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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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Grant
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Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #51484 - Sun Aug 28 2005 03:37 PM

Quote:


quick question..... does anybody know where the NO NWS office is located? if so do you think they will evacuate? What kind of area are they in? just was currious.




It's actually located in Slidell, on Airport Road. If the current track holds, that NWS office is in for a world of hurt....

--------------------
Richter I - Systems Administrator / Meteorology Student


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Lisa NC
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Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH [Re: susieq]
      #51485 - Sun Aug 28 2005 03:38 PM

after watching the gulf loop, it appears to elongate slightly north/south, and you can see the front system push throught Texas. Could this be the nodge to the northeast move that the model was hinting at? :?:

Sorry forgot the link
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-wv-loop.html

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<img src="/hahn/images/graemlins/wink.gif" alt="" />

Edited by Lisa NC (Sun Aug 28 2005 03:39 PM)


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Clark
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Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH [Re: Grant]
      #51486 - Sun Aug 28 2005 03:40 PM

I imagine that the people in the NWS/Slidell office, if the threat is there, will move into their storm room or even move out of the office and coordinate with their backup office -- every NWS office has one, and I'm sure they are prepping for this eventuality -- to cover their area for them.

As for Baton Rouge: gusts to 100mph are possible, but that's probably on the high end of things.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


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GEORGIA GIRL
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Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH [Re: susieq]
      #51488 - Sun Aug 28 2005 03:45 PM

TWC just said that they are expecting her to make a more northerly turn some time today. Also said something to the affect that, that will determine where she will make land fall. Ofcourse we have expected that turn all along, maybe not as soon as they originally thought. Although if she does turn sooner, it still does not help matters much with New Orleans. At this point it looks to me like it would have to be a drastic north east turn for the North Gulf coast to be in the clear. Even then they would still see significant effects from the storm because it is already so close to the coastline. This is just my take on it. No matter when it turns it is still going to be devastating to so many. This storm is so huge and powerful. It absolutely amazes me. I just pray that no matter where it goes that everyone is safe. It will affect such a huge area whether it moves east or west. So many states... Even cities like Atlanta(if it were to make its turn sooner) when a storm like this skirts along side of this city, the flooding is devastating. My prayers are with you all!!

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Hugh
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Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH [Re: Lisa NC]
      #51489 - Sun Aug 28 2005 03:45 PM

Quote:

after watching the gulf loop, it appears to elongate slightly north/south, and you can see the front system push throught Texas. Could this be the nodge to the northeast move that the model was hinting at? :?:

Sorry forgot the link
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-wv-loop.html




Don't know what the last WV image you can see is but for me it is 1445 which is an hour old now - but that one was FRIGHTENING. Okay, now I can see the 1515 image. Is it The Turn? I hope not. Another half hour or hour and we'll know.

--------------------
Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)


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Storm Hunter
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Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH [Re: Grant]
      #51490 - Sun Aug 28 2005 03:48 PM

well i found the addy..... yep your right... they could be in a little trouble.....hope its a rather new type of office.
found them on google maps ( HERE )

to me on recent sats, the low level center look like it is trying to move more northwest than the mid to upper level parts... or it just may be the sun going over and affecting the shot.
upper part of center looks like its expanding on nw side. outflow a little off, sign of weakening?

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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Colleen A.
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Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #51491 - Sun Aug 28 2005 03:50 PM

All I can say at this is that I am stunned...and I'm praying for our friends who live in the cone, that they are able to get out safely. I am also praying that these winds drop down; I do not know whether or not the hurricane can sustain the winds for such a long time, but I'm sure hoping they can't.
If this is posted in the wrong place, feel free to move it. At this point, I can't think of anything else to say except stay safe and stay alive.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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hockeyucf
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Wind Directions [Re: Hugh]
      #51492 - Sun Aug 28 2005 03:50 PM

A friend in Mobile just asked me a question regarding wind direction... I went through Charley myself and remember expecting winds out of the west, only to receive winds from due East (in east Orange Cty.).

Could someone qualified please take a gander at what direction folks in Mobile can expect wind from?(and other cities too, it might be helpful to others on the board).

Thanks in advance!

-Cara

----------------------------------------------------
Andrew, Charley, Frances, Jeanne


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SkeetoBiteAdministrator
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Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH [Re: Clark]
      #51493 - Sun Aug 28 2005 03:55 PM

Quote:

For those interested, I have tried breaking down and putting into perspective the potential impacts from Katrina in a post on the Met Blogs. Most regions are covered, from the Florida coastline and inland Alabama to central Louisiana. Please feel free to ask if you do not see your particular region listed.

We'll have another recon fix likely in the next 15-20 minutes.




Clark,

Thank you for adding your comments. It is most appreciated!


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pcola
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Re: Wind Directions [Re: hockeyucf]
      #51495 - Sun Aug 28 2005 03:55 PM

My son and I just went outside to do our monthly ritual board up...and the Navy just bugged out of Pcola..had about 10 jets heading to the east....that would tell me they expect Hurricane force winds..remember they had 100 million in damage in Ivan

--------------------
Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!


