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Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 136 (Michael) , Major: 136 (Michael) Florida - Any: 136 (Michael) Major: 136 (Michael)
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Archives 2000s >> 2006 News Talkbacks

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TampaRand
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Fri
Posts: 76
Loc: Tampa FL
Re: take... [Re: MadDog]
      #72086 - Mon Aug 28 2006 07:37 PM

I would not be surprised by anything this system does. That being said, the steering winds aloft are westerly, but smaller systems are not as influenced by steering winds as are larger systems, but with the COC looking like it is at 75W23Nor thereabouts, and a strong steering current at 1000-1010 hPa, I would not be a bit surprised to see a slight westerly trend just before landfall in South FL that will change the whole scenario. The convection seems to be wrapping up a bit according to the last IR look. The other thing that makes me think that may be a trend is the deepening of shear winds to the NE of this storm of 20kts. courtesy of an ULL NW of Yucatan,it may attempt to escape-the deepinging NE side being earlier in the forecast period than the NW side. I still think this system has many challenges and am just waiting for the other shoe to drop at 11. I can't believe we are out of "gotchas" yet.

--------------------
Amateur Weather Prognosticator and Cane Junkie.
www.hurricanewx.net


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OrlandoDan
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 346
Loc: Longwood, FL
Re: take... [Re: TampaRand]
      #72088 - Mon Aug 28 2006 07:40 PM

There is a new Forum started.

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Keith (1988), Charley (2004), Frances (2004) , Jeanne (2004), Fay (2008), Mathew (2016), Irma (2017)


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