the models on that page are older, more primitive models, save for the GFDL and UKMET.

As for the SFWMD site -- unless there is a categorized storm or an invest out on the disturbance, they won't have an image. The next one in line will be 91L.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
Re: 11 a.m. Discussion [Re: Clark]
      #44687 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:13 PM

91L is on the Navy site already
and SFWMD is showing it up, without the full link yet

--------------------
Pam in Volusia County

According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6


Edited by NewWatcher (Fri Jul 22 2005 12:15 PM)


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Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 90
Loc: Deltona, FL
Re: 11 a.m. Discussion [Re: Clark]
      #44688 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:13 PM

As for the SFWMD site -- unless there is a categorized storm or an invest out on the disturbance, they won't have an image. The next one in line will be 91L.




Someone put a picture of it on this site this morning. that is what I am trying to find. Maybe I am confussed.

--------------------
I survived Jeanne, Charley, and Frances


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Steve hirschb.
Unregistered




Re: 11 a.m. Discussion [Re: Wxwatcher2]
      #44689 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:16 PM

Looks like he may be pulling towards the northeast now, but I may be deceived. Frank, do you have a link to the Melbourne radar??

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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
Re: 11 a.m. Discussion [Re: Steve hirschb.]
      #44690 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:17 PM

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS.p19r0/si.kmlb.shtml

--------------------
Pam in Volusia County

According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6


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richg
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 10
Loc: Satellite Beach FL
Re: Eastern Atlantic Tropical wave [Re: Steve hirschb.]
      #44691 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:18 PM

THSwonder,

You might get a better response by:
1. Registering
2. Typing with at least some puncuation, capilitization, etc, to make your post more readable.
3. Most important, being respectful to those on the board by not yelling.
You're lucky even one person took the time to acknowledge you after the "DON'T IGNORE THIS" remark.

Have a nice day.


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Steve hirschb.
Unregistered




Re: 11 a.m. Discussion [Re: NewWatcher]
      #44692 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:20 PM

Thanks

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emackl
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 205
Loc: Indianapolis
Re: 11 a.m. Discussion [Re: NewWatcher]
      #44693 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:23 PM

Here's another link. I like this one because you can set it to autorefresh.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/mlb_N0Z_lp.html


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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
Movement [Re: NewWatcher]
      #44694 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:25 PM

Looks like it is moving N or NE by the radar.

--------------------
Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.

Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4


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THSwonder
Unregistered




Re: Eastern Atlantic Tropical wave [Re: richg]
      #44695 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:26 PM

Ok I am sorry I probley should not do that kind of stuff thank you and I will register today sometime. Thanks and I still would like to know a little more about that eastern Atlantic tropical wave.

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Clark
Meteorologist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc:
Re: 11 a.m. Discussion [Re: Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser]
      #44696 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:27 PM

The picture put on the site in the first page of the thread was for Franklin. I don't see one for the Caribbean disturbance. They do not have one for a 91L yet (as of 12:25p ET). When it becomes available, it'll be at http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_91.gif. Given that the Navy recently put up 91L on the NRL Monterey website, I would expect it later today.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


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MissBecky
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 112
Loc: Ft. Myers, FL
Re: 11 a.m. Discussion [Re: Clark]
      #44697 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:29 PM

Those BAM models bring Franklin uncomfortably close to Ft. Myers... I was wondering how reliable they are. I seem to remember reading here once that the BAM models are not initialized very well, and so their solutions are usually not terribly accurate. Can anyone confirm this? Thanks.

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Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 90
Loc: Deltona, FL
Re: 11 a.m. Discussion [Re: Clark]
      #44699 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:31 PM

Quote:

The picture put on the site in the first page of the thread was for Franklin. I don't see one for the Caribbean disturbance. They do not have one for a 91L yet (as of 12:25p ET). When it becomes available, it'll be at http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_91.gif. Given that the Navy recently put up 91L on the NRL Monterey website, I would expect it later today.




Franklin was the one I was looking for. I can not navigate the site to where I need to go. I can not find the plots section.

--------------------
I survived Jeanne, Charley, and Frances


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Waggy
Registered User


Reged: Tue
Posts: 1
Re: Eastern Atlantic Tropical wave [Re: richg]
      #44700 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:36 PM

Hey I Registered richg

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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master


Reged: Tue
Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
Re: 11 a.m. Discussion [Re: Clark]
      #44701 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:39 PM

Franklin seems to be making its turn due North, then hopefully NE. Do you see any immediate opportunity for Franklin to make the loop anytime soon? I guess that would depend on when the trough makes it to the east coast. Just trying to make sense of the 11AM discussion.

--------------------
________2024 Forecast: 28/14/8________

There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard


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Ed G
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 77
Loc: Clermont, Fl
Re: 11 a.m. Discussion [Re: Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser]
      #44702 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:42 PM

I'm with ya wanna be!

I'd love to know too.


ed

I hate to say this, but I'd love a chance to try out my new hurricane panels!

Edited by Ed G (Fri Jul 22 2005 12:45 PM)


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TAZMAN
Weather Watcher


Reged: Fri
Posts: 48
Loc: Clermont, Fl
Re: Eastern Atlantic Tropical wave [Re: Waggy]
      #44703 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:42 PM

Just watching Local 6 and Wesh 2 news here in central FL.... question is, where do they get their color satellite pics?? they are much different than any I’ve seen thru links here.... are they the same and just doctored up to look nice?

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WeatherNut
Weather Master


Reged: Wed
Posts: 412
Loc: Atlanta, GA
Re: 11 a.m. Discussion [Re: WXMAN RICHIE]
      #44704 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:43 PM

Franklin seems to be looking increasingly symetrical on the AVN Color Infrared Loop. It is starting to show reds wrapping around the center. We wont see the rapid deepening we've seen with some of the rest...will we? If it does intensify, how does that affect the forcast versus a weaker storm? :?: :?:

--------------------
Born into Cleo (64)...been stuck on em ever since


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Steve H1
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 309
Loc: Palm Bay FL USA
Re: Movement [Re: WXMAN RICHIE]
      #44705 - Fri Jul 22 2005 12:43 PM

Very slowly though rich. I'm keeping my eye on the surface periphery of the storm, not the blowup of convection and I see very little overall movement, perhaps a slow NE drift. Was watching JB video, and he is thinking that Franklin will move ENE a few degrees, then turn back westward and threaten the SE US, anywhere from south Florida to the Carolinas as the ridge moves over from the midwest east, then off into the Atlantic. Its a wait and see.

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