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Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 233 (Idalia) , Major: 233 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 233 (Idalia) Major: 233 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

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charlottefl
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Mon
Posts: 94
High Pressure [Re: h2ocean]
      #77471 - Fri Aug 24 2007 12:52 AM

A lot of time we think of a strong high pressure ridge as a bad thing. Storms make their way closer
to our neck of the woods. Who would have ever though the ridges over the Atlantic would be so strong
as to basically squash convection along the ITCZ. Anyone have any model data to suggest how long
these ridges are gonna remain this strong?

Edited by charlottefl (Fri Aug 24 2007 12:52 AM)


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HanKFranK
User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
little guy [Re: charlottefl]
      #77472 - Fri Aug 24 2007 07:08 AM

that small low that wandered up to the bahamas mid week is now east of north florida, very weak, but present. there's finally a bit of convection on it, but of course this is one of those too little/too late things. since there's nothing else to watch....
gfs has returned to its conspicuous silence. it's been pretty good at bird-dogging systems that did exist and ignoring ones that never turned up this year, so the fact that it sees nothing carries weight. the fact that it's going through two weeks leading up to the peak of the season and nothing is showing up is VERY conspicuous. stuff like that is possible, but it's incredibly rare to go through the last week of august and first of september with nothing happening. hard to expect reality to follow what the models have.
HF 1107z24august


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Ed in Va
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 489
Loc:
Re: little guy [Re: HanKFranK]
      #77473 - Fri Aug 24 2007 01:04 PM

Noticed that the insert on this page is on FL EC radar. Someone thinking there's some potential there, or just that it's the only thing at all out there? The Atlantic is amazingly quiet...we'd probably see more action in Jan.

--------------------
Survived Carol and Edna '54 in Maine. Guess this kind of dates me!


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Lee-Delray
Weather Master


Reged: Thu
Posts: 429
Re: little guy [Re: Ed in Va]
      #77474 - Fri Aug 24 2007 01:35 PM

I agree it's quiet now, but remember things cam bubble up very fast this time of year. We had both Dean and Erin within the same week.

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flahurricane
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Sun
Posts: 55
Loc:
Re: little guy [Re: Lee-Delray]
      #77480 - Fri Aug 24 2007 09:30 PM

Is that rotation I see northwest of Tampa in the Gulf of Mexico? Is that associated with a low pressure system? Or is that the old 92L wave?

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ChessieStorm
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 49
Loc: Spring Hill, Fla. (Hernando C...
Re: little guy [Re: flahurricane]
      #77481 - Fri Aug 24 2007 10:45 PM

What is in the Gulf of Mexico off the Florida coast is an ULL moving slowly west or northwest. Throughout the day here on Tampa Radar there's been a wave spinning over the state that set off a lot of thunderstorms throughout the pennisula and is expected to cause the same tomorrow.

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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: little guy [Re: HanKFranK]
      #77482 - Fri Aug 24 2007 11:39 PM

Well Hank, i think the GFS has been turned back on? Looks like it and a few other globals are showing something mid-week coming off of Africa... Like the wave train my throw out another strong wave or two. Will be an interesting weekend to see how the Globals respond and show what comes of Africa and we will again see if the GFS and others are on to something, like they were with Dean. Just would be crazy if the next one forms and down the road becomes another strong system, but it is possible... water temps are very warm in the western atlantic and closer to the US. Also will post a link in a few days to Hurricane Hunter AF Tech. who flew into Dennis a few times and took some pretty cool pictures.

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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