NewWatcher
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
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Well count me in  Hubby and I will be on ours unless it is raining. We had tickets for ZZ Top at the new harley place but they cancelled all of their florida tours so not seeing them this weekend. oh well
It may be just as well cuz this storm may not hang around the YUC like it is thought to.....
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Pam in Volusia County
According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6
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Lee-Delray
Weather Master
Reged: Thu
Posts: 429
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This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard
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pcola
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
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If this thing stalls over the Yucatan for 24 hours, JB will be right. Ther interaction with land is already having an effect, and the motion seems to be more nw or even wnw, as the predicted
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Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!
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funky
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Sat
Posts: 55
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wow, if anything i would think more north. i'm still waiting for this thing to slow down, right now i don't see it! still waiting....if this thing doesn't slow down, you have landfall in tampa.
Quote:
Accuweather has made a major move south with their landfall (it used to center at Punta Gorda). They also have it a Cat 1 coming ashore in the south Everglades near Flamingo.
http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurrica...;imagetype=move
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WE WILL FIX YOU N.O. --- http://media.putfile.com/KATRINA25
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Lee-Delray
Weather Master
Reged: Thu
Posts: 429
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Actually I hope JB is right because it puts me on the northern part of the storm which for is where you want to be.
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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hey funky can you verify where you seen that....i live in tampa and as of right now the local mets and the EOC are saying that we will more than likely not have anything to worry about but i would like to see what your talking about
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 337
Loc:
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Quote:
If this thing stalls over the Yucatan for 24 hours, JB will be right. Ther interaction with land is already having an effect, and the motion seems to be more nw or even wnw, as the predicted
Let's hope for a stall and a hard right turn through the Florida Straits into the Atlantic and out to sea.
Sorry about ZZ Top........but there are always CD's...... peace
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native
Weather Guru
Reged: Tue
Posts: 148
Loc: SE Florida
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OK...someone else sees it too so now I'll say something....(I still don't trust my eyes enough yet to make comments such as I see this or that) however, I'll concur with you on that....look like I can't decide if that's good or bad though....good with some dry air entrainment..obviously...but bad because to my very untrained eye..her the top portiion of her eye looks to be elongating ( in the last loop at least) toward the NE....turn soon = bad.
Bottom line: She's a real head scratcher. However, I will say this...I think that is doing an incredible job with her. I do not envy them with this one.
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Londovir
Weather Guru
Reged: Fri
Posts: 112
Loc: Lakeland, FL
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I have to agree with the others...looking at the latest 2 or 3 segments of the Cancun radar loop, plus the IR GOES loop, it seems clear to me that is beginning to hook harder to the left. I was thinking it was beelining to Cancun -- now I'm thinking it's turning to plow right into Cozumel instead.
The models may have had something about the stall & loop over the Yucatan Peninsula. The interesting part will be to figure out what she'll do once she gets done with the stall pattern over the peninsula. It's going to come down to a timing issue with the fronts out there I'm going to guess.
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Londovir
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funky
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Sat
Posts: 55
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uh, where i see that? on my computer screen i guess! or how about the 8am advisory bumping up the speed from 5mph to 6mph? to slow by definition is the other way around. but who am i to know, i'm just watching.
Quote:
hey funky can you verify where you seen that....i live in tampa and as of right now the local mets and the EOC are saying that we will more than likely not have anything to worry about but i would like to see what your talking about
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WE WILL FIX YOU N.O. --- http://media.putfile.com/KATRINA25
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engicedave
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Tue
Posts: 70
Loc:
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Here's something interesting...
Port of miami just announced their closing starting tomorrow
isn't that odd, considering that isn't due until late Monday?
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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well yea obviously you seen ti on your computer screen but i was wondering where you got:
"if this thing doesn't slow down, you have landfall in tampa."...
i wanted to see it for myself...and i wanted to see what the source was thast all.
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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twizted sizter
Weather Guru
Reged: Tue
Posts: 184
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Would Clark or Hank...or anyone else for that matter..care to comment on todays 06GFS slp image loop on the NOAA site?
Fairly in line with the offical forecast for ...maybe a tad north...but it's what it shows coming after.Looks like continued unsettled weather for Fl as well...unless my eyes are deceiving me...Alpha is right behind.
Hope everyone here is encouraging their families, friends, coworkers, & neighbors to keep an eye on & to be prepared. "Only" a Cat 1 or 2 can still cause problems for affected areas.
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pincty
Weather Watcher
Reged: Tue
Posts: 31
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It looks like WNW again. If this continues it definitely makes landfall in the Yukatan. It will slow down and weaken. Tampa escaped Charlie, Tampa escaped (remember the Friday night where it kept going west of Kingston), and Tampa will escape .
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native
Weather Guru
Reged: Tue
Posts: 148
Loc: SE Florida
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Man, I hope that the folks in Cozumel and Cancun were as prepared as one can be for these types of things. A stall over either one of those areas could be absolutely horrific...could you image a healthy CAT 4 sitting on top of you for two days!?! I mean really..try to imagine that..the only comparison (remote at best) that we have is Francis..and she was a CAT 2 and it was not two days. God I hope those people got the heck out of dodge.
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Mayor of Moronia
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Wed
Posts: 16
Loc: Bayonet Point, Pasco County
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Incredible job? Naaah. If you examine the tracks of hurricanes for the last 150 years, in October they usually land in Southwest Florida or around Tampa. A layman can get as close as the 'professionals' with no more information than knowledge of where these storms usually go.
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native
Weather Guru
Reged: Tue
Posts: 148
Loc: SE Florida
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I should warn you against making such flippant remarks on here:
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and Tampa will escape .
you'll get chewed up for that! No one knows exactly where she's going to be 4-5 days from now...not even the if you read their DISCO. I'm glad you feel so confident....wish I did.
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ZooKeeper
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Tue
Posts: 24
Loc: Live in Chiefland & work in Ce...
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Could you post the link for this please?
Thanks!
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The storm that began a lifelong facination: Donna 1960 (Eyewall)
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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i couldnt agree with you more on that native i hope everyone got to safety ....i couldnt imagine what they are going through right now and my thoughts and prayers are with them all and hopefully they will be able to get back up on their feet after this horrific ordeal...alot of people are way more concerned about their home and if its going to hit near them*guilty as charged* but its only human to worry if your home or your friends and family are going to get blown away....
Good Luck Cancun & Cozumel and we are thining of you!!!
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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evergladesangler
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Fri
Posts: 71
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You wonder if they really had time to prepare as the was saying middle of the Yucatan channel as of early Wednesday. Looks like the first that showed Yucatan landfall wasn't so crazy afterall.
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