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Clark
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Re: Wind Directions [Re: hockeyucf]
      #51496 - Sun Aug 28 2005 03:56 PM

Winds in Mobile should be out of the southeast as the storm approaches, south as it makes landfall, and southwest thereafter. General intensity will be to hurricane-force along the water and slightly weaker inland.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


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JMII
Weather Master


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Re: Wind Directions [Re: hockeyucf]
      #51497 - Sun Aug 28 2005 04:04 PM

Quote:

Could someone qualified please take a gander at what direction folks in Mobile can expect wind from?




I'm not "qualified" in an offical sense but - the wind will come from the southeast primarly, but at landfall it will be coming from the south. Now once the center passes it will shift to and start coming from the west.

I hate to say it but this is going to be ugly I hope the people along the coast can get out of harms way



...or what Clark said above -I was just a little late pressing the POST button

--------------------
South FL Native... experienced many tropical systems, put up the panels for:
David 79 - Floyd 87 - Andrew 92 - Georges 98 - Frances 04 - Wilma 05 - Matthew 16 - Irma 17
Lost our St James City rental property to Ian 22


Edited by JMII (Sun Aug 28 2005 04:05 PM)


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mbfly
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Re: Wind Directions [Re: hockeyucf]
      #51498 - Sun Aug 28 2005 04:06 PM

Quote:

A friend in Mobile just asked me a question regarding wind direction...
Could someone qualified please take a gander at what direction folks in Mobile can expect wind from
Thanks in advance!

-Cara






I can tell you that right now, we are getting some pretty good gusts of wind out of the southeast. As a matter of fact, it's almost as windy now as I remember seeing it here for Dennis and Cindy. I guess the worst of the wind will depend on the track of Katrina and weather or not she stays far to the west of us. No doubt, we are in for some nasty weather here regardless. It looks like the first rainbands are just south of us. My hubby just got back from Dauphin Island, and the water is already up a lot there............... and it's not even here yet !


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Pamie
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Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #51499 - Sun Aug 28 2005 04:08 PM

I just want to say a quick Thanks to this site. My cousin lives in New Orleans and reading the information you all have been posting. He got out last night with no traffic. ~~ He drove to my Aunt's in Atlanta.

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ftlaudbob
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Re: Wind Directions [Re: mbfly]
      #51500 - Sun Aug 28 2005 04:11 PM

Quote:

Quote:

A friend in Mobile just asked me a question regarding wind direction...
Could someone qualified please take a gander at what direction folks in Mobile can expect wind from
Thanks in advance!

-Cara






I can tell you that right now, we are getting some pretty good gusts of wind out of the southeast. As a matter of fact, it's almost as windy now as I remember seeing it here for Dennis and Cindy. I guess the worst of the wind will depend on the track of Katrina and weather or not she stays far to the west of us. No doubt, we are in for some nasty weather here regardless. It looks like the first rainbands are just south of us. My hubby just got back from Dauphin Island, and the water is already up a lot there............... and it's not even here yet !


Maybe it is just me,But if I lived in Mobile I would leave.The strength and size of it and the fact it could still shift more east would have me packing.

--------------------

Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


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bn765
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Re: Wind Directions [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #51501 - Sun Aug 28 2005 04:14 PM

This thing just looks like it keeps getting better by the second.....does anyone think that at the 2PM advisory the winds will be increased?? I have a feeling they might.

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GEORGIA GIRL
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Re: Wind Directions [Re: bn765]
      #51502 - Sun Aug 28 2005 04:17 PM

It's really impressive. I agree with you. It wouldn't suprise me at all. I keep thinking that at some point it has to weaken some. Maybe that's just wishful thinking. I hope not.

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Bruce
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Gas Prices due to Katrina [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #51503 - Sun Aug 28 2005 04:17 PM

Just a quick post. Since 30% of the US gas comes in through LA, I would fill up my tank, gas prices could go up to over $5.00 a gallon in the next couple of days.

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MikeCAdministrator
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Re: Gas Prices due to Katrina [Re: Bruce]
      #51504 - Sun Aug 28 2005 04:18 PM

I've opened up the Chat link on the left. Although I'll be around, most of my time is spent tweaking the site and researching Katrina.

Others are there as well.


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Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser


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Re: Wind Directions [Re: bn765]
      #51505 - Sun Aug 28 2005 04:19 PM

Quote:

This thing just looks like it keeps getting better by the second.....does anyone think that at the 2PM advisory the winds will be increased?? I have a feeling they might.




Looking at current water vapor - which is (to my untrained eye) significantly more impressive than it was 2 hours ago... I suspect winds MAY be approaching 200, and are probably at least 180. But the last WV imagery does show some denting in the eastern eye.

--------------------
Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)


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