dolfinatic
Weather Guru
Reged: Fri
Posts: 129
Loc: St. Petersburg, Fl
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I believe they are referring to the area between the bahamas and florida. It is actually the gulf stream corridor but i think they refer it to the straits as well.
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Thunderbird12
Meteorologist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 644
Loc: Oklahoma
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There was a clear area on the radar that corresponded with the center earlier, but it disappeared about 90 minutes ago. There is still intense convection in that area though, based on the satellite and radar.
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lunkerhunter
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 248
Loc: Saint Augustine, FL
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the IR loop shows a hurricane signature, not a TS. the dry air is gone and the feederbands are in place. I think we're going to see rapid deepening.
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native
Weather Guru
Reged: Tue
Posts: 148
Loc: SE Florida
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Maybe some good news (short term atleast) - from Jim Williams @ hurricane city...eye of is 16mi. in diameter (from latest recon reports)
incorrect information-removed~danielw
Edited by danielw (Wed Aug 24 2005 09:38 PM)
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Justin in Miami
Storm Tracker
Reged: Thu
Posts: 269
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
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WXMAN and all other Broward and Palm Beach members....it looks like it will be our turn for a hurricane....darn they usually go north of us...but not this time! lol  warnings tonight most likely...when does everyone plan to put up shutters?
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danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Quote:
I believe they are referring to the area between the bahamas and florida. It is actually the gulf stream corridor but i think they refer it to the straits as well.
You are correct. The area of water between the Southern tip of FL, and Cuba is referred to as the Florida Straits.
Straits...as it is spelled, denotes a body of water.
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lunkerhunter
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 248
Loc: Saint Augustine, FL
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This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard
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native
Weather Guru
Reged: Tue
Posts: 148
Loc: SE Florida
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Better safe than sorry....
Get your act in gear now....I personally wouldn't want to be installing shutters with or in deteriorating weather. Get them up ASAP...that's what you got em' for right!
Edited by native (Wed Aug 24 2005 09:44 PM)
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dolfinatic
Weather Guru
Reged: Fri
Posts: 129
Loc: St. Petersburg, Fl
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The east- west elongation is less now. Storm is getting more symettrical. Sorry about spelling 
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Justin in Miami
Storm Tracker
Reged: Thu
Posts: 269
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
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Point taken....tomorrow is the day probably around noon my decision will be made. Oh, and the Hurricane Track guys are on their way to Deerfield Beach:
http://hurricanetrack.com/
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Rasvar
Weather Master
Reged: Fri
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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State Farm built a hurricane demonstration house in Deerfield Beach. They gave it to the city a couple of years ago. I think it is stilled tricked out with sensors to record what a hurricane does to it if hit.
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Jim
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native
Weather Guru
Reged: Tue
Posts: 148
Loc: SE Florida
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Just watching Steve Lyons on just noticed that time line in "cone" has position just offshore "Fri AM" that being duly noted, does anyone remember how slow the expected slow down is?
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
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past 45 minutes or so the system sure seems to have slowed down somewhat... it was moving at a pretty good clip earlier tonight, that has slowed down considerably per the latest radar loops...
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/amx_N0Z_lp.shtml
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danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Before you post: Before posting, please ask yourself the following question: "Am I making a post which is informative, or interesting or adds to thoughtful discussion on any level? If is a reply, does it offer any significant advice or help contribute to the conversation in any fashion?" If you can answer "yes" to this, then please post. If you cannot, then refrain from posting.
What are the rules?
http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/faq.php#rules
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Clark
Meteorologist
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc:
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To something around 5mph, most likely. Remember -- at 100mi offshore, a storm moving at 10mph will make landfall in 10 hours, but one moving at 5mph will make landfall in double the amount of time. The storm is currently 150 miles due east of Ft. Lauderdale -- at an average rate of speed of 7.5mph, that's 20hr to landfall. A slowdown to 5mph takes it to 30hr, which is about the projected landfall point...so somewhere between 5-7.5mph is the likely speed as it gets to Florida.
As noted last night, the projected forward speed from then -- and the current speed now -- suggests that a second Florida landfall is more likely than any other scenario. Again, what held last night still holds -- a faster speed now will result in a landfall point in north Florida further west...and this can result from the difference between 5mph & 8mph, as small as that may seem. As of now though, something in the central Panhandle area, generally from Destin to Apalachicola is the best bet. The threat to Louisiana is nearly gone, the threat to Mississippi is diminishing, and the threat to Alabama is there but moreso for a tangential impact than a direct impact.
We'll see what this storm does in the next day and go from there. About the only thing I'm 100% certain of is that it will not move directly into the northern Keys as a strong category 4 hurricane.
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Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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Rasvar
Weather Master
Reged: Fri
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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Going to bring up the initials JB. He thinks a Cat 2 system is not out of the question. I think that is possibility. Low to mid Cat 2. my personal feeling is a Cat 1 pushing Cat 2 if the system goes on the current forecast track. If, for some reason, the path gives her more time over water before landfall then currently forecast, i would be worried about a major system. Can not see that with the current forecast.
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Jim
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javlin
Weather Master
Reged: Wed
Posts: 410
Loc: Biloxi,MS
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I noticed that also Frank as a poster mentioned earllier E-W elongation is gone.Also the the ULL out front is moving away at a good clip I think enhancing some of the outflow possibily on the W side.Then if you look at the WV loop whats that coming from the E that's working the outflow on the E side.Maybe a Met can chime in here if it is anything.Shes looking impressive this evening for sure.
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html
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JG
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 55
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Quote:
Point taken....tomorrow is the day probably around noon my decision will be made. Oh, and the Hurricane Track guys are on their way to Deerfield Beach:
http://hurricanetrack.com/
That's good enough for me. They are excellent for the information and video they provide.
Also, is there any more information that substantiates the slowing of the forward speed that Steve Lyons just mentioned about 15 minutes ago? The latest model runs I've seen don't show that.
Edited by JG (Wed Aug 24 2005 10:19 PM)
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danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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This enhancement is from the UW-CIMSS site.
It gives a good indication of the symmetry of .
Click on the attachment.
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MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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The is aligned with the circulation center, the bands are there, the elliptical elongation east to west is going away. The traces of dry air between the bands are starting to disappear. Temperatures in the water are high, shear is low. Forward movement is slowing. Tomorrow is going to be highly interesting. I'd prepare for a category 2 tomorrow, even if it doesn't make it that high. Listen to local media and stay updated if you are in Palm Beach or Broward counties.
I'm supposed to be doing work in Lee county Friday through saturday on the west coast, so believe me I'm watching this very close.
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