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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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weatherwatcher2
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 97
Loc: Parrish florida
Re: Hurricane Maria and Other Culprits [Re: Steve H1]
      #53794 - Mon Sep 05 2005 03:12 PM

Im not sure where its going but its windy as h-ll here in my neck of the woods. Just south of Tampa.

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weatherwatcher2
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 97
Loc: Parrish florida
Re: Hurricane Maria and Other Culprits [Re: weatherwatcher2]
      #53796 - Mon Sep 05 2005 03:14 PM

whats it like on the east coast? This little system has some kick to it no doubt about it..

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DebbiePSL
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 151
Loc: Saint Marys Georgia
Re: Hurricane Maria and Other Culprits [Re: weatherwatcher2]
      #53797 - Mon Sep 05 2005 03:20 PM

Around 1:00 pm here in PSL we had something going on. Winds had to be 25 mph or more and heavy blowing rain. I looked on the Melbourne radar and weather and it said something about waterspouts and funnel clouds at Jensen Beach so I am assuming that is what happened. Still raining steady here, water standing everywhere. Whew, I'll be glad when Dec. gets here so I can relax.

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VolusiaMike
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 63
Loc: Ormond Beach, FL
Re: Hurricane Maria and Other Culprits [Re: weatherwatcher2]
      #53799 - Mon Sep 05 2005 03:54 PM

Link in signature provides information regarding Ormond Beach (by Daytona). Quite a bit up the coast, but showing a down in pressure...

Michael


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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
Local Mets. take [Re: VolusiaMike]
      #53801 - Mon Sep 05 2005 04:18 PM

Based on GFS and analysis.

A weak low pressure area showing up as a swirl on the Miami radar near Andros. The latest upper air and looking at GFS reveals that this low will slowly drift Northwest the next few days as high pressure to the north will remain in control this week. The mid to upper flow is South to Southeast with a cyclonic circulation at 700mb and below. What we can expect
is increase in frequency of some bands of showers and imbedded thundershowers moving onshore tonight and continuing Tuesday and even longer period. A wet period may be in store with heavy downpours at times the next few days at least.

This system needs to be watched although now it seems rather weak and on the GFS a few mb's pressure drop between now and the next day or so and some organization to a depression could easily lead to a significant rain event for our area. So, in short
looks like a wet one folks and windy with strong pressure gradient between this weak subtropical low off Katrina's tail end of a wet/dry wind shift front and strong high over New England. This is what I was talking about last week with a significant rainy weather pattern this new work week after the labor day holiday today. Rotations etc in some of these squally brief showers as this weak low begins a slow transition to a possible depression. Stay tuned to the latest NOAA broadcasts and local weather network stations on this possible potential flooding situation from this tropical like system. I am sure NOAA is keeping an eye on this system in the Bahamas..I do not see this just going north but more Northwest slowwwwlllly

--------------------
Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.

Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4


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Lisa NC
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 102
Loc: North Carolina
New TD 15 [Re: WXMAN RICHIE]
      #53802 - Mon Sep 05 2005 04:29 PM

Navy site is now showing TD15 out of invest 93. the software error is showing when clicked on

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<img src="/hahn/images/graemlins/wink.gif" alt="" />


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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: Local Mets. take [Re: WXMAN RICHIE]
      #53803 - Mon Sep 05 2005 04:33 PM

thought this was interesting..... latest TAFB forecast danger area 1500UTC graphic
not too often a system could form over land..... must of been weird for the graphic person to highlight the state of Florida...
over land? (look at Florida in Graphic)
hmmm..... lots or rain for the Sunshine State!

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
2100Z MON SEP 05 2005
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 67.5W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.



--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Edited by Storm Hunter (Mon Sep 05 2005 04:36 PM)


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Steve H1
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 309
Loc: Palm Bay FL USA
Re: New TD 15 [Re: Lisa NC]
      #53804 - Mon Sep 05 2005 04:35 PM

All these systems less 94L should be harmless, except annoying to shipping. 94L is very weak, and may stay that way for it s time here off the Florida coast. Only thing that is of any concern is the possibility of 92L getting organized in the Caribbean over the next few days. That will have to be watched closely. Cheers!!

Edited by Steve H1 (Mon Sep 05 2005 04:37 PM)


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Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida
Re: Local Mets. take [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #53805 - Mon Sep 05 2005 04:36 PM

Quote:

thought this was interesting..... latest TAFB forecast danger area 1500UTC graphic
not too often a system could form over land..... must of been weird for the graphic person to highlight the state of Florida...
over land? (look at Florida in Graphic)
hmmm..... lots or rain for the Sunshine State!




That's just bizarre! And does not say much for the computer models which forecast 94L to go out to sea or to the Carolinas.

--------------------
Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)


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