MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
|
|
I modified the camera recordings to just show the images from today below:
South Padre Beach Cam
South Padre Island Surf Cam -- High Res
South Padre Island Bay Cam (Now Active)
South Padre Island Radisson Resort Beach Cam (Now Active)
|
JoshuaK
Weather Guru
Reged: Mon
Posts: 159
Loc: Lakeland, FL
|
|
Advisory 12B, Issued at 8AM CDT, has maximum sustained winds increased to 95 mph, right on the threshold of becoming a Category 2 Hurricane. They predict some more strengthening before landfall, and it looks like Dolly will become a triple digit wind intensity storm before landfall, just a little bit stronger than what the Forecast Intensities have been calling for.
And those camera shots show just how nasty it already is on the Texas coastline with the center just offshore.
|
Brett Addison
Registered User
Reged: Wed
Posts: 9
|
|
Looks like we are seeing a strong cat. 2 or possibly cat. 3 in the making. The way the pressure has been dropping and the formation of the eye wall I would not be surprised if they upgraded the storm to a cat.2 with 105 to 110 mph by the next update (11:00am). The storm also seems to be wobbling a little further to the north and slowing down which is very bad news for south Texas. I hope everyone in south Texas stays safe and out of harms way.
|
MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
|
|
Quote:
Looks like we are seeing a strong cat. 2 or possibly cat. 3 in the making. The way the pressure has been dropping and the formation of the eye wall I would not be surprised if they upgraded the storm to a cat.2 with 105 to 110 mph by the next update (11:00am). The storm also seems to be wobbling a little further to the north and slowing down which is very bad news for south Texas. I hope everyone in south Texas stays safe and out of harms way.
Don't think there will be enough time to make 3, mid-strong 2 is very possible.
I do think many who stayed on South Padre will wish they hadn't.
|
danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
|
|
Jim Cantore recently said that 35% of the Islands residents/ tourists had evacuated. Apparently the 70% that stayed behing forgot about last year's rapid spin up Storm.
Dolly is doing almost the same thing... Max poss wind speed from the pressure-wind relationship is 108 MPH.
I don't think she will reach 108 MPH, but I she wasn't expected to reach 95 MPH either.
|
MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
|
|
Latest pressure is down to 961mb, so it's definitely into Cat 2 territory, the cat 3 territory is very possible now if it slows down further.
I don't expect it, but this is reminding me of what occured in before landfall (intensity, not track wise), except the storm is moving west and much slower.
edit:
Vortex message clarifies it, 964mb. Still an impressive drop in a short amount of time.
|
Beaumont, TX
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 318
|
|
Dolly looks to be strengthening right up to landfall. Here on the upper Texas coast we are wishing for the best for our neighbors in
South Texas.
|
Beaumont, TX
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 318
|
|
I am not surprised Dolly spun up like this. I watched Humberto spin up really fast last year before he came ashore in our area.
The Gulf...if you look at the history...it can hold surprises.
|
MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
|
|
It appears that the eyewall has broken on the north side, which means it won't strengthen too much more, and may spare (hopefully) some of the worst.
|
WeatherNut
Weather Master
Reged: Wed
Posts: 412
Loc: Atlanta, GA
|
|
there are small vorticies spinning around the eyewall which are more intense than the other areas of the eyewall. On a radar loop these might look like breaks in the eyewall but are definitely not. This information is per Accuweather (a.k.a. JB)
--------------------
Born into Cleo (64)...been stuck on em ever since
|
DennisS
Unregistered
|
|
Greetings...first time poster, not yet registered. Forgive the question, but does it look to anyone else like in the last 10 frames of the radar loop the eye has turned sharply north?
|
Thunderbird12
Meteorologist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 644
Loc: Oklahoma
|
|
Radar definitely shows weak or non-existent convection in the northern half of the eyewall. In fact, there is a definite asymmetry in the intensity of convection in the southern half of the circulation compared to the northern half overall . Unless Dolly manages to correct this asymmetry prior to landfall, the intensity should not get out of control, though a continued slow increase is possible as long as it remains over water.
Dolly definitely has slowed and appears to be paralleling the coastline for the time being. That is bad news as far as wind and rain exposure goes. At this point, it would be best if Dolly resumed a more westward motion and got its landfall over with.
|
danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
|
|
TO the METs here. I'm trying to find a better WV image/ loop that will indicate whether the trough in the Tennessee Valley is picking up Dolly. Any opinions?
|
scottsvb
Weather Master
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
|
|
This is a bad situation for Brownsville and extreme S TX....first the island barriers should get pounded for the next 6-12 hrs..even after it makes landfall due to the slow motion.....also exteme flooding due to slow movement everywhere. Widespread torandos over the next 2 days, loss of electricity. Please anyone being affected by Dolly...plz stay indoors for the next 24-30 hrs unless its a emergency.. the less on the roads..the better.
|
MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
|
|
Power is out to South Padre Island as of 10:15 AM CDT/11:15 EDT, so no more webcams there, unfortunately.
|
MichaelA
Weather Analyst
Reged: Thu
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
|
|
Wobbles are common. Still looks like it is going NW at a very slow speed. This will have some very bad effects along the south Texas coastal areas.
--------------------
Michael
PWS
|
ShanaTX
Storm Tracker
Reged: Mon
Posts: 226
Loc: Texas
|
|
Dolly's going to tear up the barrier islands in the area. I hope the fact that Dolly's moving north of Brownsville will help keep the Rio Grande levee system intact.
|
LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Fri
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
|
|
Looking at the water vapor loops and I don't see how Dolly gets very far inland as the models project.
Looks to me like high pressure coming down and she is going to sit there inland somewhere and rain herself out
which will stress a lot of areas and cause flooding in many places.
http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv_east_loop-12.html
storms fired to the north of her when she wobbled north and high pressure is pushing down at her from the north and the west.. this is going to be a prolonged event to say the least.
--------------------
http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/
|
MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
|
|
Fox news live video stream from S. Padre: (Well was from there until the feed was lost, now appears to be Galveston)
link here
|
scottsvb
Weather Master
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
|
|
There are people on the beach? Is it the eye or a old feed? If its the eye then people ( kids )are crazy to be running around the beach! + all the traffic there.. I would think this was yesterday?
Edited by scottsvb (Wed Jul 23 2008 02:27 PM)
|
Previous
Index
Next
Threaded
[Re: 
Edit
Reply
Quote
