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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 238 (Idalia) , Major: 238 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 238 (Idalia) Major: 238 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks
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DarleneCane
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Posts: 20
Loc: Miami Beach, FL
Re: 94L and TD3 the Crystal Ball crew [Re: Random Chaos]
      #80690 - Sat Jul 19 2008 12:36 PM

What that heat map shows well is that the water under TD3 is quite cold comparively so.

The area 94 is moving into is warmer and the wave before it blew up there nicely just before going onshore.

http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/hhc/js/hh3.watl.jsmovie.html

So, that would indicate we should watch 94 to see how it does when it hits that same spot.

My question would be

The ironic part of 94 falling apart has been you can finally make out the core or where the vortex itself was and yet a lot of energy if swirling away to the north and I am wondering where that goes. It seems to be pulled north towards TD3. The ULL is sort of handing it off and relaying it north on a fast path. Moisture from 94 is already flowing north of Cuba. Where does this go? The core is going to keep going west through the Caribbean but will this development have any effect down the road?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/jsl-l.jpg

Also, some models have TD3 a bit more to the right and it would be worth remembering the cone is over land not just open sea.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html

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