Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 223
Loc: Polk City, FL
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This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard
Edited by Big Red Machine (Fri Sep 02 2005 01:09 PM)
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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
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Keeping an eye or two on 92L also and I hope it stays the way it is....
Having said that, there is a lot to be learned in every facet from .
Preparedness, the lack thereof, how these things work, etc. All usefull information we need (as a nation) to take a look at.
Glad to see Lee and Maria are gonna stir fish instead of coastline.
Also, I couldnt be any happier to hear about Danny!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Pam in Volusia County
According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6
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cjgsav
Registered User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 8
Loc: Naples, FL
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This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard
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susieq
Weather Watcher
Reged: Fri
Posts: 49
Loc: Panhandle
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I'm just his daughter! 
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Gulf Breeze girl still not over Ivan
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Beaumont, TX
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 318
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So now the thinking is 92L may dissipate? Because if it doesn't it is at such low latitude it could head into the Carribean.
What is causing the dissipation of the system?
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kapSt.Cloud
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Fri
Posts: 50
Loc: Long Beach, MS
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Post deleted by MikeC
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Takingforever
Weather Watcher
Reged: Sun
Posts: 43
Loc: Philadelphia, PA
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Err..They are all gone CJG. Hell till you posted, I didn't even know what those post where about..thanks tho.
Anywho, all I wish is that someone would stop smirking and look like there a joke we don't know going on between him and himself.
So 92 is down, but as we should know till it's truly gone, you not think Nate will show up Monday.
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MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Folks please read the forum rules about politics. Discuss weather here and news, but please keep political overtones out. Regardless of where you are politically. This site is not flhurriblame.com. Right now there is a failure on all levels in all branches and parties of government, and the energy should not be on finding out whom to blame but on fixing the problem.
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Brad in Miami
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 365
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Continued thoughts and well-wishes to all affected by .
For those who care, regarding the Atlantic/Caribbean features HF and Clark have discussed, here is a portion of this afternoon's discussion from the Miami NWS office:
GLOBAL MODELS...ESPECIALLY INCLUDING THE AND
SOLUTIONS...DEEPEN THE WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESENTLY ANALYZED NEAR
30N/77W EARLY NEXT WEEK. OTHERS SUCH AS THE AND ARE LESS
ROBUST WITH LOW...HOWEVER THEY STILL INDICATE ELONGATED EAST-WEST
ORIENTED SURFACE TROUGH IN ROUGHLY THE SAME AREA. INITIALLY THIS
LOW WILL SERVE TO BRING DRIER AND COOLER AIR INTO SOUTH FLORIDA
LATE THIS WEEKEND (PERHAPS TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS 3-4 DEGREES
COOLER). THE EFFECT ON LATER PERIODS OF THE FORECAST IS MORE
UNCERTAIN...WITH RAIN CHANCES POSSIBLY INCREASING BY MID-WEEK
SHOULD THIS SYSTEM MOVE CLOSER TO US.
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tpratch
Moderator
Reged: Fri
Posts: 339
Loc: Maryland
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We're already up to M with the peak weeks away. I know Dr. Gray stood by his numbers, but is there anything in the weather patterns to suggest a sudden dropoff from the record pace we've seen so far?
*EDIT Yeah, I meant just over a week, but for some reason that came out as "weeks". OOPS 
Also, if you really want to discuss politics, I'd recommend going to Fark.com. Accounts are free, and every "Katrina Aftermath" thread there seems to be rife with politics. It might help you to appreciate the politic-free setting being established here as well
Cheers.
Edited by tpratch (Fri Sep 02 2005 03:10 PM)
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Brad in Miami
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 365
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tpratch:
The peak isn't weeks away. Historically, the season's peak is around September 10 - only 8 days away - with a smaller, second peak around Oct. 15. The has a graphic regarding this at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastprofile.shtml
And unfortunately, nothing suggests a "sudden dropoff."
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MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Oddly enough, that "Downtown New Orleans" blog from the Directnic center was a serious contender for me moving the flhurricane servers, actually still is. The hosting company there, Zipa, was what I was aiming for. I might still after things calm down, they've been doing really well so far, even if they had to take down a few sites, like SA, for it.
