F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 239 (Idalia) , Major: 239 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 239 (Idalia) Major: 239 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Pages: 1 | 2 | (show all)
madmumbler
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 324
Loc: SWFL
Re: did the front stall? [Re: weather_wise911]
      #75665 - Sat Jun 30 2007 03:22 PM

Quote:



Still using the term "elsewhere..."
Perhaps the NHC isn't ready to let go???




They mean elsewhere as in "in other areas" not as in "we think this will develop." Don't read more into what they're saying than what they are actually saying. They could just as easily say, "...And in other areas besides this one we just discussed..."

It's just semantics. They're not implying they think this will develop. They're just stating what the likelihood is in other areas outside of this area of discussion.

--------------------
Lesli in SWFL.
Friends help you move. Real friends help you move bodies.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
weather_wise911
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 82
Re: did the front stall? [Re: madmumbler]
      #75666 - Sat Jun 30 2007 07:34 PM

I was just saying that although the likelihood is extremely slim... the term elsewhere implies that the possibility does exist for the area mentioned.

I was not implying that the system would develop.... not at all!


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
HanKFranK
User


Reged:
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
mjo time? [Re: weather_wise911]
      #75667 - Sat Jun 30 2007 08:15 PM

some of y'all have posted excerpts from forecasts indicating that the overall pattern might soon shift over to active with an eastward moving MJO wave. all i can say is that some of the signals i usually look for to expect things to happen are there... the SOI index in the pacific has tipped strongly negative, which is usually associated with strong retrogressive motion in the tropical pacific. the pacific has been really quiet lately... i.e. they didn't get a named storm to form this june anywhere in the pacific ocean. when the bay of bengal and arabian sea are setting the pace for global tropical cyclone activity you know things are in weirdsville. from the looks of things the kind of synoptic scale anomalies that favor tropical cyclones coughing up are about to come together and possibly make july twitch to life.
the good news about july is that tropical systems usually don't have the intensity they tend to accumulate later in the season.. the downside would be that they tend to be slow and rainy. most places in the southeast could use a good drenching (with emphasis on the d4 drought in north alabama), but over in, say, the texas hill country or the edge of the prairies out there, a tropical storm is not in order.
for now the models aren't really showing much of anything. that won't mean a whole lot when/if MJO starts up.
HF 2015z30june


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Ed in Va
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 489
Loc:
Re: mjo time? [Re: HanKFranK]
      #75668 - Sun Jul 01 2007 05:03 PM

Doesn't look like it's going anywhere other than NE, but the FL wave
seems to have some more life today.

--------------------
Survived Carol and Edna '54 in Maine. Guess this kind of dates me!


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: did the front stall? [Re: weather_wise911]
      #75670 - Mon Jul 02 2007 01:48 AM

"the term elsewhere implies that the possibility does exist for the area mentioned."

I've mentioned this before, but ... one more time. The word 'elsewhere' does NOT imply any possibility for the area mentioned. It is a phrase that is always used by NHC whenever they have commented on some feature in the basin. It simply means that 'elsewhere' in the basin there is nothing worthy of comment. Because of the potential for confusion, some forecasters at NHC no longer use the term - see the latest TWO by Brown.
ED


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1 | 2 | (show all)



Extra information
0 registered and 5 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Topic views: 16843

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center