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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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WX Storm 2005
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 14
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
Tropical Wave [Re: MikeC]
      #46282 - Tue Aug 02 2005 02:08 AM Attachment (230 downloads)

I have attached an Picture of a wave. This wave seems pretty presistent and has a lot of convection with it. Do you think it has a chance?

--------------------
Nathan Fairman
Nfairman@adelphia.net
Natedogg3L - Aim


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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
Re: Tropical Wave [Re: WX Storm 2005]
      #46283 - Tue Aug 02 2005 08:10 AM

Hmm, well, there is a huge SAL to their north and northwest. It might make it hard for them to develop.

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Beaumont, TX
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 318
Re: big picture [Re: HanKFranK]
      #46284 - Tue Aug 02 2005 09:27 AM

What is MJO?

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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
noaa's new numbers [Re: Beaumont, TX]
      #46286 - Tue Aug 02 2005 10:06 AM

Just in.......NOAA'S new numbers are 18-21 named storms,9-11 canes and 5-7 major canes. WOW!!!

--------------------

Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 330
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida
Re: noaa's new numbers [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #46287 - Tue Aug 02 2005 10:25 AM

That reminds me , doesn`t Dr. Gray up date his numbers around this time? Any infro on that?????........Weatherchef

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CoalCracker
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Fri
Posts: 96
Loc: Cape Coral, FL
Re: noaa's new numbers [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #46288 - Tue Aug 02 2005 10:37 AM

Even if the NHC's updated predictions are on the high side, looks like we're in for a bumpy ride the rest of the season. Stay prepared and stay informed.

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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
Re: noaa's new numbers [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #46289 - Tue Aug 02 2005 10:43 AM

Quote:

Just in.......NOAA'S new numbers are 18-21 named storms,9-11 canes and 5-7 major canes. WOW!!!




Hmm - just a quick check of NHC and this is what I get:

Code:

| Projected | Already | Remaining
Named | 18-21 | 7 | 11-14
Canes | 9-11 | 2 | 7-9
Major | 5-7 | 2 | 3-5



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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
Re: noaa's new numbers [Re: Random Chaos]
      #46290 - Tue Aug 02 2005 10:53 AM

Can you please post a link to that information?

--------------------
God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.


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CoalCracker
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Fri
Posts: 96
Loc: Cape Coral, FL
Re: noaa's new numbers [Re: GuppieGrouper]
      #46291 - Tue Aug 02 2005 11:00 AM

Here's the link from the NOAA site.

NHC 2005 UPDATED forecast

Edited by danielw (Tue Aug 02 2005 11:33 AM)


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MapMaster
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 138
Re: Recon and CYCLONE [Re: CoalCracker]
      #46292 - Tue Aug 02 2005 11:02 AM

Harvey in the works:

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (NEAR BERMUDA)
FLIGHT ONE FLIGHT TWO
A. 03/1800Z A. 04/0600Z
B. AFXXX 01GGA INVEST B. AFXXX 0208A CYCLONE
C. 03/1330Z C. 04/0045Z
D. 31.0N 67.0W D. 32.0N 65.0W
E. 03/1700Z TO 03/2130Z E. 04/0500Z TO 04/0930Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
MM


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MapMaster
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 138
Re: noaa's new numbers [Re: CoalCracker]
      #46293 - Tue Aug 02 2005 11:03 AM

Link is dead and I couldn't find it on NHC page....

MM


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
Re: noaa's new numbers [Re: MapMaster]
      #46294 - Tue Aug 02 2005 11:08 AM

I got the numbers from CNN @10:00am.The web sites should have them up soon.That's alot of storms,folks.

--------------------

Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


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Bloodstar
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 462
Loc: Tucson, AZ
Re: noaa's new numbers [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #46295 - Tue Aug 02 2005 11:08 AM

Try this link:

www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

Ok, oddly enough, it doesn't work if you just click on the link... try going to it manually

(Edited to remove http code and make it something to copy and paste (which didn't work, it still automagicly made it a link... oh well at least someone else found the info...))

--------------------
M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
Brookhaven National Laboratory
U. Arizona PhD Student

Edited by Bloodstar (Tue Aug 02 2005 11:12 AM)


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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
Re: noaa's new numbers [Re: CoalCracker]
      #46296 - Tue Aug 02 2005 11:10 AM

I found it here
http://www.physorg.com/news4351.html

--------------------
God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.


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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
Re: noaa's new numbers [Re: GuppieGrouper]
      #46297 - Tue Aug 02 2005 11:13 AM

It is amazing that they would even predict those numbers and more amazing they would publish them. The insurance speculators and agricultural interests are going to have a field day with those numbers. I hate to see what gasoline is going to cost since it is already $61.00 a barrel as of last news. I hope that none of those numbers effect the US or anyone. Hopefully these storms will not be bad ones and the major ones will stay at sea.

--------------------
God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.


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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
Re: noaa's new numbers [Re: GuppieGrouper]
      #46298 - Tue Aug 02 2005 11:23 AM

Oops!
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.html

--------------------
God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.


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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 330
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida
Re: noaa's new numbers [Re: GuppieGrouper]
      #46299 - Tue Aug 02 2005 11:29 AM

I wonder what Dr.Gray has for us on Friday. Should be interesting......Weatherchef

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Brad in Miami
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 365
Re: noaa's new numbers [Re: B.C.Francis]
      #46304 - Tue Aug 02 2005 11:42 AM

Storm 18 would be Stan. Storm 21 would be Wilma. Storm 22 would be, I believe, Alpha (assuming that what someone posted about the convention for naming the 22nd storm a few days ago is correct).

Amazing that the NHC's outlook raises a realistic possibility that we could see Alpha.


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MapMaster
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 138
Re: noaa's new numbers [Re: GuppieGrouper]
      #46305 - Tue Aug 02 2005 11:43 AM

It's up on the NHC page now...what a bombshell.

More storms than we usually have in an entire season...still to come.

MM


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MapMaster
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 138
Re: 2002 'below normal'? [Re: MapMaster]
      #46306 - Tue Aug 02 2005 11:54 AM

Why does NHC (and others) refer to 2002 as a 'below normal' season...there were 11 named storms that season, which based on 1995-2004 is below normal, but still @2 more storms than the previous long-term normal ...Clark, HF?

This seems to be a statement that has perpetuated itself but is not born out by facts....Lili was the last named storm that year.

MM


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