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Steve H1
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 309
Loc: Palm Bay FL USA
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Although things are rather quiet in the tropics from a "threat" perspective. The only area that may be of concern is the area east of Florida. The 12Z models (GFS/NOGAPS & particularly the UKMET) are showing development just off the east coast of Florida, with the UKMET bullish on a system east of Miami then paralleling the east coast of Florida while strengthening, but staying off shore. The and show similar solution, albeit weaker. 92L seems to be fading but goes on the watch list, and Ex-Lee and Maria want to run off to the high seas together. So the main area worth watching is going to be near the Bahamas late weekend and we should watch model trends on this one. Cheers!!
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tpratch
Moderator
Reged: Fri
Posts: 339
Loc: Maryland
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Yeah, better to take down SA and upset a few goons* than to not be able to provide the service they are now. It's been a great source of information.
*Goons in this case is not derrogatory. SA = SomethingAwful.com, their members call themselves goons. I presumed Mike knew since he called them SA - this note is for others.
**As much as having to switch gears to move to a new forum to post may calm someone down, at least it's a place to vent 
***Apologies for having fun breaking in that forum. Seeing it empty when I came across it just filled me with the need to purge some vitriol.
Edited by tpratch (Fri Sep 02 2005 04:41 PM)
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MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Ok, here it goes, I know everyone is upset about the situation. I've created a forum for these.
As the discription reads
People are upset, confused, angry, about , the response. A series of personal disasters amongst the larger disaster is beginning. Here's a place we'll allow rants, raves, etc. This forum shouldn't be read by anyone.
The link is
http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/postlist.php?Cat=0&Board=flhurriflame
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ralphfl
Weather Master
Reged: Mon
Posts: 435
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Quote:
Ok, here it goes, I know everyone is upset about the situation. I've created a forum for these.
As the discription reads
People are upset, confused, angry, about , the response. A series of personal disasters amongst the larger disaster is beginning. Here's a place we'll allow rants, raves, etc. This forum shouldn't be read by anyone.
The link is
http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/postlist.php?Cat=0&Board=flhurriflame
Thank you! this means i can read this forum again  .Its 1 thing to argue about canes as at least that is what we are here about is canes but this other stuff i can read on millions of sites like Aol etc.
So what happened to 92l? looks like they think its nomore well lets hope we can get past the holiday without anything coming to the U.S.
Thanks to everyone who helps with these great url's to plots and models has helped me a lot this season so thank you again.
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Takingforever
Weather Watcher
Reged: Sun
Posts: 43
Loc: Philadelphia, PA
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this means i can read this forum again...
Also means posting will stop here for hours till The Nate shows up.
Edited by Takingforever (Fri Sep 02 2005 05:08 PM)
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Brad in Miami
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 365
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I realize I'm essentially regurgitating info available on the front page, so please feel free to delete this if it is inappropriate. However, I'm paying more and more attention to the potential for development near the Bahamas or elsewhere along the trough sometime next week - the potential for a favorable pattern for development certainly exists - and so I figured I'd post the portions of the other Florida east coast NWS discussions from this afternoon regarding this potential:
From Jacksonville:
LONG TERM...12Z MORE AGGRESSIVE IN DEVELOPING QUASI STATIONARY
CLOSED SFC LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE BAHAMAS. 06Z AND OTHER
GUIDANCE NOT NEARLY SO AGGRESSIVE SO HAVE DISCOUNTED THIS FEATURE FOR
NOW.
From Melbourne:
MON/FRI...
BROAD TROFING OVER THE WRN ATLC WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK AS A SERIES OF WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCES WORK THEIR WAY AROUND
THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE ATLC RIDGE. THE CONTINENTAL RIDGE OVER
THE PLAINS/MIDWEST WILL GRADUALLY MOVE OFF THE MID ATLC/NEW ENGLAND
COAST BY TUE AFTN. AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO MOVE OFFSHORE...GFS
DEVELOPS A CLOSED SURFACE LOW JUST N OF THE BAHAMAS...WHICH THEN
RETROGRADES BACK TOWARD THE NE FL COAST ON WED. WOULD PREFER TO SEE
THIS LOW BEGIN TO FORM FIRST BEFORE BUYING INTO THE SOLUTION
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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master
Reged: Fri
Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
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I just clicked on the interactive GOES satellite and the area over the Bahamas seems to have gathered more convection during the afternoon. It ominously enlarging. I am hoping this is the heating of the day clouds and there is no circulation at any level.
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God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.
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LadyStorm
Weather Guru
Reged: Thu
Posts: 154
Loc: United States
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Some amazing and sobering stuff:
http://www.sky-chaser.com/kat05.htm
http://www.stormchaservideo.com/Hurricane_Katrina/
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