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Archives 2000s >> 2007 News Talkbacks

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cieldumort
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1835
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Hurricane Humberto [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #78386 - Thu Sep 13 2007 01:56 AM

Been keeping an eye on Weather Bug out of Crystal Beach (just barely NE of Galveston) - where Mike Seidel has been doing live reports out of all night.

Last ob I saw was a gust to 59 or so & Mike Seidel was reporting back to TWC of gusts up to 60 or so. Looks like it just went offline. Never a good sign. Perhaps just power failure. If Mike Seidel comes back on for another live shot perhaps we can get a better idea, but Crystal Beach is indeed -roughly- where some of these highest winds should be approaching, either directly, or very close to it.


Edit: He looks fine. Power is out behind him in Crystal Beach. Lots of water, and lots and lots of frogs.

Edited by cieldumort (Thu Sep 13 2007 02:09 AM)


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ltpat228
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 201
Loc: Port Saint Lucie FL
Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean [Re: scottsvb]
      #78387 - Thu Sep 13 2007 02:08 AM

Quote:

I dont expect more then a 5mph jump up.



Voila!
At 1:15am he became a hurricane with 80mph winds and 992mbs!
I'd say that is much more than a 5mph jump!

Wow, isn't this America's first landfalling hurricane of this season?


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3518
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean [Re: ltpat228]
      #78388 - Thu Sep 13 2007 02:20 AM

I don't think 10% of the Amateurs or Professionals saw the 80mph wind speeds.
Especially this close to land!

I've grown to expect the unexpected from Humberto. And I'm sure he isn't finished yet.
I'm looking at the 5 day track forecast map on the left side of the page. Last dot places the center of what's left about 90 miles NW of me. Still in the Eastern Semicircle.


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3518
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Tornado Watch [Re: danielw]
      #78389 - Thu Sep 13 2007 02:22 AM

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 669
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
120 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007

TORNADO WATCH 669 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

LA
LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA CALCASIEU CAMERON
IBERIA JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE
ST. MARTIN ST. MARY VERMILION

TX
TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON ORANGE


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Beaumont, TX
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 318
Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean [Re: danielw]
      #78390 - Thu Sep 13 2007 02:26 AM

Wow. I just woke up to check the NHC site and saw Humberto is a hurricane. It is raining outside. Just a steady downpour. We are on the
north end of Beaumont so we may not see as much rain as some areas. I would imagine it is pretty windy around High Island.


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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean [Re: ltpat228]
      #78391 - Thu Sep 13 2007 02:28 AM

wow... i was zoomed in on the center watching landfall.... on level II data and i just zoomed out and looped it... a little mini cell got pulled form one feeder band to the NW at a VERY FAST rate inward, it coming ashore right now to the SE of Sabine Pass... got some rotation in it... what gets me, is HOW FAST THIS CELL WAS MOVING TO THE NNW then WNW

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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charlottefl
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Mon
Posts: 94
Re: Tornado Watch [Re: danielw]
      #78392 - Thu Sep 13 2007 02:28 AM

Humberto reminds me a lot of Hurricane Katrina before it's 1st landfall in FL.
Very disoraganized very shortly before landfall. A very small storm. And a storm
that strengthened very very quickly in a short period of time. Even though the
hurricane is so close to land it's is fighting to continue intensifying. (not saying it will)
Does anyone see this making it back into the Gulf?


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ltpat228
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 201
Loc: Port Saint Lucie FL
Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean [Re: danielw]
      #78393 - Thu Sep 13 2007 02:28 AM

Quote:

I don't think 10% of the Amateurs or Professionals saw the 80mph wind speeds.
I've grown to expect the unexpected from Humberto.




Yes siree!
The Season with No Reason where fortunately 90% of us can see - LOL.
Indeed - Humberto is America's very first land falling hurricane for 2007.


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3518
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
SE Texas [Re: Beaumont, TX]
      #78394 - Thu Sep 13 2007 02:30 AM

Houston and Lake Charles Radar were indicating rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches per hour in the Bolivar Peninsula area near Crystal Beach... and Mike Seidel.
Mike always seems to get the rough end when Jim Cantore isn't in the field.

Hey... Humberto wasn't supposed to be a Hurricane.


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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean [Re: Beaumont, TX]
      #78395 - Thu Sep 13 2007 02:33 AM

Quote:

Wow. I just woke up to check the NHC site and saw Humberto is a hurricane. It is raining outside. Just a steady downpour. We are on the
north end of Beaumont so we may not see as much rain as some areas. I would imagine it is pretty windy around High Island.





well i expect the center to pass really close to you in about 4-7 hrs... it should weaken alot by the time it gets to you....

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: SE Texas [Re: danielw]
      #78396 - Thu Sep 13 2007 02:39 AM

Humberto want just give up as it making landfall now.... near or just east of High Island
minus 1 more mb

792
URNT12 KNHC 130630
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092007
A. 13/06:09:50Z
B. 29 deg 27 min N
094 deg 26 min W
C. 850 mb 1346 m
D. NA kt
E. 081 deg 8 nm
F. 165 deg 078 kt
G. 080 deg 010 nm
H. 989 mb
I. 16 C/ 1530 m
J. 26 C/ 1526 m
K. 0 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/8
O. 0.02 / NA nm
P. AF306 0309A HUMBERTO OB 11
MAX FL WIND 78 KT E QUAD 06:02:20 Z
RADAR ATTENUATED AND COULDN'T GET GOOD EYE PRESENTATION
MET ACCURACY 2NM

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Edited by Storm Hunter (Thu Sep 13 2007 02:41 AM)


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3518
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: SE Texas [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #78397 - Thu Sep 13 2007 02:42 AM

989mb on the Eye. This storm won't stop!

