allan
Weather Master
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Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
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OK so we will probably have Subtropical Storm Andrea at 11 a.m. I'm pretty sure I will be under a tropical storm warning lol.. the smoke here is so heavy right now thanks to (Andrea)
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Allan Reed - 18,9,5
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Hurricane29
Weather Guru
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Posts: 148
Loc: Miami Florida
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Yea allan it looks that way but theres really no deep convection near the center so in reality this is still cold core but the transition to a sun-tropical storm has been under way and avisories should begin at 11am if the present trend continues.Thats if.
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cieldumort
Moderator
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Loc: Austin, Tx
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http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn/tc...-791W.100pc.jpg
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Fully vaccinated as of May 2021
(Moderna x2)
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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
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Navy site now says 01ANDREA
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Pam in Volusia County
According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6
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vineyardsaker
Weather Guru
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Posts: 150
Loc: New Smyrna Beach, FL
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Quote:
Well, we talked a whole lot about African Dust last year... Morning visible shows 90L is sucking up one heck of a lot of smoke from across the Florida Penninsula...Pretty amazing view actually.
This morning the sky is blue in New Smyrna Beach, and there is a strong smell of smoke for the second day in a row.
Andrea does look a little better organized (at least to the newbie I am), in particular in the west side of it, but the core does not seem to have an organized eye. Is my observation correct? If yes, what does this mean?
(Pam - do you have as much smoke in Port Orange as we do here?)
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Charley(eyewall), Ivan, Jeanne, Dennis, Wilma, Irma, Ian (eyewall), Nicole
Edited by vineyardsaker (Wed May 09 2007 01:56 PM)
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HCW
Storm Tracker
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Loc: Mobile,AL
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If the models are correct it could be great news for those people living in FL and GA that have been fighting wild fires. Even better news if some how it can get in the GOM and merge with a frontal boundary and bring the central gulfcoast some rain
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nl
Storm Tracker
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Loc: nsb,fl
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yeah im in new smyrna beach to and and is bad with the smoke but i think the smoke is making her stronger. i have been saying andrea for like 2 days now and i was right. sorry guys i havent been on in a while. im so excited about this year's season. this is just the taste of the medicine we are about to get this year. did you see all the tropical waves coming off of africa already and clark thank you for the advise about where to goto school for my meteorology degree last yr. i took your advice about that and im transferring from dbcc to florida institution of technology for my meteorology degree. go andrea! 
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MadDog
Weather Hobbyist
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Loc: DeBary, Florida
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The models certainly don't agree with each other. They are all over the board.
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
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Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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The last time we had a named storm in May was back in 1981.It was and it had a short life(May 6-9).So we are seeing something rare indeed.We can only hope it will help with the fires.Right now of course it is making them worse with all wind and little or no rain.This is just to early for all this. 
p.s. The smoke and smell were bad here in Ft Laud. last night and they are calling for the same this evening.
Edited by ftlaudbob (Wed May 09 2007 02:21 PM)
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vineyardsaker
Weather Guru
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Loc: New Smyrna Beach, FL
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Quote:
did you see all the tropical waves coming off of africa already
nope. being a noob at all this (-: I moved from *Switzerland* for crying out loud! :-) . were do you look that stuff up?
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Charley(eyewall), Ivan, Jeanne, Dennis, Wilma, Irma, Ian (eyewall), Nicole
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AdrianInFlorida
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 12
Loc: Indialantic, FL
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Quote:
yeah im in new smyrna beach to and and is bad with the smoke but i think the smoke is making her stronger. i have been saying andrea for like 2 days now and i was right. sorry guys i havent been on in a while. im so excited about this year's season. this is just the taste of the medicine we are about to get this year. did you see all the tropical waves coming off of africa already and clark thank you for the advise about where to goto school for my meteorology degree last yr. i took your advice about that and im transferring from dbcc to florida institution of technology for my meteorology degree. go andrea!
I live on the coast, but work in Orlando, and the smoke inland is just horrible. Hopefully some of the rain that's spinning offshore will get in and start to do it's thing.
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vineyardsaker
Weather Guru
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Posts: 150
Loc: New Smyrna Beach, FL
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Quote:
Quote:
Hopefully some of the rain that's spinning offshore will get in and start to do it's thing.
I am not sure this is in the making. The rotation would bring the winds from Andrea over land before it gets to the Florida coast, so this just might be - in my totally un-informed wild guess - a dry event
Can the more knowledgable forumites share their opinion with us: will Florida finally get some good rain?
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Charley(eyewall), Ivan, Jeanne, Dennis, Wilma, Irma, Ian (eyewall), Nicole
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ChessieStorm
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 49
Loc: Spring Hill, Fla. (Hernando C...
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Thankfully the smoke in coastal sections of Spring Hill isn't like it was yesterday morning. The wind has shifted and is pushing the smoke to inland counties (sorry guys).
They do have rain chances going up to 40% by Friday and keeping around 30% chance in the forecast for the next 7 days. Slowly we are moving toward our rainy season.
Dewpoints have risen nearly 20° since yesterday morning here an indication that the atmosphere is working up toward good things we hope, esp. for northern Fla. and southern Georgia
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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
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very interesting, wondering if the smoke did or does have any effect on the development
can she get ash from the georgia fire in her circulation and how different would that be than african dust
interesting, thanks for mentioning it here
we will have to watch andrea and see
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http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/
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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
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000
WTNT31 KNHC 091443
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007
1100 AM EDT WED MAY 09 2007
...EARLY-SEASON SUBTROPICAL STORM FORMS OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
COAST...
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THAT THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST HAS ACQUIRED SUBTROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST OR ABOUT 140
MILES...225 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA AND ABOUT 150 MILES
...240 KM...NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.
ANDREA IS MOVING GENERALLY TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH. A CONTINUED
SLOW MOTION AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALONG THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANDREA
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE U.S. COAST THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...MAINLY TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
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Pam in Volusia County
According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6
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