There is probably going to be some old scale F1 to F3 tornadoes with Humberto. Due to the proximity of the cool front just North of the Coast and I-10.


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Beaumont, TX
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 318
Re: SE Texas [Re: danielw]
      #78398 - Thu Sep 13 2007 03:07 AM

Power is out in some coastal communities such as Sabine Pass. Rain is pretty steady here now. We have updates on the local TV station
every 30 minutes or so.


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cieldumort
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1835
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: SE Texas [Re: Beaumont, TX]
      #78399 - Thu Sep 13 2007 03:26 AM

986mb going into landfall


Stunning performance. The eyewall is becoming more pronounced, with deep convection wrapping more completely all the way around, into landfall, as well.

Folks in the Beaumont/Port Arthur area - take care -


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3518
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Humberto Landfall [Re: cieldumort]
      #78400 - Thu Sep 13 2007 03:31 AM

WTNT64 KNHC 130714
TCUAT4
HURRICANE HUMBERTO TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007
210 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007

NOAA NWS DOPPLER RADAR AND AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA
INDICATE THAT AT AROUND 200 AM CDT...0700 UTC...THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE HUMBERTO CROSSED THE TEXAS COAST JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND
WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF 85 MPH...135 KM/HR.

First US Landfalling Hurricane of 2007. (Hope it is the last one also)~danielw


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Beaumont, TX
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 318
Re: Humberto Landfall [Re: danielw]
      #78402 - Thu Sep 13 2007 05:01 AM

Winds are really picking up now. Humberto is definitely coming through our area.

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charlottefl
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Mon
Posts: 94
Re: Humberto Landfall [Re: Beaumont, TX]
      #78403 - Thu Sep 13 2007 05:08 AM

A weather station in Beaumont is reporting wind gusts to 84mph with sustained winds of 54mph.
Looks like Humberto is on more of an Easterly course. Weather there is Beaumont is going to
be rough for a little while. It's impressive how intact the eye of this storm is. In fact, I think it
looks more impressive now than when it made landfall as far as overall appearence is concerned.


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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
Re: Humberto Landfall [Re: charlottefl]
      #78404 - Thu Sep 13 2007 06:09 AM

For the record, there was at least one more recon after the last one posted. It's now a couple hours old, but still relevant given that it has 986mb. It looks like this central pressure was based on a 989mb dropsonde with 17kt winds, so they lowered it 3mb because they didn't hit the center.

5am NHC report also says: "WIND OF 98 KT WAS REPORTED EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...OR AROUND 75 KNOTS AT THE SURFACE...AND A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 986 MB."

This means that the pressure fell another 3mb AFTER it crossed the coast, and the wind speeds jumped another 10kts!

I went to bed and this was a TS with 998mb pressure and I wake up with a hurricane over land.

I suspect this is going to be one storm that will be heavily analyzed given that it was within land based radar for almost it's entire development. This means they have a rare case where they have near complete lifetime radar imagery they can reference to see how it developed.

----
3 hours old:

971
URNT12 KNHC 130705
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092007
A. 13/06:52:00Z
B. 29 deg 32 min N
094 deg 21 min W
C. 850 mb 1308 m
D. 68 kt
E. 214 deg 4 nm
F. 290 deg 065 kt
G. 208 deg 004 nm
H. 986 mb
I. 17 C/ 1525 m
J. 27 C/ 1499 m
K. 0 C/ NA
L. OPEN WSW
M. C17
N. 12345/8
O. 0.02 / NA nm
P. AF306 0309A HUMBERTO OB 15
MAX FL WIND 78 KT E QUAD 06:02:20 Z
RAGGED EYEWALL
MET ACCURACY 1NM

Edited by Random Chaos (Thu Sep 13 2007 06:21 AM)


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Beaumont, TX
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 318
Re: Humberto Landfall [Re: charlottefl]
      #78405 - Thu Sep 13 2007 06:28 AM

The wind is blowing and it is raining here also. We have had some pretty strong gusts. Humberto is no Rita but he will definitely leave his
mark. Pretty amazing how he went from a depression yesterday morning to a hurricane today.


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weatherguy08
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 60
Loc: Miami, Fla.
Re: Humberto Landfall [Re: Beaumont, TX]
      #78407 - Thu Sep 13 2007 07:22 AM

Heavy rain in Lafayette, LA right now. From the way it looks on HPC QPF Forecasts and just by looking at radar, south-central Louisiana might get the most rain of anyone with this system. Tropical storm force gusts will also be possible in squalls. Not enough wind to close school though.

This storm definitely caught people in southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas off guard, which is bad because Cameron, LA floods with only a 3-foot surge and 6-foot surge is being predicted. If they had the chance, there would have at least been a precautionary evacuation.


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